Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 3

Published Oct. 1, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) are small favorites (-1.5) versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1) in a battle of two division rivals. An over/under of 43.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Buccaneers Betting Information updated as of September 30, 2024, 5:34 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Falcons	-1.5	-112	-108	43.5	-110	-110

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+1.5)
Pick OU: Under (43.5)
Prediction: Falcons 22 - Buccaneers 21

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

Game Date: Thursday, October 3, 2024
Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: Amazon Prime Video
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Tampa Bay has tallied three wins versus Atlanta.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has tallied 110 points against Atlanta, while surrendering only 103 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta has one win against the spread in four games this year.
The Falcons have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
Atlanta games this year have gone over the total in one out of four opportunities (25%).
The Falcons have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Falcons a 55.6% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	206.5 (826)	17
Rush yards	102.8 (411)	22
Points scored	18.8 (75)	22
Pass yards against	191.0 (764)	13
Rush yards against	145.5 (582)	25
Points allowed	21.3 (85)	14

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Kirk Cousins has 864 passing yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 64.7% of his attempts, averaging 216.0 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
Bijan Robinson has collected 224 rushing yards with one touchdown (56.0 yards per game through four games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 28th in the NFL.
Robinson's 16 targets as part of the passing attack have resulted in 15 catches (3.8 per game) for 135 yards (33.8 per game) and zero touchdowns.
In four games played, Drake London is averaging 50.0 yards and 5.0 receptions per game to total 200 receiving yards and 20 catches. He's been targeted 31 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
Darnell Mooney has 225 receiving yards and one touchdown with 15 catches on 24 targets. He is averaging 3.8 receptions and 56.3 yards per game.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Troy Andersen has 41 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in 2024. His tackle total leads the Falcons and is eighth in the NFL.
Jessie Bates III has 1.0 TFL, 29 tackles, and one interception.
Kaden Elliss has totaled 33 tackles this year.
So far this season, Dee Alford has 25 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one sack.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

Tampa Bay have compiled a 3-1-0 record against the spread this season.
The Buccaneers have been underdogs by 1.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
This season, Tampa Bay games have hit the over twice.
The Buccaneers have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Buccaneers.

Buccaneers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	223.0 (892)	9
Rush yards	96.0 (384)	25
Points scored	24.3 (97)	11
Pass yards against	203.8 (815)	16
Rush yards against	131.5 (526)	22
Points allowed	19.5 (78)	9

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

Baker Mayfield is averaging 7.6 passing yards per attempt (10th in the NFL) and 246.0 yards per game this year, completing 70.5% of his passes on the way to 984 total yards (sixth in the NFL), eight touchdowns (second in the NFL) and two interceptions through four games.
He's added 65 yards on the ground (third on the Buccaneers), while scoring two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 16.3 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt.
Chris Godwin has 27 catches (third in the NFL) for 322 yards (seventh in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He has been targeted 34 times and averages 6.8 receptions per game in four games played.
In four games played this season, Mike Evans has 18 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 7.2 targets per game) for 214 yards and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
Bucky Irving has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 203 total yards (5.8 per attempt and 50.8 per game).

Defense

Lavonte David has put up 2.0 sacks (first on the Buccaneers) to go with 2.0 TFL and 29 tackles through four games in 2024.
Jamel Dean has 33 tackles and three passes defended.
Jordan Whitehead has 31 tackles and 1.0 TFL in the 2024 campaign. He is second on the Buccaneers in tackles.
Christian Izien has intercepted one pass and also has 23 tackles and three passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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