Colts vs. Rams Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1

Published Sep. 27, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Indianapolis Colts (2-1) are considered favorites (-1) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the Los Angeles Rams (1-2) on October 1, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The matchup has an over/under of 46.5 points.

Colts vs. Rams Odds & Betting Lines

Colts vs. Rams Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Los Angeles (+1)
  
• Pick OU: Under (46.5)
  
• Prediction: Indianapolis 23 - Los Angeles 22

How to Watch Indianapolis vs. Los Angeles

• Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: Watch on FOX

Colts vs. Rams Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head bouts, Los Angeles has defeated Indianapolis three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Los Angeles has compiled 160 points against Indianapolis, while allowing only 121 points.

Indianapolis Betting Info

• Indianapolis won six games against the spread last season, failing to cover 11 times.
• The Colts won once ATS (1-6) as a 1-point favorite or more last year.
• Last season, seven Indianapolis games went over the point total.
• The Colts went 1-5-1 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 14.3% of those games).
• Indianapolis had a 1-5-1 record last year (winning only 14.3% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -115 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Colts a 53.5% chance to win.

Colts Stats (2022)

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

• Michael Pittman Jr. totaled 925 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 99 receptions (10th in the NFL), while being targeted 141 times last season.
• Isaiah McKenzie had 423 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 42 receptions, while being targeted 65 times with the Bills last season.
• Alec Pierce totaled 593 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 41 receptions while being targeted 78 times last season.
• Zack Moss scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 456 total yards (4.9 per attempt and 35.1 per game).

Defense

• Zaire Franklin had 166 tackles, 12.0 TFL, three sacks, and six passes defended in 2022.
• DeForest Buckner's stats included 74 tackles, 11.0 TFL, eight sacks, and three passes defended.
• Grover Stewart had 70 tackles, 9.0 TFL, and four sacks in the 2022 season.
• Kwity Paye's stats included 45 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and six sacks in 11 games

Los Angeles Betting Info

• Los Angeles went 6-9-2 ATS last season.
• The Rams went 4-6-2 as underdogs of 1 point or more last year.
• A total of seven of Los Angeles games last season hit the over.
• The Rams won two, or 16.7%, of the 12 games they played as underdogs last season.
• Los Angeles had a record of 2-9, a 18.2% win rate, when it was set as an underdog of -105 or more by sportsbooks last season.
• The implied probability of a win by the Rams, based on the moneyline, is 51.2%.

Rams Stats (2022)

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

• Matthew Stafford threw for 2,087 yards last year, with 10 TDs and eight interceptions. He completed 68.0% of his attempts, averaging 231.9 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• On the ground, Stafford added one TD and 9 yards.
• Tyler Higbee had 72 receptions for 620 yards and three receiving TDs. He was targeted 108 times and averaged 4.5 catches in 16 games.
• Last season for the Ravens, Demarcus Robinson caught 48 passes for 458 yards with two TDs . He was targeted 75 times, and averaged 3.0 receptions in 16 games.
• Van Jefferson had 369 yards receiving and three TDs via 24 catches on 44 targets.

Defense

• During the 2022 season for the Browns, John Johnson recorded 0.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL, 96 tackles, and one interception over 17 games.
• Ernest Jones totaled 4.0 TFL, 113 tackles, and one interception in 17 games.
• Aaron Donald posted 5.0 sacks in addition to his 10.0 TFL and 49 tackles.
• Michael Hoecht's stats for the season included 34 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks in 11 games.

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