Chiefs vs. Vikings Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 1:10 p.m. ET

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Having won three straight, the Kansas City Chiefs (3-1) will face the Minnesota Vikings (1-3). The Chiefs are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5). An over/under of 53 points has been established for the matchup.

Chiefs vs. Vikings Odds & Betting Lines

Chiefs vs. Vikings Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Minnesota (+4.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (53)
  
• Prediction: Kansas City 23 - Minnesota 20

How to Watch Kansas City vs. Minnesota

• Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
• Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: Watch on CBS

Chiefs vs. Vikings Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Kansas City has defeated Minnesota three times.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Minnesota has scored 111 points, while Kansas City has tallied 91.

Kansas City Betting Info

• Kansas City has covered the spread on two occasions in 2023.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread once when favored by 4.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• Kansas City games this year have hit the over two times in four opportunities (50%).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Chiefs are 3-1, picking up a win 75% of the time.
• Kansas City has played as a moneyline favorite of -205 or shorter in only two games this season, and it won both.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Chiefs a 67.2% chance to win.

Chiefs Stats

Kansas City's Key Players

Offense

• Patrick Mahomes II has thrown for 1,006 yards (10th in the NFL), eight touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and four interceptions this year. He averages 251.5 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt, while completing 64.3% of his passes.
• To go along with his passing statistics, Mahomes has 154 rushing yards (second on the Chiefs), but no touchdowns.
• Isiah Pacheco averages 4.9 yards per carry (12th in the NFL) and 67.5 yards per game, and has 270 total rushing yards. He has recorded two rushing TDs this season.
• Pacheco has 10 receptions on 12 targets for 90 yards. He has not scored a receiving touchdown.
• In the passing game, Travis Kelce, has totaled 155 receiving yards and two touchdowns after pulling down 17 balls on 26 targets. Per game, he's averaging 51.7 yards and 5.7 receptions in three games.
• Rashee Rice has racked up 140 receiving yards and one touchdown with 13 catches on 19 targets. He's averaging 3.3 receptions and 35.0 yards per game.

Defense

• Over on defense, Trent McDuffie has 22 tackles in 2023.
• Drue Tranquill has 0.5 sacks (fifth on the Chiefs) to go with 22 tackles.
• L'Jarius Sneed has put up 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
• This season, Michael Danna has 15 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks.

Minnesota Betting Info

• Minnesota has covered the spread one time over four games with a set spread.
• The Vikings have yet to cover the spread this year when underdogs by 4.5 points or more.
• This year, Minnesota games have hit the over just once.
• The Vikings lost the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
• Minnesota has played as an underdog of +170 or more once this season and lost that game.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 37.0% chance of a victory for the Vikings.

Vikings Stats

Minnesota's Key Players

Offense

• Kirk Cousins has passed for 1,214 yards this year (to rank third in the NFL), with 11 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and four interceptions. He is completing 68.8% of his attempts while averaging 303.5 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
• Justin Jefferson has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 33 catches (third in the NFL) for 543 yards (first in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL) in four games played. He has been on the receiving end of 47 targets and is averaging 8.3 receptions per game.
• Alexander Mattison has yet to rush for a touchdown this season, but has totaled 250 rushing yards (62.5 per game and 4.5 per attempt).
• Mattison has helped out in the passing game, picking up 56 receiving yards (14.0 per game) on 12 catches (3.0 per game), while being targeted 18 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
• Jordan Addison has 13 catches for 185 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.3 yards per game in four games and has been targeted 20 times.

Defense

• So far in 2023, Danielle Hunter has 5.0 sacks to go with 8.0 TFL and 23 tackles over four games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
• Harrison Smith has 28 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and three sacks.
• Camryn Bynum has 2.0 TFL and 43 tackles.
• Jordan Hicks' season stats include 33 tackles and 1.0 TFL through four games. He is second on the Vikings in tackles.

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