Commanders vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 15

Commanders vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 15

Updated Dec. 15, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (8-5) are considered favorites (-8) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the New Orleans Saints (5-8) on December 15, 2024, starting at 1 p.m. ET, airing on FOX. The over/under for this one is set at 44.5 points.

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Commanders vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Saints Betting Information updated as of December 15, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Washington -8 -111 -119 44.5 -112 -108

Commanders vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Saints (+8)
  • Pick OU: Over (44.5)
  • Prediction: Commanders 26 - Saints 22

How to Watch Washington vs. New Orleans

  • Game Date: Sunday, December 15, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Caesars Superdome
  • Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Commanders vs. Saints Recent Matchups

  • In their past five head-to-head meetings, New Orleans has taken down Washington three times.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Washington has compiled 159 points against New Orleans, while allowing only 156 points.

Washington Betting Info

  • Washington has played 13 games, posting eight wins against the spread.
  • The Commanders have covered the spread once when favored by 8 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
  • Washington contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 69.2% of the time (nine times in 13 games with a set point total).
  • The Commanders have won 75% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (6-2).
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Commanders' implied win probability is 79.2%.

Commanders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 220.7 (2,869) 18
Rush yards 156.9 (2,040) 3
Points scored 28.9 (376) 4
Pass yards against 191.2 (2,485) 5
Rush yards against 136.5 (1,775) 28
Points allowed 22.8 (296) 17

Washington's Key Players

Offense

  • Jayden Daniels has passed for 2,819 yards, 15 touchdowns and six interceptions this year. He is averaging 216.8 yards per game and 7.8 per attempt, while completing 69.6% of his passes.
  • He has also rushed for 590 yards (second on the Commanders) and added six touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 45.4 rushing yards per game.
  • Terry McLaurin has caught 61 passes on 82 targets for 896 total yards (seventh in the NFL) and nine touchdowns. He is averaging 4.7 catches and 68.9 yards per game through 13 games.
  • Brian Robinson Jr.'s output on the ground this season includes 640 yards and eight TDs. He's averaging 64 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (14th in the NFL).
  • Robinson has totaled 12 catches on 16 targets for 105 yards, but he has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
  • Zach Ertz has 501 receiving yards and four touchdowns with 52 catches on 75 targets. He is averaging four receptions and 38.5 yards per game.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Frankie Luvu has 82 tackles, nine TFL, and eight sacks in 2024.
  • Bobby Wagner has 104 tackles, seven TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
  • This season, Jeremy Chinn has recorded three TFL, 77 tackles, and one interception.
  • This season, Mike Sainristil has 65 tackles, one TFL, and one interception.

New Orleans Betting Info

  • New Orleans has put together a 5-8-0 record against the spread this year.
  • This year, seven New Orleans games have gone over the point total.
  • The Saints have won three of the nine games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 25.0%.

Saints Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 212.8 (2,767) 19
Rush yards 128.7 (1,673) 10
Points scored 22.3 (290) 17
Pass yards against 246.3 (3,202) 28
Rush yards against 134.2 (1,744) 25
Points allowed 22.5 (292) 14

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

  • Alvin Kamara averages 72.2 rushing yards per game this year (938 total yards to rank eighth in the NFL), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
  • Kamara has also played a role the receiving game with 485 yards (37.3 per game) on 64 receptions (4.9 per game), while being targeted 84 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
  • Derek Carr has 2,145 passing yards, 15 touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 67.7% and he averages 214.5 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt.
  • Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 71 rushing yards (fifth on the Saints).
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling has recorded 314 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 14 receptions, while being targeted 27 times this season.
  • Juwan Johnson has 363 receiving yards and three touchdowns from 34 receptions after receiving 44 targets.

Defense

  • Alontae Taylor has put up four sacks (third on the Saints) to go with seven TFL and 74 tackles through 13 games in 2024.
  • Demario Davis has 90 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and one interception. He leads the Saints in tackles.
  • Carl Granderson has 44 tackles, seven TFL, 4.5 sacks, and three passes defended in the 2024 campaign.
  • Tyrann Mathieu has totaled one TFL, 46 tackles, and three interceptions.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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