Dolphins vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 19

Dolphins vs. Raiders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 19

Published Nov. 15, 2023 1:06 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Dolphins (6-3) are considered favorites (-12) according to the point spread ahead of their game against the Las Vegas Raiders (5-5) on November 19, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 46.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Dolphins vs. Raiders Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs Raiders Betting Information updated as of November 15, 2023, 12:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Dolphins -12 -112 -108 46.5 -110 -110
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Dolphins vs. Raiders Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Las Vegas (+12)
  • Pick OU: Over (46.5)
  • Prediction: Miami 28 - Las Vegas 19

How to Watch Miami vs. Las Vegas

  • Game Date: Sunday, November 19, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
  • Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Dolphins vs. Raiders Recent Matchups

  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has beaten Las Vegas four times.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Miami has put up 159 points, while Las Vegas has compiled 88.

Miami Betting Info

  • Miami is 6-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Dolphins have won each of their two games this season when playing as at least 12-point favorites.
  • Miami has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 55.6% of its contests this year (five times in nine games with a set point total).
  • The Dolphins have won each of the five games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season.
  • Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -625 or shorter in just two games this season, and it won both.
  • The Dolphins have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 86.2%.

Dolphins Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 287.4 (2,587) 1
Rush yards 147.9 (1,331) 2
Points scored 31.7 (285) 1
Pass yards against 216.2 (1,946) 13
Rush yards against 106.2 (956) 13
Points allowed 25.0 (225) 26

Miami's Key Players

Offense

  • Tua Tagovailoa has 2,609 passing yards (third in the NFL), 19 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 69.5% of his attempts, averaging 289.9 yards per game and 8.5 per attempt.
  • Tyreek Hill has caught 69 passes (fourth in the NFL) on 97 targets for 1,076 total yards (first in the NFL) and eight touchdowns. He is averaging 7.7 catches and 119.6 yards per game through nine games.
  • Raheem Mostert's output on the ground this season includes 605 yards (ninth in the NFL) and 11 TDs. He's averaging 67.2 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt (first in the NFL).
  • Mostert has received 24 targets in the passing game and has 19 catches (2.1 per game) for 151 yards (16.8 per game) and two TDs.
  • Jaylen Waddle has put up 522 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 40 catches on 59 targets. He's averaging 5.0 receptions and 65.3 yards per game.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Bradley Chubb has 40 tackles, 7.0 TFL, six sacks, and one pass defended in 2023.
  • Jevon Holland has 59 tackles and 2.0 TFL this season. He's second on the Dolphins in tackles.
  • Christian Wilkins has put up 37 tackles, 5.0 TFL, 4.5 sacks, and two passes defended.
  • This season, David Long has 61 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one sack.

Las Vegas Betting Info

  • Las Vegas has covered the spread five times this year (5-4-1).
  • This year, Las Vegas games have hit the over twice.
  • This season, the Raiders have been the underdog four times and won one of those games.
  • Las Vegas has not entered a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +455.
  • The Raiders have a 18.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Raiders Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 192.1 (1,921) 23
Rush yards 83.3 (833) 30
Points scored 17.2 (172) 26
Pass yards against 198.7 (1,987) 8
Rush yards against 135.6 (1,356) 29
Points allowed 20.5 (205) 13

Las Vegas' Key Players

Offense

  • This year through 10 games, Joshua Jacobs has churned out 622 rushing yards (leading the Raiders and third in the NFL) and scored five rushing touchdowns. He averages 62.2 yards per game and 3.3 per attempt (39th in the NFL).
  • Jacobs has also been a part of the passing attack with 253 yards (25.3 per game) on 30 receptions (3.0 per game), while being targeted 45 times. He is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
  • Jakobi Meyers has put together a 2023 stat sheet that includes 42 catches for 463 yards and five receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL) through nine games played. He has been on the receiving end of 64 targets and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game.
  • This season, Davante Adams has caught 57 passes for 659 receiving yards with three touchdowns in the passing game. He has been targeted 98 total times and is averaging 5.7 receptions per game in 10 games played.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has 1,205 passing yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions. His completion percentage is 65.5% and he averages 200.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.

Defense

  • Maxx Crosby has amassed 9.5 sacks (first on the Raiders and fourth in the NFL) to go with 13.0 TFL and 59 tackles through 10 games in 2023.
  • Robert Spillane has 81 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and three interceptions. He leads the Raiders in tackles.
  • Trevon Moehrig has 54 tackles, 1.0 TFL, two sacks, and two interceptions in the 2023 season. He is fourth on the Raiders in tackles.
  • Divine Deablo has 58 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended.
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