Chiefs vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 7

Updated Oct. 7, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5) over the New Orleans Saints (2-2). The Chiefs have won four games in a row. An over/under of 43 points has been set for the matchup.

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Chiefs vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 7, 2024, 2:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-5.5	-108	-112	43	-112	-108

Chiefs vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+5.5)
Pick OU: Over (43)
Prediction: Chiefs 25 - Saints 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Monday, October 7, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: ESPN
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Saints Recent Matchups

In their past four matchups, New Orleans holds a split 2-2 record against Kansas City.
Over their last four head-to-head contests, New Orleans has put up 102 points, while Kansas City has tallied 94.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has covered the spread twice in 2024.
The Chiefs have not covered the spread when favored by 5.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in two out of four opportunities (50%).
The Chiefs have won each of the four games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
The Chiefs have a 69.7% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	215.8 (863)	13
Rush yards	112.5 (450)	17
Points scored	23.0 (92)	23
Pass yards against	227.8 (911)	22
Rush yards against	99.0 (396)	7
Points allowed	18.0 (72)	8

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 904 passing yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He has completed 68.6% of his passes, averaging 226 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
He has tacked on 61 rushing yards (15.3 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
Xavier Worthy has caught nine passes on 15 targets for 154 total yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 2.3 catches and 38.5 yards per game through four games.
Through four games played, Travis Kelce is averaging 39.5 yards and 3.8 receptions per game on the way to 158 receiving yards and 15 catches. He's been targeted 21 times, but has not caught a touchdown pass.
In the running game, Samaje Perine averages 3.5 yards per attempt and 9.8 yards per game for 39 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.

Defense

On the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has one interception to go with 23 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in 2024.
Nick Bolton has 27 tackles and four TFL this season.
Chris Jones has collected nine tackles, three TFL, and three sacks this year.
Jaylen Watson has 24 tackles on the year.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has covered the spread three times over four games with a set total.
This season, the Saints won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
This season, New Orleans games have hit the over three times.
The Saints have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 34.5% chance of a victory for the Saints.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	201.5 (806)	21
Rush yards	147.5 (590)	7
Points scored	31.8 (127)	7
Pass yards against	233.8 (935)	24
Rush yards against	96.5 (386)	6
Points allowed	17.5 (70)	7

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has racked up 362 total rushing yards (90.5 per game and 4.5 per carry).
Kamara has also been a part of the passing attack with 174 yards (43.5 per game) on 17 receptions (4.3 per game), while being targeted 20 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
Derek Carr has 824 passing yards, six touchdowns and three interceptions. His completion percentage is 72% and he averages 206 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt.
He has also added 22 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 5.5 yards per game and 2.8 per carry).
Rashid Shaheed has put up 252 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 15 receptions, while being targeted 25 times this season.
Chris Olave has been targeted 24 times, resulting in 20 catches for 265 yards .

Defense

Alontae Taylor has amassed 3.5 sacks (first on the Saints) to go with four TFL and 24 tackles over four games in 2024.
Paulson Adebo has two interceptions on top of 32 tackles, one TFL, and seven passes defended. He's third in the NFL in interceptions.
In the 2024 campaign, Tyrann Mathieu has 16 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions through four games.
Carl Granderson's season stats include 15 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks in four games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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