Chiefs vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 28, 2023 1:03 a.m. ET

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The Kansas City Chiefs (2-1) are considered favorites (-9.5) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the New York Jets (1-2) on October 1, 2023, starting at 8:20 PM ET, airing on NBC. The over/under for this one is set at 41.5 points.

Chiefs vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+9.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (41.5)
  
• Prediction: New York 19 - Kansas City 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 8:20 PM ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on NBC

Chiefs vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head contests, New York has won against Kansas City three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New York has racked up 116 points against Kansas City, while giving up only 113 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has covered the spread on two occasions in 2023.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread when playing as at least 9.5-point favorites in their only opportunity this season.
• Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in one out of three opportunities (33.3%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs have won 66.7% of the time (2-1).
• Kansas City has played as a moneyline favorite of -410 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 80.4%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II ranks seventh in the NFL with 803 passing yards through three games this year, averaging 267.7 per game with a 65.5% completion percentage and seven touchdowns (third in the NFL) against two interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 103 yards (second on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 34.3 rushing yards per game.
• Isiah Pacheco's rushing statline this season includes 155 yards and one TD. He's averaging 51.7 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (16th in the NFL).
• Pacheco's nine targets through the air have turned into seven catches (2.3 per game) for 47 yards (15.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• Travis Kelce has two touchdown catches this season (sixth in the NFL), and has 11 catches for 95 yards on 17 targets, while averaging 5.5 catches and 47.5 yards per game.
• Jerick McKinnon has rushed for 7 yards, averaging 2.3 yards per game without scoring a touchdown.
• He's added seven catches (on eight targets) for 53 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 17.7 receiving yards and 2.3 receptions per game.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, L'Jarius Sneed has 14 tackles and 3.0 TFL in 2023.
• Michael Danna has 11 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks this season.
• This season, Trent McDuffie has put up 16 tackles.
• George Karlaftis has 2.0 sacks (third on the Chiefs) as well as 2.0 TFL and 13 tackles this year.

New York Betting Info

• New York has covered the spread in a game one time this year (1-2-0).
• Games involving New York has hit the over once this year.
• The Jets have been underdogs in three games this season and won one (33.3%) of those contests.
• New York has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +320.
• The implied probability of a win by the Jets based on the moneyline is 23.8%.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Garrett Wilson has registered 165 receiving yards and two touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) on 12 receptions, while being targeted 22 times this season.
• Zach Wilson has 467 passing yards, two touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 52.4% and he averages 155.7 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.
• Zach Wilson also has 43 rushing yards (third on the Jets).
• So far this season through three games, Breece Hall has churned out 154 rushing yards (leading the Jets), but has not scored a rushing touchdown. He averages 51.3 yards per game and 5.9 per carry (sixth in the NFL).
• Allen Lazard has seven catches for 108 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 2.3 yards per game through three games and has been targeted 13 times.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Jordan Whitehead has recorded 21 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three interceptions over three games.
• Quincy Williams' stat sheet includes 26 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
• C.J. Mosley has 26 tackles and 1.0 TFL in the 2023 campaign. He leads the Jets in tackles.
• Quinnen Williams has totaled 3.0 TFL and 12 tackles over three games.

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