Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 27

Updated Oct. 27, 2024 12:44 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

In a matchup of two division rivals, the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) will meet the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3). The Falcons are small favorites (-1.5). An over/under of 47 points has been set for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of October 27, 2024, 12:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Falcons -1.5 -110 -110 47 -112 -108

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

  • Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+1.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (47)
  • Prediction: Buccaneers 33 - Falcons 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 27, 2024
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Raymond James Stadium
  • Location: Tampa, Florida
  • TV: Watch on FOX
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Read More NFL Predictions For This Week

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has tallied three wins versus Tampa Bay.
  • Tampa Bay has been outscored by 12 points in its last five tilts versus Atlanta.

Atlanta Betting Info

  • Atlanta has three wins in seven games versus the spread this season.
  • The Falcons have covered the spread twice when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in five opportunities).
  • Atlanta games this year have hit the over on three of seven set point totals (42.9%).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Falcons have won 60% of the time (3-2).
  • The Falcons have a 55.0% chance to win this contest, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Falcons Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 251.1 (1,758) 5
Rush yards 119.6 (837) 16
Points scored 23.3 (163) 13
Pass yards against 199.1 (1,394) 13
Rush yards against 137 (959) 24
Points allowed 24.1 (169) 22

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

  • Kirk Cousins has 1,830 passing yards (fourth in the NFL), 10 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 66.9% of his passes, averaging 261.4 yards per game and 7.6 per attempt.
  • Bijan Robinson has put up 483 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) with four touchdowns (69 yards per game through seven games). His 4.7 yards per attempt rank 18th in the league.
  • He has also hauled in 24 passes (on 28 targets) for 201 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 28.7 receiving yards and 3.4 catches per game.
  • Drake London has five touchdown catches this season (third in the NFL), and has 44 catches (fourth in the NFL) for 491 yards (seventh in the NFL) on 62 targets, while averaging 6.3 catches and 70.1 yards per game.
  • Darnell Mooney averages 4.6 receptions and 59.1 yards per game, and has 414 total receiving yards and 32 catches. He's gotten 53 total targets, and has caught three touchdown passes.

Defense

  • Over on defense, Kaden Elliss has 53 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 2024.
  • Jessie Bates III has 45 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season. He's second on the Falcons in tackles.
  • Dee Alford has put up 38 tackles, one TFL, and one sack this year.
  • This season, Mike Hughes has 38 tackles and three TFL. He's fourth on the Falcons in tackles.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

  • Tampa Bay is 4-3-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Buccaneers have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
  • Games involving Tampa Bay have hit the over on five occasions this season.
  • This season, the Buccaneers have been the underdog four times and won two of those games.
  • The Buccaneers have a 49.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 248.3 (1,738) 7
Rush yards 135.1 (946) 8
Points scored 29.9 (209) 3
Pass yards against 254 (1,778) 29
Rush yards against 132 (924) 19
Points allowed 26 (182) 28

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

  • Baker Mayfield is averaging 7.9 passing yards per attempt (sixth in the NFL) and 265.6 yards per game this year, completing 70.5% of his passes on the way to 1,859 total yards (second in the NFL), 18 touchdowns (first in the NFL) and seven interceptions through seven games.
  • Mayfield has also rushed for two touchdowns and 158 yards (fourth on the Buccaneers).
  • Mike Evans has put together a 2024 stat sheet that includes 26 catches for 335 yards and six receiving touchdowns (first in the NFL) in seven games played. He has been on the receiving end of 45 targets and is averaging 3.7 receptions per game.
  • Bucky Irving is averaging 50.1 rushing yards per game this season (351 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
  • Irving's stat sheet includes 13 receptions (1.9 per game) on 15 targets for 124 yards (17.7 per game), though he has not scored a touchdown through the air.
  • Rachaad White averages 37.8 rushing yards per game over six games (227 total yards), but has not yet scored a rushing touchdown.
  • White has tacked on 23 catches (3.8 per game) for 198 yards (33 per game) and two receiving touchdowns. He has been on the receiving end of 25 targets.

Defense

  • Lavonte David has intercepted one pass to go with 48 tackles, four TFL, three sacks, and four passes defended in 2024.
  • Zyon McCollum has 32 tackles and two interceptions. He is fifth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Tykee Smith has 32 tackles, two TFL, and one interception in the 2024 season. He is fifth on the Buccaneers in tackles.
  • Jordan Whitehead has one TFL and 46 tackles through seven games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons
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