Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

Published Dec. 21, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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The Kansas City Chiefs (9-5) and Las Vegas Raiders (6-8) will play each other in a matchup of two division rivals. The Chiefs are heavy favorites (-10). The over/under for this one is set at 41 points.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Las Vegas (+10)
  
• Pick OU: Under (41)
  
• Prediction: Kansas City 25 - Las Vegas 15

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Las Vegas

• Game Date: Monday, December 25, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

• Kansas City holds a 5-0 record against Las Vegas in their last five matchups.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has scored 160 points, while Las Vegas has accumulated 78.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City is 8-6-0 against the spread this year.
• The Chiefs have won each of their two games this season when playing as at least 10-point favorites.
• Kansas City games in 2023 have eclipsed the over/under five times in 14 opportunities (35.7%).
• The Chiefs have compiled a 9-5 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 64.3% of those games).
• Kansas City has played as a moneyline favorite of -520 or shorter in just two games this season, and it won both.
• Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 83.9%.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 3,703 yards (fourth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and 13 interceptions this year. He averages 264.5 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt, while completing 67.4% of his attempts.
• He has also rushed for 334 yards (second on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 23.9 rushing yards per game.
• Isiah Pacheco averages 4.4 yards per carry (13th in the NFL) and 64.9 yards per game, and has 779 total rushing yards. He has recorded six rushing TDs this season.
• He's hauled in 33 passes (on 38 targets) for 209 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 17.4 receiving yards and 2.8 catches per game.
• In the passing attack, Travis Kelce, has racked up 924 receiving yards and five touchdowns after pulling down 85 balls on 110 targets. Per game, he's averaging 71.1 yards and 6.5 receptions in 13 games.
• Rashee Rice has 68 catches for 754 yards and seven touchdowns. He's been targeted 84 times in the air attack, and averages 4.9 receptions and 53.9 yards through 14 games played.

Defense

• On defense for the Chiefs, Trent McDuffie has put up 69 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2023.
• Drue Tranquill has 4.5 sacks (fourth on the Chiefs) as well as 7.0 TFL and 74 tackles.
• L'Jarius Sneed has recorded 72 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two interceptions this year.
• Justin Reid has 1.0 sack to go along with his 3.0 TFL, 81 tackles, and one interception this year.

Las Vegas Betting Info

• Las Vegas has covered the spread seven times in 14 games with a set total.
• The Raiders covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 10 points or more.
• Las Vegas' games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season.
• The Raiders have won one of the seven games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Las Vegas has played as an underdog of +390 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The Raiders have a 20.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Raiders Stats

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

• Joshua Jacobs averages 61.9 rushing yards per game this year (805 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
• Jacobs' contributions include 37 receptions (2.8 per game) on 54 targets for 296 yards (22.8 per game), but he has not found the endzone through the air.
• Davante Adams has 968 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 84 receptions, while being targeted 140 times.
• Jakobi Meyers has recorded 648 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) on 59 receptions, while being targeted 86 times this season.
• Aidan O'Connell has 1,613 passing yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 63.1% and he averages 201.6 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
• He has tacked on 11 rushing yards (ninth on the Raiders), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 1.4 yards per game and 1.6 per carry).

Defense

• Maxx Crosby's 2023 output includes 80 tackles, 19.0 TFL, and 13.5 sacks through 14 games. He is third on the Raiders in tackles.
• Robert Spillane's stat sheet includes three interceptions as well as 119 tackles, 6.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Trevon Moehrig has intercepted two passes on top of 74 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and five passes defended in the 2023 season.
• Divine Deablo has put up 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 86 tackles through 12 games.

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