Chiefs vs. Broncos 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 10

Updated Nov. 8, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-0) will be trying to continue an eight-game winning streak against the Denver Broncos (5-4). The Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). An over/under of 42 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Has Lamar Jackson's dominant season put him above Patrick Mahomes as the NFL’s best QB? | Speak

Joy Taylor discusses whether Lamar Jackson’s performance this season has him surpassing Patrick Mahomes as the best quarterback in the NFL.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of November 7, 2024, 11:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-7.5	-108	-112	42	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-7.5)
Pick OU: Under (42)
Prediction: Chiefs 25 - Broncos 16

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head bouts, Kansas City has defeated Denver four times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has put up 117 points, while Denver has compiled 108.

Kansas City Betting Info

In eight Kansas City games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
The Chiefs have been favored by 7.5 points or more this season three times and failed to cover in all three.
Kansas City games this year have hit the over on four of eight set point totals (50%).
The Chiefs were favored on the moneyline seven times this season, and won all of those games.
The Chiefs have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 78.9%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	230.1 (1,841)	10
Rush yards	122.4 (979)	14
Points scored	25.4 (203)	14
Pass yards against	209.8 (1,678)	15
Rush yards against	83.9 (671)	3
Points allowed	18.4 (147)	4

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 1,942 passing yards through eight games this year, averaging 242.8 per game with a 69.9% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against nine interceptions.
In addition to his passing statistics, Mahomes has 148 rushing yards (third on the Chiefs), with one rushing touchdown.
Kareem Hunt has recorded 414 rushing yards with five touchdowns (82.8 yards per game across five games). His 3.7 yards per attempt rank 42nd in the NFL.
He's also caught seven passes (on eight targets) for 51 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 10.2 receiving yards and 1.4 catches per game.
In the passing attack, Xavier Worthy, has racked up 235 receiving yards and three touchdowns after catching 19 balls on 39 targets. Per game, he's averaging 29.4 yards and 2.4 receptions through eight games.
Travis Kelce has 52 catches (sixth in the league) for 435 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 64 times in the passing game, and averages 6.5 receptions and 54.4 yards in eight games played.

Defense

On the defensive side, Nick Bolton has 56 tackles and 7.0 TFL in 2024. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
Drue Tranquill has 1.5 sacks as well as 4.0 TFL and 45 tackles.
This season, George Karlaftis has put up 4.0 sacks (first on the Chiefs) to go along with his 5.0 TFL and 22 tackles.
So far this season, Chamarri Conner has 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has covered the spread in a matchup six times this season (6-3-0).
The Broncos have been underdogs by 7.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
Denver's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.
This season, the Broncos have been the underdog six times and won two of those games.
The Broncos have a 25.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.1 (1,684)	27
Rush yards	121.4 (1,093)	15
Points scored	20.3 (183)	20
Pass yards against	186.6 (1,679)	6
Rush yards against	108.7 (978)	9
Points allowed	17.9 (161)	3

Denver's Key Players

Offense

In nine games played this year, Bo Nix has totaled 1,753 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 62.6% of his attempts.
Nix has also rushed for four touchdowns and 295 yards (second on the Broncos).
Javonte Williams has 387 rushing yards (leading the Broncos) and two rushing touchdowns, while averaging 43.0 yards per game and 3.8 per attempt (40th in the NFL).
Williams has added 29 receptions (3.2 per game) for 216 yards (24.0 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 37 times in the passing game.
In eight games played this season, Courtland Sutton has 36 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 8.5 targets per game) for 499 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
Jaleel McLaughlin averages 23.1 rushing yards per game through nine games (208 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
McLaughlin also has 47 receiving yards (5.2 per game) on 16 catches (1.8 per game). He has been targeted 17 times with two touchdown receptions.

Defense

Brandon Jones' 2024 showing includes 65 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one interception in nine games. He leads the Broncos in tackles.
Zach Allen has 35 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and four sacks.
Riley Moss has intercepted one pass on top of 55 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five passes defended during the 2024 season.
Jonathon Cooper has put up 5.5 sacks (second on the Broncos) to go with 6.0 TFL and 35 tackles over nine games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.