Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Updated Dec. 13, 2023 1:16 p.m. ET

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In a battle of two division rivals, the Miami Dolphins (9-4) will meet the New York Jets (5-8). The Dolphins are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 37.

Dolphins vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Miami (-8.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (37)
  
• Prediction: Miami 30 - New York 15

How to Watch Miami vs. New York

• Game Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
• TV: Watch on CBS

Dolphins vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head bouts, Miami has beaten New York three times.
• New York has been outpaced by 10 points in its last five tilts against Miami.

Miami Betting Info

• In 13 Miami games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Dolphins are 4-2 ATS this season when playing as at least 8.5-point favorites.
• Miami games this year have hit the over on eight of 13 set point totals (61.5%).
• The Dolphins have won 88.9% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (8-1).
• When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -425 or shorter, Miami has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 81.0%.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• Tyreek Hill's 1,542 receiving yards this season (first in the NFL) have come from 97 receptions (second in the NFL) on 132 targets. He's averaging 7.5 catches and 118.6 yards per game, with 12 receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL).
• Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 3,697 yards (first in the NFL), 24 touchdowns (fourth in the NFL) and 10 interceptions this year. He averages 284.4 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt, while completing 70%.
• Raheem Mostert has 924 rushing yards (second in the NFL) with 16 touchdowns (71.1 yards per game through 13 games).
• Mostert has 22 receptions on 29 targets for 170 yards, with two receiving TDs.
• Devon Achane has rushed for 581 yards with seven touchdowns (83 yards per game in seven games).
• He's added 18 catches (on 25 targets) for 125 receiving yards with two touchdowns. He's averaging 17.9 receiving yards and 2.6 receptions per game.

Defense

• On defense, Bradley Chubb has 57 tackles, seven TFL, 6.5 sacks, and two passes defended in 2023.
• Christian Wilkins has 7.5 sacks (first on the Dolphins) in addition to his nine TFL and 49 tackles.
• David Long has put up 83 tackles, seven TFL, and one sack this year.
• So far this season, Andrew Van Ginkel has 51 tackles, seven TFL, four sacks, and one interception.

New York Betting Info

• New York has put together a record of 5-7-1 against the spread this year.
• The Jets have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 8.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Games involving New York have hit the over on five occasions this year.
• The Jets have won four, or 33.3%, of the 12 games they've played as underdogs this season.
• New York has been at least a +330 moneyline underdog two times this season, but lost all of those games.
• The Jets have a 23.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• So far this year in 13 games, Breece Hall has racked up 625 rushing yards (leading the Jets) and scored two rushing touchdowns. He averages 48.1 yards per game and 4.3 per attempt (14th in the NFL).
• Hall's contributions include 52 receptions (four per game) on 66 targets for 435 yards (33.5 per game) and three receiving touchdowns.
• Through 11 games, Zach Wilson has 2,245 passing yards, with eight touchdowns against seven interceptions and completing 60.8% of his attempts.
• Wilson also has 211 rushing yards (second on the Jets).
• This season, Garrett Wilson has caught 76 passes for 853 receiving yards with three touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 134 total times and is averaging 5.8 receptions per game through 13 games played.
• Tyler Conklin has 506 receiving yards from 46 receptions after getting 65 targets.

Defense

• In 2023, Quincy Williams has amassed 110 tackles, 13 TFL, and two sacks over 13 games.
• C.J. Mosley's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 124 tackles, four TFL, 0.5 sacks, and seven passes defended.
• Jordan Whitehead has recorded three TFL, 76 tackles, and four interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
• Quinnen Williams has put up three sacks (fifth on the Jets) to go with eight TFL, 51 tackles, and one interception over 13 games.

Why Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins are not trustworthy moving forward | The Herd

The Miami Dolphins blew a 14-point lead in the fourth quarter to the Tennessee Titans and fell 28-27. Tyreek Hill exited the game due to injury and Tua Tagovailoa arguably did not look the same afterward. Watch as Colin Cowherd explains why Miami is not trustworthy in the playoffs.

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