Chiefs vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 22

Chiefs vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 22

Published Sep. 20, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

The Kansas City Chiefs (2-0) are considered favorites (-3) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game against the Atlanta Falcons (1-1) on September 22, 2024, starting at 8:20 p.m. ET, airing on NBC. The over/under for this one is set at 46.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Falcons Betting Information updated as of September 19, 2024, 6:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Chiefs -3 -112 -108 46.5 -110 -110

Chiefs vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Falcons (+3)
  • Pick OU: Under (46.5)
  • Prediction: Falcons 22 - Chiefs 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Atlanta

  • Game Date: Sunday, September 22, 2024
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: NBC
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More About This Game

Chiefs vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

  • Atlanta holds a 3-2 record against Kansas City in their last five matchups.
  • Kansas City has been outscored by 9 points in its last five tilts against Atlanta.

Kansas City Betting Info

  • This year Kansas City has one win against the spread.
  • The Chiefs have been favored by 3 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in two out of two opportunities.
  • The Chiefs have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they won both.
  • The Chiefs have a 61.8% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 209.0 (418) 15
Rush yards 110.5 (221) 19
Points scored 26.5 (53) 7
Pass yards against 256.5 (513) 31
Rush yards against 129.5 (259) 18
Points allowed 22.5 (45) 20

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

  • Patrick Mahomes has passed for 442 yards, three touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He averages 221.0 yards per game and 8.3 per attempt, while completing 71.7% of his attempts.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Mahomes also has 32 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
  • Rashee Rice has caught 12 passes on 15 targets for 178 total yards (seventh in the NFL) and one touchdown. He is averaging 6.0 catches and 89.0 yards per game through two games.
  • Xavier Worthy has one touchdown catch this season, and has four receptions for 64 yards on seven targets, while averaging 2.0 catches and 32.0 yards per game.

Defense

Atlanta Betting Info

  • Atlanta has covered the spread one time in two games with a set spread.
  • This year, the Falcons won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 3 points or more.
  • Games involving Atlanta have yet to hit the over once this season.
  • The Falcons won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 42.4% chance of a victory for the Falcons.

Falcons Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 185.0 (370) 21
Rush yards 120.5 (241) 17
Points scored 16.0 (32) 25
Pass yards against 156.0 (312) 8
Rush yards against 161.5 (323) 27
Points allowed 19.5 (39) 11

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

  • Through two games played this year, Kirk Cousins has amassed 396 passing yards, with three touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 65.5% of his passes.
  • Bijan Robinson averages 82.5 rushing yards per game through two games (165 total yards), but is seeking his first rushing touchdown.
  • Robinson also has nine catches for 68 yards (fourth on the Falcons). He has been targeted 10 times and averages 34.0 yards per game.
  • This season, Darnell Mooney has caught four passes for 103 receiving yards with one touchdown through the air. He has been targeted 10 total times and is averaging 2.0 receptions per game over two games played.
  • Drake London has eight catches for 69 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 4.0 yards per game in two games and has been targeted 10 times.

Defense

  • Jessie Bates III has intercepted one pass and also has 18 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two passes defended in 2024. He's third in the league in interceptions.
  • Grady Jarrett has five tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.
  • Kaden Elliss has recorded 20 tackles in the 2024 season.
  • Matt Judon has 11 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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