Chiefs vs. Broncos 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 10

Updated Nov. 10, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having won eight straight, the Kansas City Chiefs (8-0) will face the Denver Broncos (5-4). The Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The game has an over/under of 42.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of November 10, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-7.5	-105	-115	42.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-7.5)
Pick OU: Under (42.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 25 - Broncos 16

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

Kansas City has a 4-1 record against Denver in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has racked up 117 points against Denver, while surrendering only 108 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has four wins in eight games versus the spread this year.
The Chiefs have not covered the spread this season (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
Kansas City contests this year have hit the over 50% of the time (four times in eight games with a set point total).
The Chiefs were listed as the moneyline favorite seven times this season, and won each of those games.
The Chiefs have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 79.2%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	230.1 (1,841)	10
Rush yards	122.4 (979)	14
Points scored	25.4 (203)	14
Pass yards against	209.8 (1,678)	15
Rush yards against	83.9 (671)	3
Points allowed	18.4 (147)	4

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has passed for 1,942 yards, 11 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and nine interceptions this year. He averages 242.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 69.9% of his attempts.
He has also rushed for 148 yards (third on the Chiefs) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 18.5 rushing yards per game.
Kareem Hunt's rushing output this season includes 414 yards and five TDs. He is averaging 82.8 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (42nd in the NFL).
Hunt's eight targets in the passing game have resulted in seven catches (1.4 per game) for 51 yards (10.2 per game) and zero touchdowns.
In eight games played, Xavier Worthy is averaging 29.4 yards and 2.4 receptions per game to total 235 receiving yards and 19 catches. He's been targeted 39 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
Travis Kelce averages 6.5 receptions and 54.4 yards per game, and has 435 total receiving yards and 52 catches (sixth in the NFL). He's gotten 64 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

On defense, Nick Bolton has 56 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and three passes defended in 2024.
Drue Tranquill has 45 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks this season. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
George Karlaftis has put up 22 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four sacks this year.
Chamarri Conner has one interception while tacking on 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has covered the spread six times in nine games with a set total.
This year, the Broncos have one against-the-spread win in two games as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
Denver games have gone over the total six times this year.
The Broncos have won two of the six games they've played as underdogs this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 25.0% chance of a victory for the Broncos.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.1 (1,684)	27
Rush yards	121.4 (1,093)	15
Points scored	20.3 (183)	20
Pass yards against	186.6 (1,679)	6
Rush yards against	108.7 (978)	9
Points allowed	17.9 (161)	3

Denver's Key Players

Offense

In nine games played this year, Bo Nix has amassed 1,753 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 62.6% of his attempts.
On the ground, Nix has added four rushing touchdowns and 295 rushing yards (second on the Broncos).
Javonte Williams averages 43.0 rushing yards per game over nine games (387 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
Williams also has 29 catches for 216 yards (second on the Broncos). He has been targeted 37 times and averages 24.0 yards per game.
This season, Courtland Sutton has caught 36 passes for 499 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 68 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game through eight games played.
Jaleel McLaughlin has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 208 total yards (3.9 per carry and 23.1 per game).
McLaughlin has also caught 16 passes for 47 yards (10th on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 17 times and averages 5.2 yards per game.

Defense

In 2024, Brandon Jones has put up 2.0 TFL, 65 tackles, and one interception through nine games.
Zach Allen has 4.0 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL and 35 tackles over nine games.
Riley Moss has 1.0 TFL, 55 tackles, and one interception.
Jonathon Cooper has totaled 5.5 sacks (second on the Broncos) as well as 6.0 TFL and 35 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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