Commanders vs. Browns 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 6

Published Oct. 4, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (3-1) will be aiming to extend a three-game winning run against the Cleveland Browns (1-3). The Commanders are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). An over/under of 43.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

There's some hope Rashee Rice might not have torn ACL, Amari Cooper a trade target? | What's Wright?

Nick Wright explains why he has some hope that Rashee Rice did not tear his ACL nor suffer a season-ending injury. He also discusses why Amari Cooper could be a trade target for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Commanders vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Browns Betting Information updated as of October 3, 2024, 7:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Washington	-3.5	-102	-118	43.5	-112	-108

Commanders vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Commanders (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (43.5)
Prediction: Commanders 37 - Browns 10

How to Watch Washington vs. Cleveland

Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Commanders Field
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Commanders vs. Browns Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Washington has tallied three wins versus Cleveland.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Washington has tallied 106 points against Cleveland, while surrendering only 93 points.

Washington Betting Info

Washington is 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
Washington games this year have hit the over on three of four set point totals (75%).
The Commanders have been moneyline favorites a single other time this season, a game they won.
The Commanders have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 62.4%.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213 (852)	12
Rush yards	169.3 (677)	3
Points scored	30.3 (121)	4
Pass yards against	220.5 (882)	21
Rush yards against	136.5 (546)	23
Points allowed	25.5 (102)	25

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels has passed for 897 yards, three touchdowns and one interception this year. He is averaging 224.3 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt, while completing 82.1% of his attempts.
He has added 218 rushing yards (54.5 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
Brian Robinson Jr. averages 4.7 yards per carry (17th in the NFL) and 76.8 yards per game, and has 307 total rushing yards (10th in the NFL). He has recorded three rushing TDs this season.
Robinson's 11 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in eight catches (two per game) for 68 yards (17 per game) and zero touchdowns.
Terry McLaurin has two touchdown catches this season, and has 19 receptions for 191 yards on 28 targets, while averaging 4.8 catches and 47.8 yards per game.
Austin Ekeler has rushed for 83 yards with one touchdown (27.7 yards per game through three games).
Ekeler has been targeted nine times and turned those targets into nine receptions, 121 yards and zero TDs.

Defense

On defense, Bobby Wagner has 38 tackles, five TFL, and 0.5 sacks in 2024. His tackle total leads the Commanders.
Frankie Luvu has 30 tackles and 0.5 sacks this season.
Benjamin St-Juste has put up 21 tackles this year.
Jeremy Chinn has one TFL and 17 tackles on the year.

Cleveland Betting Info

Cleveland has covered the spread in a matchup one time this year (1-3-0).
Games involving Cleveland has hit the over once this season.
The Browns won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Browns have a 41.7% chance to win.

Browns Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	151.5 (606)	29
Rush yards	94.8 (379)	26
Points scored	16.5 (66)	27
Pass yards against	175.8 (703)	10
Rush yards against	123.3 (493)	20
Points allowed	21.8 (87)	15

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

Deshaun Watson is averaging 4.9 passing yards per attempt (31st in the NFL) and 181.8 yards per game this year, completing 61.5% of his passes on the way to 727 total yards, four touchdowns and three interceptions through four games.
He's added 117 yards on the ground (second on the Browns), while scoring one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 29.3 yards per game and 5.3 per attempt.
Jerome Ford has 203 rushing yards (leading the Browns) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 50.8 yards per game and 5.2 per carry (12th in the NFL).
Ford has added 17 receptions (4.3 per game) for 85 yards (21.3 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 20 times in the passing game.
In four games played this season, Jerry Jeudy has 18 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 7.5 targets per game) for 197 yards and one receiving touchdown.
Amari Cooper has 148 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 16 receptions after getting 37 targets.

Defense

So far in 2024, Myles Garrett has amassed four sacks to go with four TFL and nine tackles over four games. He ranks fifth in the NFL in sacks.
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah's stats include 34 tackles, four TFL, and one pass defended.
Grant Delpit has 24 tackles and three TFL in the 2024 campaign. He is second on the Browns in tackles.
Jordan Hicks has 19 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox?

Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.