Chiefs vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 7

Published Oct. 5, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (4-0) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -5.5) over the New Orleans Saints (2-2). The Chiefs have won four games in a row. The matchup has an over/under of 43 points.

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Chiefs vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Saints Betting Information updated as of October 5, 2024, 2:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-5.5	-115	-105	43	-112	-108

Chiefs vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-5.5)
Pick OU: Over (43)
Prediction: Chiefs 26 - Saints 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Monday, October 7, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: ESPN
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Saints Recent Matchups

In their past four matchups, New Orleans holds a split 2-2 record against Kansas City.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, New Orleans has scored 102 points against Kansas City, while surrendering only 94 points.

Kansas City Betting Info

So far this year Kansas City has two victories against the spread.
The Chiefs have been favored by 5.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
Kansas City games this year have gone over the total in two out of four opportunities (50%).
The Chiefs have yet to lose when playing as the moneyline favorite, going 4-0 in those matchups this season.
Based on this game's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 72.6%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	215.8 (863)	11
Rush yards	112.5 (450)	15
Points scored	23.0 (92)	15
Pass yards against	227.8 (911)	22
Rush yards against	99.0 (396)	8
Points allowed	18.0 (72)	7

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 904 passing yards, six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 68.6% of his passes, averaging 226.0 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 61 yards (fourth on the Chiefs) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 15.3 rushing yards per game.
Xavier Worthy has caught nine passes on 15 targets for 154 total yards and two touchdowns. He is averaging 2.3 catches and 38.5 yards per game in four games.
Travis Kelce is still looking for his first touchdown catch, but has 15 catches for 158 yards on 21 targets, while averaging 3.8 catches and 39.5 yards per game.
Samaje Perine has rushed for 39 yards with one touchdown (9.8 yards per game in four games).

Defense

On the defensive side, Chamarri Conner has 23 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2024.
Nick Bolton has 27 tackles and 4.0 TFL this season. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
Chris Jones has totaled nine tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks this year.
So far this season, Jaylen Watson has 24 tackles. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans is 3-1-0 against the spread this year.
This year, the Saints won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
New Orleans games have gone over the total three times this year.
The Saints have split the two games they've played as underdogs this season.
The Saints have a 31.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	201.5 (806)	19
Rush yards	147.5 (590)	7
Points scored	31.8 (127)	1
Pass yards against	233.8 (935)	24
Rush yards against	96.5 (386)	7
Points allowed	17.5 (70)	6

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has racked up 362 total rushing yards (90.5 per game and 4.5 per attempt).
Kamara has also been a part of the passing game with 174 yards (43.5 per game) on 17 receptions (4.3 per game), while being targeted 20 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
Derek Carr has 824 passing yards, six touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and three interceptions. His completion percentage is 72.0% and he averages 206.0 yards per game and 8.2 per attempt.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 22 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints).
In four games played this season, Rashid Shaheed has 15 catches (3.8 receptions per game on 6.2 targets per game) for 252 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
Chris Olave has 20 catches for 265 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 5.0 yards per game through four games and has been targeted 24 times.

Defense

In 2024, Alontae Taylor has recorded 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 24 tackles over four games. He ranks 10th in the NFL in sacks.
Paulson Adebo has two interceptions on top of 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and seven passes defended. He's third in the league in interceptions.
Tyrann Mathieu has intercepted two passes on top of 16 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended during the 2024 season. His interception total ranks third in the league.
Carl Granderson's stat sheet includes 15 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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