Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Updated Dec. 13, 2023 1:16 p.m. ET

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The Kansas City Chiefs (8-5) are considered favorites (-9.5) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game against the New England Patriots (3-10) on December 17, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. An over/under of 37 points has been established for the matchup.

Chiefs vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Kansas City (-9.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (37)
  
• Prediction: Kansas City 24 - New England 14

How to Watch Kansas City vs. New England

• Game Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: Watch on FOX

Chiefs vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• New England owns a 3-2 record against Kansas City in their last five matchups.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has scored 156 points, while New England has accumulated 150.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City is 7-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Chiefs have been favored by 9.5 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in both.
• Kansas City games in 2023 have gone over the point total four times in 13 opportunities (30.8%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Chiefs are 8-5 (winning 61.5% of the time).
• Kansas City has won all four games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -440 or shorter.
• Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 81.5%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II has 3,398 passing yards (eighth in the NFL), 23 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 261.4 yards per game and 7 per attempt.
• In addition to his passing stats, Mahomes also has 339 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
• Isiah Pacheco has racked up 779 rushing yards with six touchdowns (64.9 yards per game over 12 games). His 4.4 yards per attempt rank 13th in the NFL.
• He's hauled in 33 passes (on 38 targets) for 209 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 17.4 receiving yards and 2.8 catches per game.
• Through 12 games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 74.7 yards and 6.7 receptions per game on the way to 896 receiving yards and 80 catches. He's been targeted 102 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
• Rashee Rice averages 4.5 receptions and 51 yards per game, and has 663 total receiving yards and 59 catches. He's gotten 75 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense, Trent McDuffie has three sacks to go with three TFL and 68 tackles in 2023.
• Drue Tranquill has 72 tackles, six TFL, and 3.5 sacks this season.
• Justin Reid has recorded one interception and also has 74 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.
• This season, L'Jarius Sneed has 63 tackles, three TFL, and two interceptions.

New England Betting Info

• New England has covered the spread in a matchup three times this season (3-10-0).
• New England games have gone over the total four times this season.
• This season, the Patriots have been the underdog nine times and won two of those games.
• New England has not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +340 odds on them winning this game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 22.7% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Rhamondre Stevenson averages 51.6 rushing yards per game this year (619 total yards), while scoring four rushing touchdowns.
• On top of his impact on the ground, Stevenson has caught 38 passes (on 51 targets) for 238 yards (sixth on the Patriots). He's averaging 19.8 yards per game.
• Mac Jones has 2,120 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. His completion percentage is 64.9% and he averages 192.7 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
• So far this season in 13 games, Ezekiel Elliott has racked up 497 rushing yards (second on the Patriots) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 38.2 yards per game and 3.7 per carry (35th in the NFL).
• Elliott has helped out in the passing attack, amassing 226 receiving yards (17.4 per game) on 31 catches (2.4 per game), while being targeted 39 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
• Hunter Henry has 35 catches for 353 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 2.9 yards per game through 12 games and has been targeted 52 times.

Defense

• Ja'Whaun Bentley has four sacks (second on the Patriots) to go with five TFL and 86 tackles over 12 games in 2023.
• Kyle Dugger has 1.5 sacks to go with five TFL, 79 tackles, and two interceptions.
• Jahlani Tavai has 84 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and one interception in the 2023 season. He is second on the Patriots in tackles.
• Jabrill Peppers has intercepted two passes in addition to 66 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended.

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