Dolphins vs. Raiders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Dolphins vs. Raiders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 17

Updated Nov. 17, 2024 12:49 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Las Vegas Raiders (2-7) will be aiming to end a five-game losing streak against the Miami Dolphins (3-6). The Dolphins are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -8.5). The expected point total for the game is 43.5.

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Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Raiders Betting Information updated as of November 17, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Dolphins -8.5 -107 -114 43.5 -108 -112

Dolphins vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Raiders (+8.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  • Prediction: Dolphins 24 - Raiders 19

How to Watch Miami vs. Las Vegas

  • Game Date: Sunday, November 17, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • TV: CBS
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Dolphins vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, Miami has totaled three wins against Las Vegas.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has racked up 138 points, while Las Vegas has posted 105.

Miami Betting Info

  • Miami has three wins in nine games versus the spread this season.
  • Miami contests this year have gone over the point total 33.3% of the time (three times in nine games with a set point total).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Dolphins are 2-3 (winning 40% of the time).
  • The Dolphins have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 81.0%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 188.8 (1,699) 25
Rush yards 126.4 (1,138) 9
Points scored 16.3 (147) 32
Pass yards against 191.3 (1,722) 8
Rush yards against 114.4 (1,030) 12
Points allowed 22.4 (202) 17

Miami's Key Players

Offense

  • Devon Achane's rushing stat line this season includes 457 yards and two TDs. He is averaging 50.8 yards per game and 4.4 per attempt (20th in the NFL).
  • Achane has been targeted 47 times in the receiving game and has 42 catches (4.7 per game) for 317 yards (35.2 per game) and three TDs.
  • Tua Tagovailoa has 1,155 passing yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 72.4% of his attempts, averaging 231 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
  • Through nine games played, Tyreek Hill is averaging 51.3 yards and 4.1 receptions per game on the way to 462 receiving yards and 37 catches. He's been targeted 59 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
  • Jaylen Waddle averages 3.4 receptions and 40.8 yards per game, and has 367 total receiving yards and 31 catches. He's gotten 44 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Tyrel Dodson has 71 tackles, five TFL, and two sacks in 2024.
  • Jordyn Brooks has one sack to go with four TFL and 73 tackles.
  • Calais Campbell has put up 31 tackles, eight TFL, and three sacks this year.
  • So far this season, Jalen Ramsey has 35 tackles, four TFL, and one interception. He's fourth on the Dolphins in tackles.

Las Vegas Betting Info

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread four times in nine games with a set total.
  • The Raiders have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 8.5 points or more (in three chances).
  • This season, six Las Vegas games have gone over the point total.
  • The Raiders have been underdogs in eight games this season and won two (25%) of those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 23.3% chance of a victory for the Raiders.

Raiders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 203.3 (1,830) 18
Rush yards 76.9 (692) 32
Points scored 18.7 (168) 26
Pass yards against 195.1 (1,756) 11
Rush yards against 129.9 (1,169) 22
Points allowed 27.9 (251) 30

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

  • This year through nine games, Alexander Mattison has racked up 301 rushing yards (leading the Raiders) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 33.4 yards per game and 3.3 per attempt (43rd in the NFL).
  • Mattison's offensive contributions include 22 receptions (2.4 per game) on 26 targets for 195 yards (21.7 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
  • Brock Bowers has 57 catches (seventh in the NFL) for 580 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 73 times and averages 6.3 receptions per game through nine games played.
  • Gardner Minshew has thrown for 1,501 yards this year, six touchdowns and eight interceptions. He is completing 67% of his attempts while averaging 187.6 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
  • Jakobi Meyers has 430 receiving yards and two touchdowns from 39 receptions after receiving 54 targets.

Defense

  • Robert Spillane has amassed one sack (fourth on the Raiders) to go with seven TFL, 86 tackles, and one interception over nine games in 2024.
  • Tre'von Moehrig-Woodard has 66 tackles, four TFL, 0.5 sacks, and two interceptions. He is second on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Maxx Crosby has recorded 6.5 sacks (first on the Raiders) as well as 11 TFL and 29 tackles in the 2024 season.
  • Nate Hobbs has intercepted one pass in addition to 43 tackles, two TFL, and five passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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