Dolphins vs. Patriots 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 6

Updated Oct. 6, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Miami Dolphins (1-3) and New England Patriots (1-3) will play each other, with both teams on losing streaks -- the Dolphins three in a row, the Patriots three in a row. Miami is a slight favorite (-2). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 37.

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Dolphins vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Patriots Betting Information updated as of October 6, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Dolphins	-2	-112	-108	37	-110	-110

Dolphins vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Patriots (+2)
Pick OU: Under (37)
Prediction: Patriots 28 - Dolphins 8

How to Watch Miami vs. New England

Game Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Gillette Stadium
Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Dolphins vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Miami has beaten New England four times.
New England has been outpaced by 41 points in its last five tilts versus Miami.

Miami Betting Info

Miami has not covered the spread yet this season.
The Dolphins have not covered the spread this season (0-3 ATS) when playing as at least 2-point favorites.
Miami's games this year have hit the over one time in four opportunities (25%).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Dolphins have won 33.3% of the time (1-2).
The Dolphins have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 56.5%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187.3 (749)	23
Rush yards	97.8 (391)	24
Points scored	11.3 (45)	32
Pass yards against	162.5 (650)	5
Rush yards against	119.5 (478)	16
Points allowed	25.8 (103)	26

Miami's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Devon Achane averages 3.1 yards per attempt (48th in the NFL) and 41.3 yards per game for 165 total rushing yards. He has recorded one rushing touchdown this season.
Achane has been targeted 22 times in the receiving game and has 20 catches (five per game) for 187 yards (46.8 per game) and one TD.
Tyreek Hill has 17 catches for 217 yards and one TD. In four games, he is averaging 4.3 catches and 54.3 yards per game.
Jaylen Waddle is still looking for his first touchdown catch, but has 17 catches for 212 yards on 20 targets, while averaging 4.3 catches and 53 yards per game.
Tyler Huntley has 96 passing yards, zero touchdowns and zero interceptions this year. He has completed 63.6% of his passes, averaging 96 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt.
He has added 40 rushing yards (40 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.

Defense

On the defensive side, Jordyn Brooks has 32 tackles, two TFL, and one sack in 2024.
Calais Campbell has 12 tackles, four TFL, and two sacks this season.
Emmanuel Ogbah has recorded 14 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one interception this year.
David Long has 21 tackles and two TFL.

New England Betting Info

New England has covered the spread in a matchup two times this season (2-2-0).
The Patriots have been underdogs by 2 points or more four times this year and have covered the spread twice.
This season, New England games have hit the over twice.
The Patriots have won one of the four games they've played as underdogs this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Patriots.

Patriots Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	112.3 (449)	32
Rush yards	126.5 (506)	12
Points scored	13 (52)	31
Pass yards against	254 (1,016)	27
Rush yards against	99.3 (397)	9
Points allowed	21.8 (87)	15

New England's Key Players

Offense

Rhamondre Stevenson averages 66.8 rushing yards per game this year (267 total yards), while scoring two rushing touchdowns.
Through four games, Jacoby Brissett has 536 passing yards, with two touchdowns against one interception and completing 60.4% of his passes.
He has also added 41 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), while scoring zero touchdowns on the ground (averaging 10.3 yards per game and 3.7 per carry).
This season in four games, Antonio Gibson has racked up 155 rushing yards (second on the Patriots), but has not scored a rushing touchdown. He averages 38.8 yards per game and 5.3 per attempt (10th in the NFL).
Gibson has helped in the passing attack, amassing 82 receiving yards (20.5 per game) on seven catches (1.8 per game), while being targeted eight times. He is looking for his first receiving touchdown.
Hunter Henry has 14 catches for 148 yards without a receiving touchdown. He averages 3.5 yards per game through four games and has been targeted 21 times.

Defense

Keion White has recorded four sacks (first on the Patriots and fifth in the NFL) to go with four TFL and 20 tackles through four games in 2024.
Kyle Dugger's stat sheet includes 18 tackles, three TFL, one sack, and one pass defended.
Jabrill Peppers has 22 tackles and one interception in the 2024 campaign. He is second on the Patriots in tackles.
Jonathan Jones' stat sheet includes 19 tackles and three passes defended in four games

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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