Chiefs vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 3

Updated Dec. 1, 2023 8:57 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (8-3) are favored by six points versus the Green Bay Packers (5-6) on December 3, 2023, starting at 8:20 PM ET, airing on NBC. An over/under of 42.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Chiefs vs. Packers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Packers Betting Information updated as of November 30, 2023, 8:34 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-6	-108	-112	42.5	-112	-108

Chiefs vs. Packers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Green Bay (+6)
Pick OU: Under (42.5)
Prediction: Kansas City 22 - Green Bay 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Green Bay

Game Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
Time: 8:20 PM ET
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
TV: Watch on NBC

Chiefs vs. Packers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Green Bay has collected three wins against Kansas City.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Green Bay has scored 150 points against Kansas City, while giving up only 133 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

In 11 Kansas City games this season, it has seven wins against the spread.
When playing as at least 6-point favorites this season, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 4-2.
Kansas City contests this year have gone over the point total 27.3% of the time (three times in 11 games with a set point total).
The Chiefs have put together an 8-3 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 72.7% of those games).
When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter, Kansas City has gone 5-1 (83.3%).
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chiefs a 71.4% chance to win.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	258.5 (2,843)	7
Rush yards	106.5 (1,171)	17
Points scored	23.3 (256)	13
Pass yards against	176.6 (1,943)	3
Rush yards against	113.4 (1,247)	19
Points allowed	16.5 (181)	3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes II ranks eighth in the NFL with 2,917 passing yards through 11 games this year, averaging 265.2 per game with a 68.1% completion percentage and 21 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) against nine interceptions.
To go along with his passing stats, Mahomes also has 305 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
Isiah Pacheco's rushing output this season includes 669 yards and five TDs. He is averaging 60.8 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
Pacheco has 30 receptions on 34 targets for 196 yards. He has one receiving TD.
Travis Kelce has five touchdown catches this season, and has 70 catches for 732 yards on 88 targets, while averaging 7.0 catches and 73.2 yards per game.
Rashee Rice has 527 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 44 catches on 56 targets. He is averaging 4.0 receptions and 47.9 yards per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Trent McDuffie has 2.0 sacks to go with 2.0 TFL and 57 tackles in 2023.
Drue Tranquill has 3.5 sacks (fourth on the Chiefs) as well as 6.0 TFL and 70 tackles.
Justin Reid has totaled 58 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
So far this season, George Karlaftis has 35 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and eight sacks.

Green Bay Betting Info

Green Bay have compiled a 6-5-0 record against the spread this year.
The Packers covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 6 points or more.
This year, five Green Bay games have gone over the point total.
The Packers have been underdogs in nine games this season and won four (44.4%) of those contests.
Green Bay has played as an underdog of +205 or more once this season and won that game.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Packers have a 32.8% chance to win.

Packers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.1 (2,443)	17
Rush yards	102.7 (1,130)	21
Points scored	21.0 (231)	20
Pass yards against	205.1 (2,256)	9
Rush yards against	135.2 (1,487)	27
Points allowed	20.4 (224)	10

Green Bay's Key Players

Offense

Jordan Love has thrown for 2,599 yards this year, with 19 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and 10 interceptions. He is completing 60.5% of his passes while averaging 236.3 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
On the ground, Love has added two rushing touchdowns and 221 rushing yards (third on the Packers).
Jayden Reed has 497 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 36 receptions, while being targeted 59 times.
In 11 games played this season, Romeo Doubs has 41 catches (3.7 receptions per game on 6.3 targets per game) for 433 yards and seven receiving touchdowns (fifth in the NFL).
A.J. Dillon has 448 rushing yards (leading the Packers) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 40.7 yards per game and 3.4 per carry (42nd in the NFL).
Dillon also has 184 receiving yards (16.7 per game) on 19 catches (1.7 per game). He has been targeted 24 times while he is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.

Defense

So far in 2023, Rashan Gary has amassed 30 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 8.5 sacks over 11 games.
Quay Walker has 79 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one interception. He leads the Packers in tackles.
Preston Smith has 5.0 sacks (second on the Packers) as well as 3.0 TFL and 38 tackles in the 2023 season.
Isaiah McDuffie has totaled 3.0 TFL and 64 tackles over eight games.

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