Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 24

Published Nov. 20, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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The Miami Dolphins (7-3) are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8) over the New York Jets (4-6). The Jets have lost three games straight. The game has an over/under of 41 points.

Dolphins vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: New York (+8)
  
• Pick OU: Over (41)
  
• Prediction: Miami 26 - New York 19

How to Watch Miami vs. New York

• Game Date: Friday, November 24, 2023
• Time: 3:00 PM ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on Amazon Prime Video

Dolphins vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• Miami holds a 3-2 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New York has racked up 92 points versus Miami, while allowing only 88 points.

Miami Betting Info

• In 10 Miami games this season, it has six wins against the spread.
• The Dolphins have been favored by 8 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in three of those games.
• Miami games in 2023 have gone over the point total five times in 10 opportunities (50%).
• The Dolphins have won each of the six games they were the moneyline favorite this season.
• Miami has won all four games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -375 or shorter.
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Dolphins a 78.9% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• Tua Tagovailoa ranks third in the NFL with 2,934 passing yards through 10 games this year, averaging 293.4 per game with a 69.7% completion percentage and 21 touchdowns (second in the NFL) against eight interceptions.
• Tyreek Hill has caught 79 passes (second in the NFL) on 108 targets for 1,222 total yards (first in the NFL) and nine touchdowns. He is averaging 7.9 catches and 122.2 yards per game in 10 games.
• Raheem Mostert has 691 rushing yards (second in the NFL) with 11 touchdowns (69.1 yards per game across 10 games).
• Mostert has 20 catches on 26 targets for 158 yards, with two receiving TDs.
• In the running game, Devon Achane averages 11.8 yards per attempt and 92.2 yards per game for 461 total rushing yards. He has recorded five rushing touchdowns this season.
• Achane's 12 receiving targets have led to 10 receptions (2.0 per game) for 71 yards (14.2 per game) and two TDs.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Bradley Chubb has 45 tackles, 7.0 TFL, six sacks, and one pass defended in 2023.
• Jevon Holland has 64 tackles and 3.0 TFL this season. He's second on the Dolphins in tackles.
• Christian Wilkins has collected 40 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and 4.5 sacks this year.
• Andrew Van Ginkel has 40 tackles, 7.0 TFL, four sacks, and four passes defended.

New York Betting Info

• New York has covered the spread in a matchup four times this season (4-5-1).
• The Jets have been underdogs by 8 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
• This year, three New York games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Jets have won three out of the nine games in which they've been the underdog.
• New York has not won as an underdog of +295 or more on the moneyline this season in two such games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Jets based on the moneyline is 25.3%.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Breece Hall averages 54.4 rushing yards per game this year (544 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
• Hall's offensive contributions include 31 receptions (3.1 per game) on 40 targets for 296 yards (29.6 per game) and two receiving touchdowns.
• Zach Wilson has 1,944 passing yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions. His completion percentage is 59.2% and he averages 194.4 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
• Wilson also has 199 rushing yards (second on the Jets).
• In 10 games played this season, Garrett Wilson has 57 catches (5.7 receptions per game on 10.3 targets per game) for 651 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
• Tyler Conklin has 35 catches for 381 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.5 yards per game in 10 games and has been targeted 45 times.

Defense

• In 2023, Quincy Williams has recorded 91 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and two sacks over 10 games.
• C.J. Mosley has 0.5 sacks to go with 3.0 TFL, 100 tackles, and one interception.
• Jordan Whitehead has 3.0 TFL, 61 tackles, and four interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
• Quinnen Williams has put up 2.0 sacks to go with 7.0 TFL, 38 tackles, and one interception over 10 games.

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