Eagles vs. Commanders 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 22

Updated Dec. 20, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Eagles (12-2) are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5) over the Washington Commanders (9-5). The Eagles have taken 10 games in a row. The expected point total for the matchup is set at 46.

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Eagles vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Eagles vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of December 20, 2024, 5:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Eagles	-3.5	-110	-110	46	-111	-120

Eagles vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Eagles (-3.5)
Pick OU: Over (46)
Prediction: Eagles 26 - Commanders 22

How to Watch Philadelphia vs. Washington

Game Date: Sunday, December 22, 2024
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: Commanders Field
Location: Landover, Maryland
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Eagles vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

In their last five head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia has beaten Washington four times.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, Philadelphia has scored 143 points, while Washington has compiled 120.

Philadelphia Betting Info

Against the spread, Philadelphia is 9-5-0 this year.
When playing as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Eagles have an ATS record of 3-4.
Philadelphia games this year have hit the over on five of 14 set point totals (35.7%).
The Eagles have won 81.8% of the time they have played as the moneyline favorite (9-2).
Looking at this contest's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 64.9%.

Eagles Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	187 (2,618)	28
Rush yards	186.2 (2,607)	1
Points scored	26.4 (369)	8
Pass yards against	173.4 (2,427)	1
Rush yards against	102.2 (1,431)	7
Points allowed	17.6 (247)	1

Philadelphia's Key Players

Offense

Jalen Hurts has 2,892 passing yards in 14 games this year, averaging 206.6 per game with a 69.2% completion percentage and 18 touchdowns against five interceptions.
He has added 589 rushing yards (42.1 per game) and 14 touchdowns on the ground.
Saquon Barkley's rushing statline this season includes 1,688 yards (first in the NFL) and 11 TDs. He's averaging 120.6 yards per game and 5.9 per attempt (second in the NFL).
Barkley's 40 targets through the air have turned into 31 catches (2.2 per game) for 276 yards (19.7 per game) and two touchdowns.
A.J. Brown has five touchdown catches this season, and has 56 receptions for 946 yards on 77 targets, while averaging 5.1 catches and 86.0 yards per game.
DeVonta Smith has racked up 662 receiving yards and six touchdowns with 56 catches on 74 targets. He is averaging 5.1 receptions and 60.2 yards per game.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Zack Baun has 133 tackles, 9.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Eagles and is fourth in the NFL.
Nakobe Dean has 116 tackles, 9.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception this season.
This season, Jalen Carter has put up 4.5 sacks (fourth on the Eagles) to go along with his 12.0 TFL and 39 tackles.
Josh Sweat has 8.0 sacks (first on the Eagles) in addition to his 9.0 TFL and 35 tackles on the year.

Washington Betting Info

Washington is 8-6-0 against the spread this season.
The Commanders have covered the spread twice this year when underdogs by 3.5 points or more (in five chances).
This season, nine Washington games have gone over the point total.
The Commanders have entered the game as underdogs five times this season and won twice.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Commanders have a 39.4% chance to win.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	218.4 (3,058)	16
Rush yards	155.5 (2,177)	3
Points scored	28.3 (396)	6
Pass yards against	190.1 (2,661)	4
Rush yards against	131.7 (1,844)	24
Points allowed	22.5 (315)	16

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Jayden Daniels is averaging 7.7 passing yards per attempt (10th in the NFL) and 217.5 yards per game this year, completing 70.5% of his passes on the way to 3,045 total yards, 17 touchdowns and six interceptions through 14 games.
He's added 656 yards on the ground (second on the Commanders), with six rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 46.9 yards per game and 5.5 per attempt.
Terry McLaurin has put together a 2024 campaign that includes 68 catches for 969 yards (seventh in the NFL) and 11 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL) through 14 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 92 targets and is averaging 4.9 receptions per game.
Brian Robinson Jr. has rushed for eight touchdowns this year, and has totaled 705 rushing yards (64.1 per game and 4.4 per attempt).
In addition to his ground game, Robinson has grabbed 15 passes (on 19 targets) for 127 yards (eighth on the Commanders). He averages 11.5 yards per game.
Zach Ertz has been targeted 77 times, resulting in 54 catches for 526 yards .

Defense

Frankie Luvu has recorded 8.0 sacks (second on the Commanders) to go with 9.0 TFL and 82 tackles over 14 games in 2024.
Bobby Wagner's stat sheet includes 109 tackles, 8.0 TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended.
Jeremy Chinn has recorded 1.0 sack as well as 5.0 TFL, 84 tackles, and one interception in the 2024 season.
Mike Sainristil's season stats include 70 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and two interceptions through 14 games. He is fourth on the Commanders in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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