Dolphins vs. Browns 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 29

Updated Dec. 28, 2024 8:43 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Dolphins (7-8) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -6) over the Cleveland Browns (3-12). The Browns have lost four games straight. The over/under for this one is set at 37.5 points.

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Dolphins vs. Browns Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Browns Betting Information updated as of December 27, 2024, 8:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Dolphins	-6	-121	-110	37.5	-108	-112

Dolphins vs. Browns Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Browns (+6)
Pick OU: Over (37.5)
Prediction: Dolphins 23 - Browns 19

How to Watch Miami vs. Cleveland

Game Date: Sunday, December 29, 2024
Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium
Location: Cleveland, Ohio
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Dolphins vs. Browns Recent Matchups

Miami owns a 3-2 record against Cleveland in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has racked up 132 points against Cleveland, while surrendering only 109 points.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has six wins in 15 games versus the spread this year.
The Dolphins have been favored by 6 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
Miami games this year have gone over the total in seven out of 15 opportunities (46.7%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Dolphins are 5-3, picking up a win 62.5% of the time.
The Dolphins have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 74.9%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	222.1 (3,332)	15
Rush yards	105.7 (1,586)	24
Points scored	20.3 (305)	23
Pass yards against	210.9 (3,163)	12
Rush yards against	102.1 (1,531)	7
Points allowed	21.9 (329)	11

Miami's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Devon Achane averages 4.2 yards per attempt (27th in the NFL) and 50.7 yards per game for 761 total rushing yards. He has recorded five rushing touchdowns this season.
Achane has been targeted 85 times in the receiving game and has 76 catches (5.1 per game) for 579 yards (38.6 per game) and six TDs.
Tua Tagovailoa has passed for 2,867 yards, 19 touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He is averaging 260.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 72.9%.
In the passing attack, Tyreek Hill, has contributed with 834 receiving yards and six touchdowns after pulling down 70 balls on 110 targets. Per game, he's averaging 55.6 yards and 4.7 receptions in 15 games.
Jonnu Smith has racked up 802 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 76 catches on 95 targets. He is averaging 5.1 receptions and 53.5 yards per game.

Defense

On the defensive side, Jordyn Brooks has 128 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and three sacks in 2024. His tackle total leads the Dolphins.
Zach Sieler has 8.5 sacks (first on the Dolphins) to go with 12.0 TFL, 45 tackles, and one interception.
Tyrel Dodson has totaled 88 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year.
So far this season, Calais Campbell has 46 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and four sacks.

Cleveland Betting Info

Cleveland has gone 4-11-0 against the spread this year.
This year, the Browns have just two against the spread wins in five games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
Cleveland's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under six times this season.
The Browns have entered the game as underdogs 11 times this season and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
The Browns have a 29.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Browns Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	211.3 (3,170)	18
Rush yards	95.9 (1,438)	27
Points scored	16.3 (245)	31
Pass yards against	212.5 (3,188)	15
Rush yards against	127.4 (1,911)	19
Points allowed	25.3 (380)	26

Cleveland's Key Players

Offense

So far this year, Jerry Jeudy has 72 receptions for 1,072 yards (seventh in the NFL) with four receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 114 times and averages 4.8 catches per game through 15 games played.
Jameis Winston has 2,121 passing yards, 13 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. His completion percentage is 61.1% and he averages 192.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
Winston also has one rushing touchdown and 83 rushing yards (sixth on the Browns).
Jerome Ford has rushed for three touchdowns this year, and has totaled 543 rushing yards (41.8 per game and 5.5 per carry).
Ford has helped out in the passing attack, putting up 225 receiving yards (17.3 per game) on 37 catches (2.8 per game), while being targeted 43 times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
David Njoku has 505 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 64 receptions after getting 97 targets.

Defense

Myles Garrett has amassed 12.0 sacks (first on the Browns and second in the NFL) to go with 18.0 TFL and 41 tackles through 13 games in 2024.
Grant Delpit has 95 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
Martin Emerson has 3.0 TFL and 71 tackles.
Denzel Ward's season stats include 44 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions in 15 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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