Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 29

Published Oct. 25, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having taken six straight, the Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) will play the Denver Broncos (2-5). The Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7.5). The predicted point total for the game is 46.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Broncos Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2023, 12:34 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-7.5	-105	-115	46	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Kansas City (-7.5)
Pick OU: Over (46)
Prediction: Kansas City 31 - Denver 15

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Denver

Game Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
Time: 4:25 PM ET
Venue: Empower Field at Mile High
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head bouts, Kansas City has won against Denver five times.
Denver has been outscored by 64 points in its last five tilts against Kansas City.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City is 5-2-0 against the spread this season.
The Chiefs have covered the spread twice when favored by 7.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
Kansas City games this year have gone over the point total two times in seven opportunities (28.6%).
When playing as moneyline favorites, the Chiefs have won 85.7% of the time (6-1).
Kansas City has played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -340 or shorter, and won in each game.
Looking at this game's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 77.3%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	285.4 (1,998)	2
Rush yards	111.3 (779)	18
Points scored	25.4 (178)	5
Pass yards against	188.9 (1,322)	6
Rush yards against	105.7 (740)	16
Points allowed	15.0 (105)	2

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes II ranks third in the NFL with 2,017 passing yards in seven games this year, averaging 288.1 per game with a 69.5% completion percentage and 15 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against six interceptions.
He has also rushed for 214 yards (second on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 30.6 rushing yards per game.
Isiah Pacheco averages 4.2 yards per carry (20th in the NFL) and 59.9 yards per game, and has 419 total rushing yards. He has scored three rushing TDs this season.
Pacheco's 23 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 21 catches (3.0 per game) for 163 yards (23.3 per game) and one touchdown.
Through six games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 87.5 yards and 8.0 receptions per game on the way to 525 receiving yards and 48 catches (eighth in the NFL). He's been targeted 59 times, and has four receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL).
Rashee Rice has put up 305 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 26 catches on 34 targets. He's averaging 3.7 receptions and 43.6 yards per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Drue Tranquill has 36 tackles, 2.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one pass defended in 2023.
Trent McDuffie has 35 tackles and four passes defended.
This season, L'Jarius Sneed has put up 3.0 TFL, 36 tackles, and one interception.
So far this season, Justin Reid has 33 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Denver Betting Info

Denver has covered the spread one time this season (1-5-1).
This year, the Broncos are winless ATS when entering a game as an underdog of 7.5 points or more.
Denver games have gone over the total four times this season.
The Broncos have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests.
Denver has played as an underdog of +270 or more once this season and lost that game.
The implied probability of a win by the Broncos based on the moneyline is 27.0%.

Broncos Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	199.4 (1,396)	22
Rush yards	111.6 (781)	17
Points scored	21.1 (148)	14
Pass yards against	257.4 (1,802)	30
Rush yards against	167.3 (1,171)	32
Points allowed	31.0 (217)	31

Denver's Key Players

Offense

Russell Wilson is averaging 7.0 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 214.1 yards per game this year, completing 66.4% of his passes on the way to 1,499 total yards, 13 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and four interceptions through seven games.
On the ground, Wilson has added 171 rushing yards (third on the Broncos).
Courtland Sutton has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 31 catches for 351 yards and five receiving touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) in seven games played. He has been on the receiving end of 43 targets and is averaging 4.4 receptions per game.
Jaleel McLaughlin is averaging 33.6 rushing yards per game this season (235 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
In addition to his ground game, McLaughlin has grabbed 10 passes (on 12 targets) for 59 yards (eighth on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He averages 8.4 yards per game.
Javonte Williams is scoreless on the ground, but has rushed for 272 total yards (4.3 per attempt and 45.3 per game).
Williams has also caught 14 passes for 65 yards (seventh on the Broncos). He's been targeted 19 times and averages 10.8 yards per game.

Defense

Alex Singleton has amassed 2.0 TFL and 64 tackles over seven games in 2023.
Nik Bonitto has totaled 5.5 sacks in addition to his 9.0 TFL and 20 tackles through seven games. He's ninth in the NFL in sacks.
Jonathon Cooper has 4.0 sacks (second on the Broncos) in addition to his 3.0 TFL and 35 tackles.
Zach Allen's stats include 31 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks in seven games