Colts vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Published Nov. 22, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Indianapolis Colts (5-5) are considered favorites (-2.5) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) on November 26, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 44.

Colts vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Colts vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2023, 9:33 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Colts	-2.5	-115	-105	44	-108	-112

Colts vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Indianapolis (-2.5)
Pick OU: Over (44)
Prediction: Indianapolis 24 - Tampa Bay 20

How to Watch Indianapolis vs. Tampa Bay

Game Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: Watch on CBS

Colts vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Indianapolis has totaled three wins versus Tampa Bay.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Indianapolis has racked up 148 points, while Tampa Bay has accumulated 123.

Indianapolis Betting Info

Indianapolis has six wins in 10 games versus the spread this year.
Indianapolis games this year have hit the over on six of 10 set point totals (60%).
The Colts have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they won both.
Indianapolis has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -135 or shorter.
The Colts have a 57.4% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Colts Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	218.1 (2,181)	17
Rush yards	118.0 (1,180)	10
Points scored	24.2 (242)	10
Pass yards against	228.8 (2,288)	18
Rush yards against	129.7 (1,297)	25
Points allowed	24.8 (248)	26

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

Zack Moss has recorded 617 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) with five touchdowns (68.6 yards per game through nine games). His 4.6 yards per attempt rank 13th in the NFL.
He has also caught 16 passes (on 20 targets) for 123 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 13.7 receving yards and 1.8 catches per game.
Gardner Minshew has passed for 1,721 yards, eight touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 191.2 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 63.7%.
He has added 44 rushing yards (4.9 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
In 10 games played, Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 67.7 yards and 6.6 receptions per game to total 677 receiving yards and 66 catches. He's been targeted 98 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
Josh Downs averages 4.3 receptions and 52.3 yards per game, and has 523 total receiving yards and 43 catches. He's gotten 60 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Zaire Franklin has 117 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Colts and is third in the NFL.
Kenny Moore II has picked off three pases (sixth in the NFL) and has added 67 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and five passes defended.
DeForest Buckner has recorded 44 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and five sacks this year.
So far this season, Julian Blackmon has 66 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three interceptions. He's third on the Colts in tackles.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay have registered a 7-3-0 record against the spread this year.
The Buccaneers have an against the spread record of 5-2 in their seven games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more this season.
Tampa Bay games have gone over the total twice this year.
The Buccaneers have entered the game as underdogs seven times this season and won twice.
Tampa Bay has a record of 2-5 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least +114 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Buccaneers have a 46.7% chance to win.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	227.8 (2,278)	14
Rush yards	76.9 (769)	32
Points scored	19.2 (192)	23
Pass yards against	270.7 (2,707)	31
Rush yards against	90.0 (900)	6
Points allowed	20.0 (200)	9

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

In 10 games played this year, Baker Mayfield has racked up 2,389 passing yards, while throwing 15 touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 64.6% of his passes.
Mayfield has also rushed for 139 yards (second on the Buccaneers).
Mike Evans has 780 receiving yards and seven touchdowns (third in the NFL) on 48 receptions, while being targeted 82 times.
Rachaad White has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has totaled 459 rushing yards (45.9 per game and 3.3 per carry).
White's offensive output includes 41 receptions (4.1 per game) on 44 targets for 354 yards (35.4 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
Chris Godwin has been targeted 75 times, resulting in 50 catches for 561 yards .

Defense

Lavonte David has 3.0 sacks (fourth on the Buccaneers) to go with 14.0 TFL and 90 tackles through 10 games in 2023.
Antoine Winfield Jr. has one interception on top of 71 tackles, 2.0 TFL, two sacks, and seven passes defended.
Devin White has intercepted one pass on top of 62 tackles, 3.0 TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended during the 2023 campaign.
Vita Vea's season stats include 31 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks in nine games.