Dolphins vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 24

Updated Nov. 24, 2024 12:46 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Dolphins (4-6) are solid favorites -- expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7) -- against the New England Patriots (3-8) in a matchup of two division rivals. The matchup has an over/under of 46 points.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of November 24, 2024, 11:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Dolphins	-7	-126	-106	46	-110	-110

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Patriots (+7)
Pick OU: Under (46)
Prediction: Dolphins 23 - Patriots 17

How to Watch Miami vs. New England

Game Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Dolphins vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

Miami has a 4-1 record against New England in their last five matchups.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has racked up 111 points, while New England has compiled 74.

Miami Betting Info

Against the spread, Miami is 4-6-0 this year.
The Dolphins have won their only game this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
Miami has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 40% of its contests this year (four times in 10 games with a set point total).
The Dolphins have compiled a 3-3 record in games they played as the moneyline favorite (winning 50% of those games).
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 78.3%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	197 (1,970)	23
Rush yards	122 (1,220)	11
Points scored	18.1 (181)	29
Pass yards against	199 (1,990)	10
Rush yards against	109 (1,090)	10
Points allowed	22.1 (221)	14

Miami's Key Players

Offense

Devon Achane has racked up 530 rushing yards with three touchdowns (53 yards per game across 10 games). His 4.3 yards per attempt rank 21st in the league.
Achane has 51 targets, 46 catches, 349 receiving yards and three TDs through the air.
Tua Tagovailoa has 1,443 passing yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 73.4% of his passes, averaging 240.5 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt.
Tyreek Hill has three touchdown catches this season, and has 44 receptions for 523 yards on 67 targets, while averaging 4.4 catches and 52.3 yards per game.
Jonnu Smith has racked up 448 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 39 catches on 52 targets. He's averaging 3.9 receptions and 44.8 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Jordyn Brooks has 85 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and three passes defended in 2024.
Tyrel Dodson has 71 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended.
Calais Campbell has recorded 33 tackles, nine TFL, and four sacks this year.
This season, Jalen Ramsey has 40 tackles, four TFL, and two interceptions. He's fifth on the Dolphins in tackles.

New England Betting Info

New England is 4-6-1 against the spread this season.
The Patriots have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 7 points or more (in three chances).
New England games have gone over the total six times this season.
The Patriots have been underdogs in 11 games this season and won three (27.3%) of those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 26.0% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	165.9 (1,825)	32
Rush yards	115.2 (1,267)	21
Points scored	16.5 (182)	28
Pass yards against	216.8 (2,385)	20
Rush yards against	128.4 (1,412)	20
Points allowed	22.5 (248)	18

New England's Key Players

Offense

Rhamondre Stevenson averages 58.5 rushing yards per game this year (585 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
Stevenson's contributions include 28 receptions (2.8 per game) on 33 targets for 118 yards (11.8 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
Drake Maye has 1,236 passing yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions. His completion percentage is 66.7% and he averages 176.6 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
He has tacked on 260 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 37.1 yards per game and 9.3 per carry).
Through 11 games played this season, Hunter Henry has 46 catches (4.2 receptions per game on six targets per game) for 491 yards and one receiving touchdown.
Demario Douglas has been targeted 59 times, resulting in 43 catches for 415 yards .

Defense

In 2024, Keion White has put up 44 tackles, seven TFL, and five sacks through 11 games.
Jahlani Tavai has one interception on top of 70 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
Anfernee Jennings has recorded 2.5 sacks (third on the Patriots) as well as six TFL and 51 tackles in the 2024 season.
Marcus Jones' season stats include 43 tackles, one TFL, and one interception in 11 games. He is fifth on the Patriots in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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