Chiefs vs. Texans 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 21

Updated Dec. 21, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) will be trying to extend a four-game winning run against the Houston Texans (9-5). The Chiefs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4). The expected point total for the game is 42.5.

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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information updated as of December 21, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-4	-102	-130	42.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-4)
Pick OU: Over (42.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 25 - Texans 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston

Game Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups

Kansas City holds a 3-2 record against Houston in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has racked up 159 points, while Houston has posted 139.

Kansas City Betting Info

Against the spread, Kansas City is 5-9-0 this year.
The Chiefs have covered the spread twice when favored by 4 points or more this season (in 10 opportunities).
Kansas City has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 42.9% of its contests this year (six times over 14 games with a set point total).
The Chiefs were favored on the moneyline 12 times this season, and won each of those games.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Chiefs' implied win probability is 64.3%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	224.1 (3,138)	13
Rush yards	112.1 (1,570)	16
Points scored	23.5 (329)	12
Pass yards against	215.0 (3,010)	14
Rush yards against	91.9 (1,287)	3
Points allowed	18.5 (259)	4

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 3,348 yards (10th in the NFL), 22 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He is averaging 239.1 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 66.7% of his attempts.
He has also rushed for 262 yards (third on the Chiefs) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 18.7 rushing yards per game.
Kareem Hunt's rushing statline this season includes 653 yards and five TDs. He's averaging 59.4 yards per game and 3.6 per attempt (41st in the NFL).
He's also hauled in 21 passes (on 29 targets) for 152 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 13.8 receiving yards and 1.9 catches per game.
Through 14 games played, Xavier Worthy is averaging 35.3 yards and 3.1 receptions per game on the way to 494 receiving yards and 44 catches. He's been targeted 78 times, and has four receiving touchdowns.
DeAndre Hopkins has racked up 566 receiving yards and five touchdowns with 50 catches on 72 targets. He is averaging 3.6 receptions and 40.4 yards per game.

Defense

On defense, Nick Bolton has three sacks (fourth on the Chiefs) to go with 10 TFL, 94 tackles, and one interception in 2024.
Chamarri Conner has picked off two pases and has added 65 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
This season, Drue Tranquill has recorded two sacks (fifth on the Chiefs) as well as four TFL and 78 tackles.
So far this season, Justin Reid has 75 tackles, four TFL, and one interception.

Houston Betting Info

Houston has gone 6-7-1 against the spread this season.
The Texans have been underdogs by 4 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
Games involving Houston have hit the over on four occasions this year.
This season, the Texans have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
The implied probability of a win by the Texans based on the moneyline is 40.0%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	212.8 (2,979)	19
Rush yards	111.4 (1,560)	17
Points scored	23.4 (328)	13
Pass yards against	196.9 (2,756)	6
Rush yards against	105.6 (1,478)	10
Points allowed	21.4 (300)	9

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud is averaging 7.1 passing yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 232 yards per game this year, completing 63.6% of his passes on the way to 3,248 total yards, 17 touchdowns and nine interceptions through 14 games.
He's added 203 yards on the ground (second on the Texans), with zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 14.5 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt.
Joe Mixon has scored 11 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 910 rushing yards (4.2 per attempt and 82.7 per game).
Mixon has also picked up 277 receiving yards (25.2 per game) on 32 catches (2.9 per game). He's been targeted 46 times and has caught one touchdown pass.
Nico Collins has totaled 849 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 53 receptions, while being targeted 78 times this season.
Tank Dell has 45 catches for 569 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.5 yards per game in 13 games and has been targeted 74 times.

Defense

Danielle Hunter has 42 tackles, 17 TFL, 12 sacks, and three passes defended in 2024.
Will Anderson Jr. has 32 tackles, 14 TFL, and 10.5 sacks.
Henry To'o To'o has recorded 1.5 sacks as well as six TFL, 85 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 campaign.
Derek Stingley Jr. has totaled four TFL, 46 tackles, and five interceptions through 14 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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