Colts vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 12

Published Nov. 8, 2023 7:03 a.m. ET

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The Indianapolis Colts (4-5) are favored by 1.5 points against the New England Patriots (2-7) on November 12, 2023, starting at 9:30 AM ET, airing on NFL Network. The matchup has an over/under of 43.5 points.

Colts vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Indianapolis (-1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Indianapolis 28 - New England 19

How to Watch Indianapolis vs. New England

• Game Date: Sunday, November 12, 2023
• Time: 9:30 AM ET
• Venue: Deutsche Bank Park
• Location: Frankfurt-Flughafen, Germany
• TV: Watch on NFL Network

Colts vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New England has put up five wins versus Indianapolis.
• Indianapolis has been outpaced by 104 points in its last five tilts against New England.

Indianapolis Betting Info

• Indianapolis has five wins in nine games versus the spread this year.
• The Colts have won their only game this season when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites.
• Indianapolis has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 66.7% of its contests this year (six times in nine games with a set point total).
• The Colts have been moneyline favorites a single other time this season, a game they won.
• Indianapolis has played as a moneyline favorite of -120 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• The Colts have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 54.5%.

Colts Stats

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

• Zack Moss' rushing stat line this season includes 615 yards (second in the NFL) and five TDs. He is averaging 76.9 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt (eighth in the NFL).
• He's also hauled in 16 passes (on 20 targets) for 123 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 15.4 receving yards and two catches per game.
• Gardner Minshew has passed for 1,527 yards, eight touchdowns and five interceptions this year. He averages 190.9 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 63.6%.
• He has tacked on 45 rushing yards (5.6 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
• In nine games played, Michael Pittman Jr. is averaging 65.9 yards and 6.4 receptions per game on the way to 593 receiving yards and 58 catches (ninth in the NFL). He's been targeted 86 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
• Josh Downs has racked up 483 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 41 catches on 57 targets. He's averaging 4.6 receptions and 53.7 yards per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Zaire Franklin has 102 tackles, two TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 2023.
• Kenny Moore II has 61 tackles, seven TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three interceptions this season.
• This season, DeForest Buckner has recorded five sacks (first on the Colts) to go with his six TFL and 36 tackles.
• Julian Blackmon has two interceptions with 62 tackles, five TFL, and three passes defended.

New England Betting Info

• New England has registered a win-loss record of 2-7-0 against the spread this season.
• This season, the Patriots have just one ATS win in six games as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
• This season, New England games have hit the over three times.
• This season, the Patriots have been the underdog six times and won one of those games.
• This season, New England has won one of its six games when it is the underdog by at least +100 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 50.0% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Mac Jones is averaging 6.1 passing yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 206.8 yards per game this year, completing 64.8% of his passes on the way to 1,861 total yards, 10 touchdowns and nine interceptions through nine games.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has 394 rushing yards (leading the Patriots) and three rushing touchdowns, while averaging 43.8 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (32nd in the NFL).
• Stevenson has added 29 receptions (3.2 per game) for 215 yards (23.9 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 40 times in the passing game.
• Hunter Henry has totaled 277 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 27 receptions, while being targeted 41 times on the season.
• Ezekiel Elliott puts up 30.8 rushing yards per game over nine games (277 total yards), with two rushing touchdowns.

Defense

• Ja'Whaun Bentley has 68 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and three passes defended in 2023.
• Kyle Dugger has two interceptions on top of 61 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
• During the 2023 season, Jabrill Peppers has 51 tackles, three TFL, and one interception through nine games.
• Jahlani Tavai's season stats include 53 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one interception in nine games. He is third on the Patriots in tackles.

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