Eagles vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 10

Published Sep. 8, 2023 7:03 p.m. ET

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The Philadelphia Eagles (0-0) are favored by four points against the New England Patriots (0-0) on September 10, 2023, starting at 4:25 PM ET, airing on CBS. An over/under of 45 points has been established for the matchup.

Eagles vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Lines

Eagles vs. Patriots Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Philadelphia (-4)
  
• Pick OU: Over (45)
  
• Prediction: Philadelphia 25 - Patriots 20

How to Watch Philadelphia vs. New England

• Game Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Time: 4:25 PM ET
• Venue: Gillette Stadium
• Location: Foxborough, Massachusetts
• TV: Watch on CBS

Eagles vs. Patriots Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head matchups, New England has won against Philadelphia three times.
• Philadelphia has been outpaced by 13 points in its last five tilts against New England.

Philadelphia Betting Info

• Philadelphia won eight games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
• The Eagles had an ATS record of 8-8 as 4-point favorites or greater last year.
• Last season, nine Philadelphia games hit the over.
• The Eagles won 14 of the 16 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (87.5%).
• In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -198 or shorter, Philadelphia had a record of 14-2 (87.5%).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Eagles' implied win probability is 66.4%.

Eagles Stats (2022)

Philadelphia's Key Players

Offense

• Jalen Hurts threw for 3,701 yards last year (to rank 10th in the NFL), with 22 touchdowns and six interceptions. He completed 66.5% of his attempts while averaging 246.7 yards per game and 8 per attempt.
• On the ground, Hurts added 13 rushing touchdowns and 760 rushing yards.
• A.J. Brown had 88 catches for 1,496 yards (fourth in the NFL) and 11 receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He was targeted 145 times and averaged 5.2 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• For the Falcons last season, Marcus Mariota passed for 2,219 yards last year, 15 touchdowns and nine interceptions. He completed 61.3% of his attempts while averaging 170.7 yards per game and 7.4 per attempt.
• Mariota also rushed for four touchdowns and 438 yards.
• DeVonta Smith had 95 catches for 1,196 yards (ninth in the NFL) and seven receiving touchdowns. He averaged 5.6 yards per game over 17 games and was targeted 136 times.

Defense

• Haason Reddick had 49 tackles, 11 TFL, 16 sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
• Josh Sweat had 48 tackles, 15 TFL, 11 sacks, and one interception.
• Brandon Graham had 35 tackles, 11 TFL, and 11 sacks in the 2022 campaign.
• Fletcher Cox totaled seven sacks as well as seven TFL and 43 tackles.

New England Betting Info

• New England put together a 7-9-1 ATS record last year.
• The Patriots won once ATS (1-2) as underdogs of 4 points or greater last year.
• New England and its opponent combined to hit the over eight out of 17 times last season.
• Last season, the Patriots won one out of the nine games in which they were the underdog.
• Last season, New England was at least a +164 underdog on the moneyline three times, losing each of those contests.
• The Patriots have a 37.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Patriots Stats (2022)

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Rhamondre Stevenson rushed for five TDs last year, and racked up 1,040 total yards rushing (61.2 per game and 5 per carry).
• Stevenson also played a role in the passing game with 421 receiving yards (24.8 per game) on 69 receptions (4.1 per game), targeted 88 times. He had one receiving TD.
• Mac Jones had 2,997 passing yards, 14 TD passes and 11 INTs. His completion percentage was 65.2% and he averaged 214.1 yards per game and 6.8 per attempt.
• He tacked on 102 yards rushing, with one TD on the ground (averaging 7.3 yards per game and 2.2 per carry).
• Ezekiel Elliott averaged 58.4 yards rushing per game for the Cowboys last season (876 total yards), while scoring 12 rushing TDs.
• JuJu Smith-Schuster picked up 933 yards and three TDs from 78 receptions and 101 targets for the Chiefs.

Defense

• Matthew Judon had 60 tackles, 14 TFL, 15.5 sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
• Ja'Whaun Bentley's production included one INT as well as 122 tackles, five TFL, three sacks, and two passes defended.
• Kyle Dugger picked off three passes on top of 69 tackles, five TFL, one sack, and eight passes defended in 2022.
• Jonathan Jones' stats for the year included 68 tackles and four interceptions over 16 games.

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