Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 6

Updated Oct. 6, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (3-1) will be aiming to continue a three-game winning run against the Cleveland Browns (1-3). The Commanders are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The matchup has an over/under of 44 points.

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Commanders vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Browns Betting Information updated as of October 6, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Washington	-3	-108	-112	44	-108	-112

Commanders vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Commanders (-3)
Pick OU: Over (44)
Prediction: Commanders 37 - Browns 10

How to Watch Washington vs. Cleveland

Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Commanders Field
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Commanders vs. Browns Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head bouts, Washington has beaten Cleveland three times.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Washington has tallied 106 points versus Cleveland, while allowing only 93 points.

Washington Betting Info

Washington is 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
Washington games this year have hit the over on three of four set point totals (75%).
The Commanders have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they won.
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Commanders a 60.8% chance to win.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213 (852)	12
Rush yards	169.3 (677)	3
Points scored	30.3 (121)	4
Pass yards against	220.5 (882)	21
Rush yards against	136.5 (546)	23
Points allowed	25.5 (102)	25

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels has 897 passing yards, three touchdowns and one interception this year. He has completed 82.1% of his attempts, averaging 224.3 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
In addition to his passing stats, Daniels has 218 rushing yards (second on the Commanders), with four rushing touchdowns.
Brian Robinson Jr. has recorded 307 rushing yards (10th in the NFL) with three touchdowns (76.8 yards per game across four games). His 4.7 yards per attempt rank 17th in the league.
He has hauled in eight passes (on 11 targets) for 68 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 17 receiving yards and two catches per game.
Through four games played, Terry McLaurin is averaging 47.8 yards and 4.8 receptions per game to total 191 receiving yards and 19 catches. He's been targeted 28 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
Austin Ekeler has rushed for 83 yards, averaging 27.7 yards per game and scoring one touchdown.
Ekeler's nine receiving targets have led to nine receptions (three per game) for 121 yards (40.3 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On defense, Bobby Wagner has 0.5 sacks (fifth on the Commanders) to go with five TFL and 38 tackles in 2024.
Frankie Luvu has 30 tackles, 0.5 sacks, and one pass defended.
Benjamin St-Juste has totaled 21 tackles this year.
Jeremy Chinn has 17 tackles and one TFL.

Cleveland Betting Info

Cleveland has covered the spread once over four games with a set spread.
This season, the Browns won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 3 points or more.
This season, Cleveland games have hit the over just once.
The Browns won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 43.5% chance to win.

Browns Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	151.5 (606)	29
Rush yards	94.8 (379)	26
Points scored	16.5 (66)	27
Pass yards against	175.8 (703)	10
Rush yards against	123.3 (493)	20
Points allowed	21.8 (87)	15

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

Deshaun Watson is averaging 4.9 passing yards per attempt (31st in the NFL) and 181.8 yards per game this year, completing 61.5% of his passes on the way to 727 total yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions through four games.
On the ground, Watson has added one rushing touchdown and 117 rushing yards (second on the Browns).
Jerome Ford averages 50.8 rushing yards per game through four games (203 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
Ford also has 17 catches for 85 yards (third on the Browns). He has been targeted 20 times and averages 21.3 yards per game.
So far this season, Jerry Jeudy has caught 18 passes for 197 receiving yards with one touchdown through the air. He has been targeted 30 total times and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game through four games played.
Amari Cooper has 148 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 16 receptions after getting 37 targets.

Defense

In 2024, Myles Garrett has recorded four sacks to go with four TFL and nine tackles through four games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has four TFL and 34 tackles.
Grant Delpit has recorded three TFL and 24 tackles in the 2024 season.
Jordan Hicks' stat sheet includes 19 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended in four games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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