Commanders vs. Falcons 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Updated Dec. 28, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

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The Washington Commanders (10-5) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Atlanta Falcons (8-7). The Commanders have won three games in a row. The total for this one is set at 47 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

Commanders beat Eagles 36-33, Are the Eagles in trouble? | BREAKFAST BALL

Jalen Hurts left the game in the 1st quarter during the Philadelphia Eagles 36-33 loss to the Washington Commanders due to a concussion. Craig Carton, Danny Parkins, and Mark Schlereth ask if the Eagles should have any concerns following the defeat.

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Commanders (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (47)
  
• Prediction: Commanders 29 - Falcons 20

How to Watch Washington vs. Atlanta

• Game Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
• Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
• Venue: Commanders Field
• Location: Landover, Maryland
• TV: NBC
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Chargers vs. Patriots Prediction
• Bengals vs. Broncos Prediction
• Rams vs. Cardinals Prediction
• Buccaneers vs. Panthers Prediction
• Raiders vs. Saints Prediction
• Bills vs. Jets Prediction
• Eagles vs. Cowboys Prediction
• Colts vs. Giants Prediction
• Titans vs. Jaguars Prediction
• Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction
• Vikings vs. Packers Prediction

Commanders vs. Falcons Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head contests, Washington has defeated Atlanta three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has tallied 122 points versus Washington, while giving up only 110 points.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington is 9-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Commanders have covered the spread three times this season (3-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Washington games in 2024 have gone over the point total 10 times in 15 opportunities (66.7%).
• The Commanders have won 77.8% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (7-2).
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Commanders a 64.3% chance to win.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Jayden Daniels has 3,303 passing yards, 22 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He has completed 69.7% of his passes, averaging 220.2 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
• To go along with his passing stats, Daniels also has 737 rushing yards (first on the Commanders), with six rushing touchdowns.
• Terry McLaurin's 1,029 receiving yards this season have come from 98 targets and 73 receptions. He's averaging 68.6 receiving yards and 4.9 catches per game, with 12 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL).
• Brian Robinson Jr. has 729 rushing yards with eight touchdowns (60.8 yards per game through 12 games).
• Robinson has totaled 17 receptions on 22 targets for 144 yards, but he has not scored a touchdown in the passing game.
• Zach Ertz has 55 catches for 538 yards and four touchdowns. He's been targeted 79 times in the air attack, and averages 3.7 receptions and 35.9 yards in 15 games played.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Frankie Luvu has one interception to go with 89 tackles, 11 TFL, eight sacks, and seven passes defended in 2024.
• Bobby Wagner has 118 tackles, eight TFL, and two sacks this season.
• Jeremy Chinn has totaled 90 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
• This season, Mike Sainristil has 77 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has registered a 6-8-1 record against the spread this year.
• The Falcons have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more two times this season and covered the spread once.
• This year, Atlanta games have hit the over five times.
• The Falcons have won one of the five games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The Falcons have a 40.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• This year in 15 games, Bijan Robinson has churned out 1,196 rushing yards (leading the Falcons and fifth in the NFL) and scored 10 rushing touchdowns. He averages 79.7 yards per game and 4.6 per carry (17th in the NFL).
• Bijan Robinson's offensive contributions include 55 receptions (3.7 per game) on 61 targets for 414 yards (27.6 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Through 14 games, Kirk Cousins has 3,508 passing yards, with 18 touchdowns against 16 interceptions and completing 66.9% of his attempts.
• This season, Drake London has caught 83 passes for 978 receiving yards with seven touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 127 total times and is averaging 5.5 receptions per game over 15 games played.
• Darnell Mooney has 63 catches for 961 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averages 4.2 yards per game in 15 games and has been targeted 102 times.

Defense

• Kaden Elliss has recorded five sacks (first on the Falcons) to go with eight TFL and 130 tackles over 15 games in 2024.
• Jessie Bates III has 85 tackles, one TFL, and four interceptions. He is second on the Falcons in tackles.
• Dee Alford has 68 tackles, one TFL, and one sack in the 2024 campaign. He is third on the Falcons in tackles.
• A.J. Terrell has registered two TFL, 61 tackles, and two interceptions through 13 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NFL - Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders - 12/30/2024

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