Colts vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 16
Published
Dec. 12, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Indianapolis Colts (7-6) are favored by 2.5 points versus the Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) on December 16, 2023, starting at 4:30 PM ET, airing on NFL Network. The expected point total for the game is 42.
Colts vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Colts | -2.5 | -112 | -108 | 42 | -110 | -110 |
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Colts vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick
- Pick ATS: Indianapolis (-2.5)
- Pick OU: Over (42)
- Prediction: Indianapolis 23 - Pittsburgh 19
How to Watch Indianapolis vs. Pittsburgh
- Game Date: Saturday, December 16, 2023
- Time: 4:30 PM ET
- Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
- Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
- TV: Watch on NFL Network
Colts vs. Steelers Recent Matchups
- Over their last five meetings, Pittsburgh has put up five wins versus Indianapolis.
- Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has scored 143 points, while Indianapolis has tallied 75.
Indianapolis Betting Info
- In 13 Indianapolis games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
- The Colts have been favored by 2.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
- Indianapolis has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 69.2% of its contests this year (nine times in 13 games with a set point total).
- The Colts have won each of the four games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
- Indianapolis has played as a moneyline favorite of -135 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
- The Colts have a 57.4% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Colts Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 226.6 (2,946) | 17 |
Rush yards | 110.5 (1,436) | 16 |
Points scored | 24.2 (314) | 8 |
Pass yards against | 226.1 (2,939) | 17 |
Rush yards against | 131.5 (1,710) | 26 |
Points allowed | 25.4 (330) | 29 |
Indianapolis' Key Players
Offense
- Gardner Minshew has thrown for 2,524 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. He is averaging 210.3 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt, while completing 63.2% of his attempts.
- He has added 57 rushing yards (4.8 per game) and three touchdowns on the ground.
- Zack Moss' rushing statline this season includes 751 yards and five TDs. He is averaging 62.6 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (14th in the NFL).
- Moss' 34 targets in the passing game have resulted in 24 catches (2.0 per game) for 172 yards (14.3 per game) and one touchdown.
- In the passing attack, Michael Pittman Jr., has totaled 984 receiving yards and four touchdowns after pulling down 95 balls (fourth in the NFL) on 138 targets. Per game, he's averaging 75.7 yards and 7.3 receptions over 13 games.
- Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 414 yards with four touchdowns (59.1 yards per game through seven games).
- He has added 16 catches (on 19 targets) for 137 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 19.6 receiving yards and 2.3 receptions per game.
Defense
- Over on the defensive side, Zaire Franklin has 144 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks in 2023. His tackle total leads the Colts and the league.
- DeForest Buckner has 64 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks this season. He's fourth on the Colts in tackles.
- This season, Kenny Moore II has recorded 1.5 sacks to go with his 8.0 TFL, 81 tackles, and three interceptions.
- Julian Blackmon has 5.0 TFL, 85 tackles, and three interceptions on the season.
Pittsburgh Betting Info
- Pittsburgh is 7-6-0 against the spread this season.
- So far this year, the Steelers have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more four times and are 3-1 ATS in those games.
- Games involving Pittsburgh have hit the over on three occasions this year.
- The Steelers have been underdogs in seven games this season and won four (57.1%) of those contests.
- Pittsburgh is undefeated in three games this season when it is the underdog by +114 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 46.7% chance of a victory for the Steelers.
Steelers Stats
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 179.8 (2,337) | 28 |
Rush yards | 112.8 (1,466) | 15 |
Points scored | 16.2 (210) | 27 |
Pass yards against | 226.9 (2,950) | 21 |
Rush yards against | 117.9 (1,533) | 21 |
Points allowed | 19.2 (250) | 7 |
Pittsburgh's Key Players
Offense
- Kenny Pickett has thrown for 2,070 yards this year, with six touchdowns and four interceptions. He is completing 62.0% of his passes while averaging 172.5 yards per game and 6.4 per attempt.
- He's added 54 yards on the ground (third on the Steelers), with one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 4.5 yards per game and 1.3 per attempt.
- Najee Harris has scored four rushing touchdowns, while totaling 690 rushing yards (4.0 per attempt and 53.1 per game).
- Harris also has 24 catches for 149 yards (eighth on the Steelers). He has been targeted 33 times and averages 11.5 yards per game.
- Jaylen Warren has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has totaled 612 rushing yards (47.1 per game and 5.6 per carry).
- Warren has helped out in the passing attack, amassing 272 receiving yards (20.9 per game) on 42 catches (3.2 per game), while being targeted 53 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
- George Pickens has 49 catches for 767 yards and three receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.8 yards per game through 13 games and has been targeted 84 times.
Defense
- T.J. Watt has 14.0 sacks (first on the Steelers and second in the NFL) to go with 14.0 TFL, 52 tackles, and one interception over 13 games in 2023.
- Elandon Roberts has 86 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 2.5 sacks. He leads the Steelers in tackles.
- Alex Highsmith has recorded 6.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) as well as 7.0 TFL, 49 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 season.
- Damontae Kazee has totaled 56 tackles and two interceptions.
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