Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Updated Oct. 25, 2024 8:44 p.m. ET

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In a matchup of two division rivals, the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3). The Falcons are slim favorites (-2.5). The matchup has an over/under of 46 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (46)
  
• Prediction: Buccaneers 33 - Falcons 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

• Game Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: Raymond James Stadium
• Location: Tampa, Florida
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

• Ravens vs. Browns Prediction
• Lions vs. Titans Prediction
• Packers vs. Jaguars Prediction
• Texans vs. Colts Prediction
• Dolphins vs. Cardinals Prediction
• Jets vs. Patriots Prediction
• Bengals vs. Eagles Prediction
• Bills vs. Seahawks Prediction
• Chargers vs. Saints Prediction
• Broncos vs. Panthers Prediction
• Bears vs. Commanders Prediction
• Chiefs vs. Raiders Prediction

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

• Atlanta holds a 3-2 record against Tampa Bay in their last five matchups.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, Atlanta has put up 122 points, while Tampa Bay has accumulated 110.

Atlanta Betting Info

• In seven Atlanta games this season, it has three wins against the spread.
• The Falcons have covered the spread twice this season (2-3 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
• Atlanta games this year have gone over the total in three out of seven opportunities (42.9%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Falcons are 3-2 (winning 60% of the time).
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Falcons a 58.7% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Kirk Cousins has 1,830 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 10 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 261.4 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
• Bijan Robinson averages 4.7 yards per carry (18th in the NFL) and 69.0 yards per game, and has 483 total rushing yards (ninth in the NFL). He has recorded four rushing TDs this season.
• He's also caught 24 passes (on 28 targets) for 201 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 28.7 receiving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
• In the passing game, Drake London, has racked up 491 receiving yards (seventh in the NFL) and five touchdowns (third in the NFL) after catching 44 balls (fourth in the NFL) on 62 targets. Per game, he's averaging 70.1 yards and 6.3 receptions through seven games.
• Darnell Mooney has 32 receptions for 414 yards and three touchdowns. He's been targeted 53 times in the air attack, and averages 4.6 receptions and 59.1 yards through seven games played.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Kaden Elliss has 53 tackles and 1.0 TFL in 2024. His tackle total leads the Falcons.
• Jessie Bates III has picked off one pass and has added 45 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended.
• Dee Alford has collected 38 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and four passes defended.
• This season, Mike Hughes has 38 tackles and 3.0 TFL.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Tampa Bay has covered the spread four times in seven games with a set total.
• The Buccaneers have covered the spread once this season when underdogs by 2.5 points or more (in three chances).
• Games involving Tampa Bay have hit the over on five occasions this season.
• The Buccaneers have been underdogs in four games this season and won two (50%) of those contests.
• The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 45.5% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield is averaging 7.9 passing yards per attempt (sixth in the NFL) and 265.6 yards per game this year, completing 70.5% of his passes on the way to 1,859 total yards (second in the NFL), 18 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and seven interceptions through seven games.
• He's added 158 yards on the ground (fourth on the Buccaneers), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 22.6 yards per game and 6.1 per attempt.
• Mike Evans has 335 receiving yards and six touchdowns (first in the NFL) on 26 receptions, while being targeted 45 times.
• This season through seven games, Bucky Irving has churned out 351 rushing yards (leading the Buccaneers) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 50.1 yards per game and 5.2 per attempt (10th in the NFL).
• In addition to his ground game, Irving has pulled down 13 passes (on 15 targets) for 124 yards (fifth on the Buccaneers). He averages 17.7 yards per game.
• Rachaad White has 227 rushing yards (second on the Buccaneers), without scoring a rushing touchdown, while averaging 37.8 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt (40th in the NFL).
• White has also tacked on 23 catches (3.8 per game) for 198 yards (33.0 per game) and two receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 25 targets.

Defense

• So far in 2024, Lavonte David has 48 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and one interception over seven games.
• Zyon McCollum has two interceptions on top of 32 tackles and 10 passes defended. He's ninth in the league in interceptions.
• Tykee Smith has 2.0 TFL, 32 tackles, and one interception.
• Jordan Whitehead has totaled 1.0 TFL and 46 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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