Chiefs vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 4

Updated Nov. 4, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having won seven in a row, the Kansas City Chiefs (7-0) will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4). The Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The over/under for this one is set at 46 points.

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Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of November 4, 2024, 2:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-8.5	-110	-110	46	-108	-113

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+8.5)
Pick OU: Over (46)
Prediction: Chiefs 27 - Buccaneers 22

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Tampa Bay

Game Date: Monday, November 4, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: ESPN
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Tampa Bay has taken down Kansas City four times.
Kansas City has been outpaced by 26 points in its last five tilts against Tampa Bay.

Kansas City Betting Info

Against the spread, Kansas City is 4-3-0 this season.
The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season (in one opportunity).
Kansas City games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under three times in seven opportunities (42.9%).
The Chiefs have won each of the six games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
The Chiefs have a 79.8% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	225.9 (1,581)	11
Rush yards	122.1 (855)	14
Points scored	24.7 (173)	20
Pass yards against	212.7 (1,489)	17
Rush yards against	82.3 (576)	3
Points allowed	17.6 (123)	3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 1,651 passing yards in seven games this year, averaging 235.9 per game with a 68.4% completion percentage and eight touchdowns against nine interceptions.
He has also rushed for 139 yards (third on the Chiefs) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 19.9 rushing yards per game.
Kareem Hunt's rushing output this season includes 308 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 77.0 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (42nd in the NFL).
Xavier Worthy has three touchdown catches this season, and has 19 receptions for 235 yards on 37 targets, while averaging 2.7 catches and 33.6 yards per game.
Travis Kelce averages 5.4 receptions and 47.9 yards per game, and has 335 total receiving yards and 38 catches. He's gotten 48 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

On defense, Nick Bolton has 7.0 TFL and 53 tackles in 2024.
Drue Tranquill has 38 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack this season.
Chamarri Conner has recorded one interception and has added 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
Justin Reid has one interception while adding 39 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay has put together a record of 4-4-0 against the spread this year.
This year, six Tampa Bay games have gone over the point total.
The Buccaneers have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
The implied probability of a win by the Buccaneers based on the moneyline is 24.4%.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	258.5 (2,068)	2
Rush yards	130.9 (1,047)	10
Points scored	29.4 (235)	6
Pass yards against	255.4 (2,043)	30
Rush yards against	131.6 (1,053)	19
Points allowed	26.6 (213)	27

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield is averaging 7.7 passing yards per attempt (eighth in the NFL) and 273.6 yards per game this year, completing 71.1% of his passes on the way to 2,189 total yards (fifth in the NFL), 21 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and nine interceptions through eight games.
He's added 168 yards on the ground (fourth on the Buccaneers), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 21.0 yards per game and 5.8 per attempt.
Bucky Irving has scored three rushing touchdowns, while totaling 395 rushing yards (5.2 per attempt and 49.4 per game).
Irving also has 20 catches for 164 yards (fifth on the Buccaneers). He has been targeted 22 times and averages 20.5 yards per game.
This season, Mike Evans has caught 26 passes for 335 receiving yards with six touchdowns in the passing game (second in the NFL). He has been targeted 45 total times and is averaging 3.7 receptions per game in seven games played.
Rachaad White puts up 36.6 rushing yards per game through seven games (256 total yards), but has yet to score a rushing touchdown.
White also has 236 receiving yards (33.7 per game) on 28 catches (4.0 per game). He has been targeted 31 times with three touchdown receptions.

Defense

In 2024, Lavonte David has 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL, 56 tackles, and one interception over eight games.
Zyon McCollum has two interceptions on top of 38 tackles and 10 passes defended.
Christian Izien has recorded 3.0 TFL, 40 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 campaign.
Jordan Whitehead has totaled 1.0 TFL and 50 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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