Chiefs vs. Steelers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 25

Updated Dec. 23, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (14-1) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3) over the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-5). The Chiefs have won five games straight. The over/under for this one is set at 43.5 points.

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Chiefs vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of December 23, 2024, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-3	-105	-115	43.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Steelers (+3)
Pick OU: Under (43.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 22 - Steelers 21

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Pittsburgh

Game Date: Wednesday, December 25, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Acrisure Stadium
Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
TV: Netflix
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

Kansas City owns a 3-2 record against Pittsburgh in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has put up 149 points, while Pittsburgh has compiled 105.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City is 6-9-0 against the spread this season.
When playing as at least 3-point favorites this season, the Chiefs have an ATS record of 5-8.
Kansas City games in 2024 have eclipsed the over/under seven times in 15 opportunities (46.7%).
The Chiefs have yet to lose a game they played as the moneyline favorite, going 13-0 in those matchups this season.
The Chiefs have a 61.8% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	225.9 (3,389)	12
Rush yards	112.9 (1,694)	15
Points scored	23.7 (356)	11
Pass yards against	215.8 (3,237)	17
Rush yards against	91.4 (1,371)	3
Points allowed	18.5 (278)	3

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 3,608 passing yards (seventh in the NFL), 23 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 240.5 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
He has also rushed for 295 yards (second on the Chiefs) and added two touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 19.7 rushing yards per game.
Kareem Hunt's rushing statline this season includes 708 yards and six TDs. He's averaging 59 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
Hunt has 23 receptions on 32 targets for 176 yards. He has yet to score a receiving touchdown.
In 15 games played, Xavier Worthy is averaging 37.3 yards and 3.4 receptions per game on the way to 559 receiving yards and 51 catches. He's been targeted 89 times, and has five receiving touchdowns.
DeAndre Hopkins has 603 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 54 catches on 76 targets. He's averaging 3.6 receptions and 40.2 yards per game.

Defense

On defense for the Chiefs, Nick Bolton has racked up 98 tackles, 11 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 2024.
Drue Tranquill has 85 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this season.
Chamarri Conner has totaled two interceptions and added 65 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
Justin Reid has five TFL, 80 tackles, and one interception on the year.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

Pittsburgh has gone 10-5-0 against the spread this year.
The Steelers are 4-2 ATS when underdogs by 3 points or more this season.
Pittsburgh games have gone over the total eight times this year.
This season, the Steelers have been the underdog seven times and won five of those games.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Steelers have a 42.4% chance to win.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	198.9 (2,983)	25
Rush yards	126.0 (1,890)	11
Points scored	23.5 (353)	12
Pass yards against	220.7 (3,310)	20
Rush yards against	102.7 (1,541)	7
Points allowed	19.9 (299)	6

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

Najee Harris has rushed for five touchdowns this year, and has put up 933 total rushing yards (62.2 per game and 3.9 per carry).
Harris has also been a part of the passing attack with 256 yards (17.1 per game) on 30 receptions (two per game), while being targeted 39 times. He is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
Russell Wilson has 2,129 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and four interceptions. His completion percentage is 64.9% and he averages 236.6 yards per game and 7.9 per attempt.
He has added 84 rushing yards (fifth on the Steelers), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 9.3 yards per game and 2.5 per carry).
In 10 games this season, Justin Fields has amassed 1,106 passing yards, while throwing five touchdowns against one interception and completing 65.8% of his attempts.
He's added 289 yards on the ground (third on the Steelers), with five rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 28.9 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt.
George Pickens has 850 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 55 receptions after receiving 90 targets.

Defense

In 2024, T.J. Watt has recorded 58 tackles, 18 TFL, and 11.5 sacks over 15 games.
Cameron Heyward has totaled eight sacks in addition to his 11 TFL and 66 tackles over 15 games.
DeShon Elliott has recorded three TFL, 96 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 season.
Patrick Queen has totaled five TFL and 117 tackles through 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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