Dolphins vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 24

Updated Nov. 22, 2024 8:46 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Dolphins (4-6) and New England Patriots (3-8) will play each other in a battle of two division rivals. The Dolphins are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7). The game has an over/under of 46.5 points.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of November 22, 2024, 3:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Dolphins	-7	-123	-108	46.5	-110	-110

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Patriots (+7)
Pick OU: Under (46.5)
Prediction: Dolphins 23 - Patriots 17

How to Watch Miami vs. New England

Game Date: Sunday, November 24, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Dolphins vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

Miami has a 4-1 record against New England in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has compiled 111 points against New England, while allowing only 74 points.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has four wins in 10 games versus the spread this season.
The Dolphins have won their only game this season when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
Miami contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 40% of the time (four times in 10 games with a set point total).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Dolphins are 3-3 (winning 50% of the time).
Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Dolphins' implied win probability is 79.8%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	197 (1,970)	23
Rush yards	122 (1,220)	11
Points scored	18.1 (181)	29
Pass yards against	199 (1,990)	10
Rush yards against	109 (1,090)	10
Points allowed	22.1 (221)	14

Miami's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Devon Achane averages 4.3 yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 53 yards per game for 530 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing touchdowns this season.
Achane has been targeted 51 times in the passing game and has 46 catches (4.6 per game) for 349 yards (34.9 per game) and three TDs.
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,443 yards, nine touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He is averaging 240.5 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 73.4%.
Through 10 games played, Tyreek Hill is averaging 52.3 yards and 4.4 receptions per game to total 523 receiving yards and 44 catches. He's been targeted 67 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
Jonnu Smith averages 3.9 receptions and 44.8 yards per game, and has 448 total receiving yards and 39 catches. He's gotten 52 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

Over on defense, Jordyn Brooks has 85 tackles, five TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Tyrel Dodson has 71 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks this season.
This season, Calais Campbell has put up four sacks (first on the Dolphins) to go along with his nine TFL and 33 tackles.
So far this season, Jalen Ramsey has 40 tackles, four TFL, and two interceptions. He's fifth on the Dolphins in tackles.

New England Betting Info

New England is 4-6-1 against the spread this season.
The Patriots have been underdogs by 7 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread twice.
This season, six New England games have gone over the point total.
This season, the Patriots have been the underdog 11 times and won three, or 27.3%, of those games.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Patriots have a 24.4% chance to win.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	165.9 (1,825)	32
Rush yards	115.2 (1,267)	21
Points scored	16.5 (182)	28
Pass yards against	216.8 (2,385)	20
Rush yards against	128.4 (1,412)	20
Points allowed	22.5 (248)	18

New England's Key Players

Offense

Rhamondre Stevenson averages 58.5 rushing yards per game this year (585 total yards), while scoring six rushing touchdowns.
Stevenson has also figured into the passing attack with 118 yards (11.8 per game) on 28 receptions (2.8 per game), while being targeted 33 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
Drake Maye has 1,236 passing yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions. His completion percentage is 66.7% and he averages 176.6 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt.
Maye also has one rushing touchdown and 260 rushing yards (third on the Patriots).
Hunter Henry has totaled 491 receiving yards and one touchdown on 46 receptions, while being targeted 66 times on the season.
Demario Douglas has been targeted 59 times, resulting in 43 catches for 415 yards .

Defense

So far in 2024, Keion White has five sacks to go with seven TFL and 44 tackles over 11 games.
Jahlani Tavai's stat sheet includes one interception as well as 70 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and three passes defended.
Anfernee Jennings has 51 tackles, six TFL, and 2.5 sacks during the 2024 campaign.
Marcus Jones' season stats include 43 tackles, one TFL, and one interception through 11 games. He is fifth on the Patriots in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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