Dolphins vs. Giants Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 1:09 p.m. ET

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The Miami Dolphins (3-1) are favored by 11 points against the New York Giants (1-3) on October 8, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 48.5.

Dolphins vs. Giants Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Giants Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+11)
  
• Pick OU: Over (48.5)
  
• Prediction: Miami 31 - New York 24

How to Watch Miami vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
• TV: Watch on FOX

Dolphins vs. Giants Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, New York has taken down Miami four times.
• Miami has been outscored by 16 points in its last five tilts against New York.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami has played four games, posting three wins against the spread.
• Miami games this year have gone over the total in three out of four opportunities (75%).
• The Dolphins have been moneyline favorites in two other matchups this season, and they won both.
• Miami has yet to play a game with moneyline odds of -535 or shorter.
• Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 84.3%.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• Tua Tagovailoa has 1,306 passing yards (first in the NFL), nine touchdowns (second in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He has completed 71.3% of his passes, averaging 326.5 yards per game and 9.6 per attempt.
• Raheem Mostert's rushing statline this season includes 249 yards and six TDs. He is averaging 62.3 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt (ninth in the NFL).
• He's also caught 13 passes (on 15 targets) for 115 receiving yards with one touchdown. He's averaging 28.8 receiving yards and 3.3 catches per game.
• Tyreek Hill has four touchdown catches this season (first in the NFL), and has 28 catches (eighth in the NFL) for 470 yards (third in the NFL) on 40 targets, while averaging 7.0 catches and 117.5 yards per game.
• Devon Achane has rushed for 309 yards (sixth in the NFL) with four touchdowns (103.0 yards per game in three games).
• Achane has been targeted 10 times to the tune of eight catches, 53 yards and two TDs.

Defense

• Over on defense, Jevon Holland has 39 tackles and 2.0 TFL in 2023. His tackle total leads the Dolphins and is ninth in the NFL.
• Andrew Van Ginkel has 19 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks this season.
• David Long has recorded 26 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and one sack this year. He's second on the Dolphins in tackles.
• Kader Kohou has 1.0 sack (second on the Dolphins) to go along with his 2.0 TFL and 18 tackles on the year.

New York Betting Info

• New York is winless against the spread this season (0-4-0).
• New York games have gone over the total once this season.
• This season, the Giants have been listed as the underdog in three games and failed to win any of those contests.
• New York has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +400.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 20.0% chance of a victory for the Giants.

Giants Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Daniel Jones has thrown for 765 yards this year, with two touchdowns and six interceptions. He is completing 68.7% of his attempts while averaging 191.3 yards per game and 5.8 per attempt.
• Jones has also rushed for one touchdown and 173 yards (first on the Giants).
• Saquon Barkley averages 57.0 rushing yards per game over two games (114 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
• Barkley has added nine receptions (4.5 per game) for 41 yards (20.5 per game) with one receiving touchdown. He's been targeted 11 times in the passing game.
• Matt Breida is averaging 15.3 rushing yards per game this season (61 total yards), while scoring one rushing touchdown.
• Breida has helped in the passing attack, picking up 46 receiving yards (11.5 per game) on nine catches (2.3 per game), while being targeted nine times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
• Darren Waller has 15 catches for 153 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.8 yards per game through four games and has been targeted 23 times.

Defense

• Bobby Okereke's 2023 output includes 32 tackles and 3.0 TFL in four games. He leads the Giants in tackles.
• Micah McFadden's stats include 29 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one pass defended.
• Jason Pinnock has 3.0 TFL and 26 tackles.
• Kayvon Thibodeaux's season stats include nine tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks in four games.

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