Chiefs vs. Texans 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 21

Updated Dec. 19, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1) will be trying to extend a four-game winning run against the Houston Texans (9-5). The Chiefs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). An over/under of 42.5 points has been set for the matchup.

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Chiefs vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs Texans Betting Information updated as of December 19, 2024, 8:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chiefs	-3.5	-105	-115	42.5	-110	-110

Chiefs vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chiefs (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (42.5)
Prediction: Chiefs 25 - Texans 18

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Houston

Game Date: Saturday, December 21, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
TV: NBC
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chiefs vs. Texans Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Kansas City has totaled three wins versus Houston.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Kansas City has scored 159 points, while Houston has accumulated 139.

Kansas City Betting Info

Kansas City has five wins in 14 games versus the spread this year.
The Chiefs have covered the spread twice when favored by 3.5 points or more this season (in 10 opportunities).
Kansas City contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 42.9% of the time (six times in 14 games with a set point total).
The Chiefs have won each of the 12 games they were favored on the moneyline this season.
The Chiefs have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 64.9%.

Chiefs Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	224.1 (3,138)	13
Rush yards	112.1 (1,570)	16
Points scored	23.5 (329)	12
Pass yards against	215.0 (3,010)	14
Rush yards against	91.9 (1,287)	3
Points allowed	18.5 (259)	5

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

Patrick Mahomes has 3,348 passing yards (10th in the NFL), 22 touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) and 11 interceptions this year. He has completed 66.7% of his attempts, averaging 239.1 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
To go along with his passing stats, Mahomes also has 262 rushing yards (third on the Chiefs), with one rushing touchdown.
Kareem Hunt averages 3.6 yards per carry (41st in the NFL) and 59.4 yards per game, and has 653 total rushing yards. He has recorded five rushing TDs this season.
Hunt has 21 receptions on 29 targets for 152 yards. He has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
In the passing game, Xavier Worthy, has totaled 494 receiving yards and four touchdowns after catching 44 balls on 78 targets. Per game, he's averaging 35.3 yards and 3.1 receptions through 14 games.
DeAndre Hopkins averages 3.6 receptions and 40.4 yards per game, and has 566 total receiving yards and 50 catches. He's gotten 72 total targets, and has caught five touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on defense, Nick Bolton has 94 tackles, 10 TFL, three sacks, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Chiefs.
Chamarri Conner has 65 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions this season.
Drue Tranquill has put up 78 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this year. He's second on the Chiefs in tackles.
This season, Justin Reid has 75 tackles, four TFL, and one interception. He's third on the Chiefs in tackles.

Houston Betting Info

Houston has compiled a 6-7-1 record against the spread this season.
The Texans covered the spread in their only game when underdogs by 3.5 points or more.
Houston's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season.
This season, the Texans have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 39.4% chance of a victory for the Texans.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	212.8 (2,979)	19
Rush yards	111.4 (1,560)	17
Points scored	23.4 (328)	13
Pass yards against	196.9 (2,756)	6
Rush yards against	105.6 (1,478)	10
Points allowed	21.4 (300)	9

Houston's Key Players

Offense

In 14 games played this year, C.J. Stroud has amassed 3,248 passing yards, with 17 touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 63.6% of his passes.
On the ground, Stroud has added 203 rushing yards (second on the Texans).
Joe Mixon averages 82.7 rushing yards per game through 11 games (910 total yards), while scoring 11 rushing touchdowns.
Mixon also has 32 catches for 277 yards (fifth on the Texans), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 46 times and averages 25.2 yards per game.
In nine games played this season, Nico Collins has 53 catches (5.9 receptions per game on 8.7 targets per game) for 849 yards and six receiving touchdowns.
Tank Dell has been targeted 74 times, resulting in 45 catches for 569 yards .

Defense

Danielle Hunter has 42 tackles, 17 TFL, 12 sacks, and three passes defended in 2024.
Will Anderson Jr. has registered 10.5 sacks in addition to his 14 TFL and 32 tackles through 11 games. He's seventh in the NFL in sacks.
Henry To'o To'o has intercepted one pass on top of 85 tackles, six TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three passes defended during the 2024 season.
Derek Stingley Jr.'s stat sheet includes five interceptions (fourth in the NFL) as well as 46 tackles, four TFL, and 17 passes defended in 14 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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