Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 5

Commanders vs. Cowboys 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2025 12:45 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (11-5) will be attempting to continue a four-game winning streak against the Dallas Cowboys (7-9). The Commanders are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7). The over/under for this one is set at 43.5 points.

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Commanders vs. Cowboys Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Cowboys Betting Information updated as of January 5, 2025, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Washington -7 -108 -112 43.5 -102 -118

Commanders vs. Cowboys Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Commanders (-7)
  • Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  • Prediction: Commanders 29 - Cowboys 21

How to Watch Washington vs. Dallas

  • Game Date: Sunday, January 5, 2025
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: AT&T Stadium
  • Location: Arlington, Texas
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Commanders vs. Cowboys Recent Matchups

  • Dallas has a 4-1 record against Washington in their last five matchups.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Dallas has scored 148 points against Washington, while allowing only 82 points.

Washington Betting Info

  • Washington has 10 wins in 16 games versus the spread this year.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread once when favored by 7 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • Washington contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 68.8% of the time (11 times in 16 games with a set point total).
  • The Commanders have won 80% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (8-2).
  • The Commanders have a 75.6% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Commanders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 219.3 (3,509) 16
Rush yards 156.6 (2,506) 3
Points scored 28.9 (462) 6
Pass yards against 187.4 (2,999) 3
Rush yards against 136.3 (2,181) 28
Points allowed 23.3 (372) 19

Washington's Key Players

Offense

  • Jayden Daniels has 3,530 passing yards, 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 69.4% of his passes, averaging 220.6 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
  • He has also rushed for 864 yards (first on the Commanders) and added six touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 54.0 rushing yards per game.
  • Terry McLaurin has 74 catches for 1,034 yards and 12 TDs. In 16 games, he is averaging 4.6 catches and 64.6 yards per game.
  • In 13 games, Brian Robinson Jr. has amassed 789 yards on the ground, averaging 60.7 yards per game and scoring eight touchdowns.
  • Robinson has 19 catches on 24 targets for 153 yards, though he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Zach Ertz has put up 610 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 61 catches on 86 targets. He is averaging 3.8 receptions and 38.1 yards per game.

Defense

  • On defense for the Commanders, Frankie Luvu has powered the unit with 90 tackles, 11.0 TFL, eight sacks, and one interception in 2024.
  • Bobby Wagner has 124 tackles, 8.0 TFL, two sacks, and three passes defended.
  • Jeremy Chinn has recorded one interception and has added 95 tackles, 5.0 TFL, one sack, and five passes defended.
  • So far this season, Dante Fowler Jr. has 35 tackles, 14.0 TFL, 10.5 sacks, and one interception.

Dallas Betting Info

  • Dallas has put together a record of 6-10-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Cowboys have been underdogs by 7 points or more four times this year and covered the spread once.
  • Dallas games have gone over the total 11 times this year.
  • This season, the Cowboys have won five out of the 13 games, or 38.5%, in which they've been the underdog.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 28.6% chance of a victory for the Cowboys.

Cowboys Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 227.1 (3,634) 11
Rush yards 97.2 (1,555) 27
Points scored 20.7 (331) 21
Pass yards against 222 (3,552) 20
Rush yards against 138.6 (2,218) 29
Points allowed 27.8 (445) 31

Dallas' Key Players

Offense

  • Rico Dowdle averages 67.1 rushing yards per game this year (1,007 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
  • Dowdle has also figured into the passing attack with 237 yards (15.8 per game) on 37 receptions (2.5 per game), while being targeted 46 times. He has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Through 12 games, Cooper Rush has 1,844 passing yards, with 12 touchdowns against five interceptions and completing 60.7% of his passes.
  • Jalen Tolbert has totaled 512 receiving yards and seven touchdowns on 45 receptions, while being targeted 73 times this season.
  • KaVontae Turpin has been targeted 47 times, resulting in 28 catches for 367 yards .

Defense

  • Eric Kendricks has intercepted two passes to go with 133 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and three passes defended in 2024.
  • Donovan Wilson has 3.5 sacks in addition to his 5.0 TFL, 80 tackles, and one interception over 16 games.
  • During the 2024 campaign, Micah Parsons has 39 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks through 12 games.
  • Osa Odighizuwa's stats include 44 tackles, 5.0 TFL, four sacks, and one pass defended in 16 games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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