Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 22

Published Oct. 18, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5) over the Los Angeles Chargers (2-3). The Chiefs have taken five games straight. The game has an over/under of 48.5 points.

Chiefs vs. Chargers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Chargers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Kansas City (-5.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (48.5)
  
• Prediction: Kansas City 27 - Los Angeles 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Los Angeles

• Game Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Chargers Recent Matchups

• Kansas City owns a 4-1 record against Los Angeles in their last five matchups.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has scored 140 points, while Los Angeles has accumulated 118.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has played six games, posting four wins against the spread.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread twice when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
• Kansas City games this year have hit the over two times in six opportunities (33.3%).
• The Chiefs have won 83.3% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (5-1).
• Kansas City has won all three games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter.
• The Chiefs have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 71.4%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II has passed for 1,593 yards (sixth in the NFL), 11 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He is averaging 265.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt, while completing 68.3% of his passes.
• In addition to his passing statistics, Mahomes has 185 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
• Isiah Pacheco's rushing statline this season includes 387 yards and three TDs. He's averaging 64.5 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
• Pacheco's 19 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 17 catches (2.8 per game) for 135 yards (22.5 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• In five games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 69.2 yards and 7.2 receptions per game to total 346 receiving yards and 36 catches. He's been targeted 46 times, and has three receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
• Rashee Rice has racked up 245 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 21 catches on 28 targets. He's averaging 3.5 receptions and 40.8 yards per game.

Defense

• On defense for the Chiefs, Justin Reid has racked up 29 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2023.
• Trent McDuffie has 30 tackles this season. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
• Chris Jones has put up 12 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and three passes defended.
• Drue Tranquill has 34 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles has covered the spread once in five games with a set spread.
• This year, Los Angeles games have hit the over twice.
• The Chargers lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• Los Angeles has not been a bigger underdog this season than the +205 moneyline set for this game.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Chargers have a 32.8% chance to win.

Chargers Stats

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• In five games played this year, Justin Herbert has totaled 1,333 passing yards, while throwing nine touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 68.7% of his attempts.
• On the ground, Herbert has added three rushing touchdowns and 75 rushing yards (third on the Chargers).
• Keenan Allen has 519 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) and four touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) on 42 receptions (fifth in the NFL), while being targeted 55 times.
• This season through two games, Austin Ekeler has racked up 144 rushing yards (second on the Chargers) and scored one rushing touchdown. He averages 72.0 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt.
• Ekeler's statistic output includes eight receptions (4.0 per game) on 11 targets for 82 yards (41.0 per game), though he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
• Joshua Kelley has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 209 total yards (3.6 per attempt and 41.8 per game).

Defense

• So far in 2023, Khalil Mack has 7.0 sacks to go with 6.0 TFL and 23 tackles over five games. He ranks third in the NFL in sacks.
• Kenneth Murray has 35 tackles, 4.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception. He leads the Chargers in tackles.
• Michael Davis has recorded 1.0 TFL and 29 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
• Asante Samuel Jr. has totaled 1.0 TFL, 26 tackles, and one interception.

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