Chiefs vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) are favored by three points against the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) on September 22, 2024, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC. The matchup has an over/under of 46.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Falcons Betting Information updated as of September 22, 2024, 1:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-3	-112	-108	46.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Falcons (+3)
Pick OU: Under (46.5)
Prediction: Falcons 22 - Chiefs 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Atlanta

Game Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has tallied three wins against Kansas City.
Kansas City has been outpaced by 9 points in its last five tilts against Atlanta.

Kansas City Betting Info

This season Kansas City has one win against the spread.
The Chiefs have been favored by 3 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in two out of two opportunities (100%).
The Chiefs have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they won both.
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 62.4%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	209.0 (418)	15
Rush yards	110.5 (221)	19
Points scored	26.5 (53)	8
Pass yards against	256.5 (513)	31
Rush yards against	129.5 (259)	18
Points allowed	22.5 (45)	20

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 442 passing yards, three touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He has completed 71.7% of his passes, averaging 221 yards per game and 8.3 per attempt.
He has added 32 rushing yards (16 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Rashee Rice's 178 receiving yards this season (seventh in the NFL) have come from 15 targets and 12 receptions. He's averaging 89 receiving yards and six catches per game, with one receiving touchdown.
Through two games played, Xavier Worthy is averaging 32 yards and two receptions per game on the way to 64 receiving yards and four catches. He's been targeted seven times, and has one receiving touchdown.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has 10 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Leo Chenal has 13 tackles and one TFL this season. He's fourth on the Chiefs in tackles.
This season, Jaylen Watson has recorded 17 tackles.
Nick Bolton has one TFL and 14 tackles on the season.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta has covered the spread one time in two games with a set spread.
The Falcons have been underdogs by 3 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
This year, not one Atlanta's games have hit the over.
The Falcons won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 41.7% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	185.0 (370)	21
Rush yards	120.5 (241)	17
Points scored	16.0 (32)	26
Pass yards against	156.0 (312)	7
Rush yards against	161.5 (323)	27
Points allowed	19.5 (39)	11

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Through two games played this year, Kirk Cousins has amassed 396 passing yards, with three touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 65.5% of his passes.
Bijan Robinson averages 82.5 rushing yards per game through two games (165 total yards), but is seeking his first rushing touchdown.
Robinson has also picked up 68 receiving yards (34 per game) on nine catches (4.5 per game). He's been targeted 10 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
So far this season, Darnell Mooney has caught four passes for 103 receiving yards with one touchdown through the air. He has been targeted 10 total times and is averaging two receptions per game in two games played.
Drake London has eight catches for 69 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages four yards per game in two games and has been targeted 10 times.

Defense

Jessie Bates III has intercepted one pass to go with 18 tackles, one TFL, and two passes defended in 2024. He's third in the NFL in interceptions.
Grady Jarrett's stats include five tackles, two TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
In the 2024 campaign, Kaden Elliss has 20 tackles through two games.
Matt Judon's season stats include 11 tackles, two TFL, and 1.5 sacks through two games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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