Dolphins vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 1:04 p.m. ET

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The Miami Dolphins (2-0) are considered favorites (-6) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Denver Broncos (0-2) on September 24, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. The total for this one is set at 48 points.

Dolphins vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Miami (-6)
  
• Pick OU: Over (48)
  
• Prediction: Miami 37 - Denver 16

How to Watch Miami vs. Denver

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
• TV: Watch on CBS

Dolphins vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

• Miami holds a 3-2 record against Denver in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has racked up 146 points against Denver, while surrendering only 93 points.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami covered eight times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
• The Dolphins won once ATS (1-1) as a 6-point favorite or greater last season.
• Last season, eight Miami games hit the over.
• The Dolphins won 70% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (7-3).
• Miami played as a moneyline favorite of -270 or shorter in just two games last season, and it won both.
• Based on this contest's moneyline, the Dolphins have an implied win probability of 73.0%.

Dolphins Stats (2022)

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• Tua Tagovailoa threw for 3,548 yards last year, with 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He completed 64.8% of his attempts while averaging 272.9 yards per game and 8.9 per attempt.
• Tyreek Hill put together a 2022 campaign that included 119 catches (second in the NFL) for 1,710 yards (second in the NFL) and seven receiving touchdowns over 17 games played. He was on the receiving end of 170 targets and averaged 7.0 receptions per game.
• In 17 games played last season, Jaylen Waddle had 75 catches (4.4 receptions per game on 6.9 targets per game) for 1,356 yards (seventh in the NFL) and eight receiving touchdowns.
• Raheem Mostert scored three touchdowns on the ground, while running for 891 total yards (4.9 per attempt and 55.7 per game).
• Mostert also caught 31 passes for 202 yards with two receiving touchdowns. He was targeted 42 times and averaged 12.6 yards per game.

Defense

• Christian Wilkins put up 3.5 sacks to go with 16.0 TFL and 98 tackles over 17 games in 2022.
• Jerome Baker had 100 tackles, 6.0 TFL, four sacks, and four passes defended.
• Jevon Holland had 93 tackles, 1.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions in the 2022 campaign.
• Jaelan Phillips' stats included 61 tackles, 8.0 TFL, seven sacks, and two passes defended in 17 games

Denver Betting Info

• Denver compiled a 7-10-0 record against the spread last season.
• The Broncos went 3-0 as underdogs of 6 points or more last season.
• In Denver games last season, combined scoring went over the point total six times.
• The Broncos won two of the nine games they played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, Denver was at least a +220 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by the Broncos, based on the moneyline, is 31.2%.

Broncos Stats (2022)

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• In 15 games last year, Russell Wilson racked up 3,524 passing yards, with 16 TD passes and 11 INTs, connecting on 60.5% of his attempts.
• He added 277 yards on the ground, and scored three rushing TDs. He averaged 18.5 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt.
• Jerry Jeudy had 972 yards receiving and six TDs on 67 catches, and was targeted 100 times.
• Last year, in 16 games with the Bengals, Samaje Perine racked up 394 rushing yards and scored two rushing TDs. He averaged 24.6 yards per game and 4.1 per carry.
• Perine's stat sheet also included 38 receptions (2.4 per game) on 51 targets for 287 yards (17.9 per game) and four receiving TDs.
• Courtland Sutton had 829 yards receiving and two TDs via 64 catches on 109 targets.

Defense

• In 2022, Alex Singleton amassed 6.0 TFL and 152 tackles in 16 games.
• Josey Jewell's production included two INTs as well as 128 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and four passes defended.
• Justin Simmons had 2.0 TFL, 69 tackles, and six interceptions during the 2022 campaign.
• Zach Allen's production for the Cardinals included 47 tackles, 10.0 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and eight passes defended in 13 games

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