Colts vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Indianapolis Colts (8-7) are favored by 3.5 points versus the Las Vegas Raiders (7-8) on December 31, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for this one is set at 43.5 points.

Colts vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Colts vs Raiders Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2023, 11:33 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Colts	-3.5	-105	-115	43.5	-110	-110

Colts vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Las Vegas (+3.5)
Pick OU: Over (43.5)
Prediction: Indianapolis 23 - Las Vegas 21

How to Watch Indianapolis vs. Las Vegas

Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
TV: Watch on CBS

Colts vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Indianapolis has put up three wins against Las Vegas.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Indianapolis has scored 137 points against Las Vegas, while giving up only 129 points.

Indianapolis Betting Info

Indianapolis has played 15 games, posting nine wins against the spread.
Indianapolis games this year have hit the over on 10 of 15 set point totals (66.7%).
The Colts have yet to lose a game they played as the moneyline favorite, going 5-0 in those matchups this season.
Indianapolis has not yet played a game with moneyline odds of -175 or shorter.
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Colts' implied win probability is 63.6%.

Colts Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	221.2 (3,318)	19
Rush yards	113.2 (1,698)	13
Points scored	23.6 (354)	9
Pass yards against	220.7 (3,310)	14
Rush yards against	130.7 (1,961)	28
Points allowed	24.8 (372)	28

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

Gardner Minshew has 2,940 passing yards, 14 touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 62.5% of his passes, averaging 210.0 yards per game and 6.6 per attempt.
He has added 88 rushing yards (6.3 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
Zack Moss has recorded 764 rushing yards with five touchdowns (58.8 yards per game across 13 games). His 4.3 yards per attempt rank 14th in the NFL.
Moss has 27 catches on 37 targets for 192 yards. He has two receiving TDs.
In the passing game, Michael Pittman Jr., has racked up 1,062 receiving yards and four touchdowns after catching 99 balls (sixth in the NFL) on 143 targets. Per game, he's averaging 75.9 yards and 7.1 receptions through 14 games.
Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 457 yards with five touchdowns (57.1 yards per game across eight games).
He's added 16 catches (on 20 targets) for 137 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 17.1 receiving yards and 2.0 receptions per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Zaire Franklin has 161 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and five passes defended in 2023.
DeForest Buckner has 71 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and six sacks this season.
Kenny Moore II has recorded 91 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three interceptions this year.
This season, Samson Ebukam has 51 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks.

Las Vegas Betting Info

Las Vegas have compiled an 8-5-2 record against the spread this year.
This season, the Raiders have just two against the spread wins in six games as an underdog of 3.5 points or more.
Las Vegas' games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year.
The Raiders have entered the game as underdogs eight times this season and won twice.
Las Vegas has a record of 1-5 when it is set as an underdog of +145 or more by bookmakers this season.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Raiders have a 40.8% chance to win.

Raiders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	190.9 (2,864)	23
Rush yards	88.6 (1,329)	31
Points scored	19.0 (285)	25
Pass yards against	210.5 (3,157)	11
Rush yards against	122.2 (1,833)	22
Points allowed	19.6 (294)	8

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

So far this year through 13 games, Joshua Jacobs has churned out 805 rushing yards (leading the Raiders) and scored six rushing touchdowns. He averages 61.9 yards per game and 3.5 per carry (42nd in the NFL).
Jacobs has also played a role the passing attack with 296 yards (22.8 per game) on 37 receptions (2.8 per game), while being targeted 54 times. He is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
Davante Adams has 972 receiving yards and five touchdowns on 85 receptions, while being targeted 146 times.
Jakobi Meyers has put up 690 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 62 receptions, while being targeted 91 times on the season.
Through nine games, Aidan O'Connell has 1,675 passing yards, while throwing eight touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 61.5% of his attempts.
O'Connell also has one rushing touchdown and 7 rushing yards (ninth on the Raiders).

Defense

Maxx Crosby's 2023 effort includes 82 tackles, 20.0 TFL, and 13.5 sacks in 15 games. He is third on the Raiders in tackles.
Robert Spillane's stat sheet includes three interceptions as well as 130 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
In the 2023 campaign, Trevon Moehrig has 77 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions through 15 games.
Nate Hobbs' stat sheet includes one interception as well as 76 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and seven passes defended in 11 games

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