Commanders vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 22

Published Oct. 18, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET

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The Washington Commanders (3-3) are slim favorites (-2) over the New York Giants (1-5). The Giants have dropped four games in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is 39.5.

Commanders vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+2)
  
• Pick OU: Over (39.5)
  
• Prediction: New York 23 - Washington 22

How to Watch Washington vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on CBS

Commanders vs. Giants Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New York has four wins against Washington.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, New York has put up 145 points, while Washington has accumulated 86.

Washington Betting Info

• Washington has three wins in six games versus the spread this season.
• The Commanders have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
• Washington contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 50% of the time (three times in six games with a set point total).
• The Commanders have been moneyline favorites two other times this season, and they split them.
• Washington has played as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter in only two games this season, and it split 1-1.
• The Commanders have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 55.6%.

Commanders Stats

Washington's Key Players

Offense

• Sam Howell ranks ninth in the NFL with 1,500 passing yards through six games this year, averaging 250.0 per game with a 67.8% completion percentage and nine touchdowns (ninth in the NFL) against six interceptions.
• He has also rushed for 104 yards (second on the Commanders) and added one touchdown on the ground, while averaging 17.3 rushing yards per game.
• Brian Robinson Jr. averages 3.9 yards per carry (25th in the NFL) and 50.3 yards per game, and has 302 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing TDs this season.
• Robinson's 13 targets through the air have resulted in 11 catches (1.8 per game) for 113 yards (18.8 per game) and two touchdowns.
• Through six games played, Curtis Samuel is averaging 47.5 yards and 4.5 receptions per game on the way to 285 receiving yards and 27 catches. He's been targeted 31 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
• Terry McLaurin averages 5.2 receptions and 57.0 yards per game, and has 342 total receiving yards and 31 catches. He's gotten 42 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

• Over on defense, Kamren Curl has 55 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack in 2023.
• Cody Barton has 59 tackles and 1.0 TFL this season. He leads the Commanders in tackles.
• Montez Sweat has recorded 20 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this year.
• Jamin Davis has 2.0 sacks (fifth on the Commanders) to go with his 2.0 TFL, 37 tackles, and one interception this year.

New York Betting Info

• New York has gone 1-5-0 against the spread this year.
• The Giants have covered the spread once this year when underdogs by 2 points or more (in five chances).
• New York games have gone over the total once this season.
• The Giants have been the underdog in five games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
• This season, New York has been at least a +105 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Giants have a 48.8% chance to win.

Giants Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Through five games played this year, Daniel Jones has racked up 884 passing yards, with two touchdowns against six interceptions and completing 68.9% of his passes.
• He's added 197 yards on the ground (second on the Giants), while scoring one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 39.4 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt.
• Saquon Barkley averages 69.0 rushing yards per game over three games (207 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
• Barkley also has 13 catches for 46 yards (ninth on the Giants), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 16 times and averages 15.3 yards per game.
• So far this season, Darren Waller has caught 28 passes for 282 receiving yards without a touchdown in the passing game. He has been targeted 41 total times and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game over six games played.
• Darius Slayton has been targeted 30 times, resulting in 17 catches for 236 yards and zero receiving touchdowns.

Defense

• Bobby Okereke has intercepted one pass and also has 53 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and five passes defended in 2023.
• Micah McFadden has one interception on top of 36 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and two passes defended.
• Jason Pinnock has 3.0 TFL, 34 tackles, and one interception in the 2023 season.
• Xavier McKinney's season stats include 35 tackles in six games. He is third on the Giants in tackles.

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