Commanders vs. Steelers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 10

Updated Nov. 8, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (7-2) and Pittsburgh Steelers (6-2) will meet, with both teams coming off wins -- the Commanders have won three in a row, the Steelers three in a row. Washington is the favorite (currently -3). The over/under for this one is set at 45 points.

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Commanders vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Commanders vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of November 8, 2024, 5:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Washington	-3	-102	-118	45	-110	-110

Commanders vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Commanders (-3)
Pick OU: Under (45)
Prediction: Commanders 24 - Steelers 20

How to Watch Washington vs. Pittsburgh

Game Date: Sunday, November 10, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Commanders Field
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Commanders vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Pittsburgh has put up five wins against Washington.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Pittsburgh has scored 128 points, while Washington has accumulated 44.

Washington Betting Info

Against the spread, Washington is 7-2-0 this season.
The Commanders have an ATS record of 3-0 when playing as at least 3-point favorites this season.
Washington games this year have hit the over on six of nine set point totals (66.7%).
The Commanders have won each of the five games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
Based on this matchup's moneyline, the Commanders' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	228.1 (2,053)	11
Rush yards	163.9 (1,475)	3
Points scored	29.2 (263)	3
Pass yards against	184.0 (1,656)	5
Rush yards against	142.3 (1,281)	28
Points allowed	21.0 (189)	11

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels has 1,945 passing yards in nine games this year, averaging 216.1 per game with a 71.5% completion percentage and nine touchdowns against two interceptions.
He has added 459 rushing yards (51.0 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
Terry McLaurin has 42 catches for 598 yards (seventh in the NFL) and six TDs. In nine games, he is averaging 4.7 catches and 66.4 yards per game.
Brian Robinson Jr. has 461 rushing yards with six touchdowns (65.9 yards per game through seven games).
Robinson has gotten 12 targets in the passing game and has nine catches (1.3 per game) for 79 yards (11.3 per game) and zero TDs.
In the ground game, Austin Ekeler averages 5.6 yards per attempt and 35.3 yards per game for 282 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
Ekeler's 25 receiving targets have resulted in 22 receptions (2.8 per game) for 248 yards (31.0 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

On defense for the Commanders, Bobby Wagner has put up 76 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks in 2024.
Frankie Luvu has 54 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and four sacks this season.
This season, Dante Fowler Jr. has recorded 6.5 sacks (ninth in the NFL) in addition to his 8.0 TFL, 20 tackles, and one interception.
Jeremy Chinn has 3.0 TFL and 47 tackles this year.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

Pittsburgh has compiled a 6-2-0 record against the spread this season.
The Steelers have been underdogs by 3 points or more two times this year and have covered the spread every time.
This season, four Pittsburgh games have gone over the point total.
The Steelers have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The Steelers have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Steelers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	190.0 (1,520)	26
Rush yards	138.1 (1,105)	8
Points scored	23.4 (187)	19
Pass yards against	219.8 (1,758)	20
Rush yards against	90.5 (724)	4
Points allowed	14.9 (119)	2

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

Justin Fields is averaging 6.9 passing yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 184.3 yards per game this year, completing 66.3% of his passes on the way to 1,106 total yards, five touchdowns and one interception through six games.
He's added 231 yards on the ground (second on the Steelers), while scoring five rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 38.5 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt.
Najee Harris averages 74.0 rushing yards per game through eight games (592 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
Harris has also collected 152 receiving yards (19.0 per game) on 17 catches (2.1 per game). He's been targeted 24 times and is still seeking his first receiving touchdown.
In eight games played this season, George Pickens has 35 catches (4.4 receptions per game on 7.2 targets per game) for 548 yards and one receiving touchdown.
Calvin Austin III has 14 catches for 257 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 1.8 yards per game through eight games and has been targeted 25 times.

Defense

T.J. Watt has 33 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 2024.
DeShon Elliott's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 58 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and four passes defended.
Cameron Heyward has 3.0 sacks (second on the Steelers) in addition to his 4.0 TFL and 33 tackles.
Patrick Queen has registered 2.0 TFL and 55 tackles over eight games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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