Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Published Nov. 22, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) will face off against the Las Vegas Raiders (5-6). The Chiefs are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The game has an over/under of 43 points.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Raiders Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2023, 12:34 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Chiefs -8.5 -110 -110 43 -108 -112
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Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Las Vegas (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (43)
  • Prediction: Kansas City 22 - Las Vegas 16

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Las Vegas

  • Game Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
  • Time: 4:25 PM ET
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium
  • Location: Paradise, Nevada
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

  • In their past five head-to-head bouts, Kansas City has won against Las Vegas five times.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has put up 164 points, while Las Vegas has compiled 64.

Kansas City Betting Info

  • In 10 Kansas City games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
  • The Chiefs have been favored by 8.5 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
  • Kansas City games this year have eclipsed the over/under just two times in 10 opportunities (20%).
  • When playing as moneyline favorites, the Chiefs have won 70% of the time (7-3).
  • Kansas City has played three times as a moneyline favorite with odds of -380 or shorter, and earned a victory in each game.
  • Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 79.2%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 255.2 (2,552) 6
Rush yards 110.2 (1,102) 14
Points scored 22.5 (225) 16
Pass yards against 170.8 (1,708) 4
Rush yards against 112.4 (1,124) 18
Points allowed 16.4 (164) 3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

  • Patrick Mahomes II has 2,619 passing yards (seventh in the NFL), 19 touchdowns (third in the NFL) and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 67.1% of his attempts, averaging 261.9 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
  • In addition to his passing stats, Mahomes has 296 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
  • Isiah Pacheco averages 4.3 yards per carry (15th in the NFL) and 61.4 yards per game, and has 614 total rushing yards (10th in the NFL). He has scored three rushing TDs this season.
  • He has caught 25 passes (on 29 targets) for 162 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 16.2 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
  • In the passing game, Travis Kelce, has totaled 641 receiving yards and five touchdowns after pulling down 64 balls on 81 targets. Per game, he's averaging 71.2 yards and 7.1 receptions through nine games.
  • Rashee Rice has 420 receiving yards and four touchdowns with 36 catches on 46 targets. He's averaging 3.6 receptions and 42.0 yards per game.

Defense

  • On the defensive side for the Chiefs, Trent McDuffie has powered the unit with 55 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and two sacks in 2023.
  • Drue Tranquill has 62 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks this season. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
  • Chris Jones has recorded 22 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and 7.5 sacks this year.
  • Justin Reid has one interception while adding 49 tackles, 2.0 TFL, one sack, and six passes defended.

Las Vegas Betting Info

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread six times over 11 games with a set total.
  • The Raiders have been underdogs by 8.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
  • Las Vegas games have gone over the total twice this year.
  • This season, the Raiders have been the underdog five times and won one of those games.
  • Las Vegas has played as an underdog of +300 or more once this season and lost that game.
  • The Raiders have a 25.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Raiders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 198.3 (2,181) 23
Rush yards 79.0 (869) 31
Points scored 16.8 (185) 26
Pass yards against 210.0 (2,310) 11
Rush yards against 132.3 (1,455) 27
Points allowed 20.5 (225) 13

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

  • Joshua Jacobs averages 60.1 rushing yards per game this year (661 total yards to rank seventh in the NFL), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
  • Jacobs' offensive contributions include 31 receptions (2.8 per game) on 46 targets for 265 yards (24.1 per game), but he has not found the endzone in the passing game.
  • Davante Adams has 741 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 64 receptions, while being targeted 111 times.
  • In 10 games played this season, Jakobi Meyers has 46 catches (4.6 receptions per game on 6.9 targets per game) for 512 yards and five receiving touchdowns.
  • In six games, Jimmy Garoppolo has 1,205 passing yards, while throwing seven touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 65.5% of his attempts.

Defense

  • Maxx Crosby has 65 tackles, 14.0 TFL, 10.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
  • Robert Spillane has 94 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and three interceptions. He leads the Raiders in tackles.
  • Trevon Moehrig has 64 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in the 2023 campaign. He is fourth on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Divine Deablo's season stats include 65 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in nine games. He is second on the Raiders in tackles.
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