Falcons vs. Buccaneers 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 3

Updated Oct. 3, 2024 4:43 p.m. ET

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In a matchup of two division rivals, the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) will play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1). The Falcons are slim favorites (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 44.

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Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Buccaneers (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (44)
  
• Prediction: Falcons 22 - Buccaneers 21

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

• Game Date: Thursday, October 3, 2024
• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Amazon Prime Video
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

• In their past five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has defeated Atlanta three times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Tampa Bay has tallied 110 points versus Atlanta, while surrendering only 103 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Atlanta has covered the spread on one occasion this year.
• The Falcons have been favored by 2.5 points or more this season twice, and failed to cover both times.
• Atlanta's games this year have gone over the point total one time in four opportunities (25%).
• The Falcons have been moneyline favorites in two other games this season, and they split them.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Falcons a 58.7% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Kirk Cousins has 864 passing yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He has completed 64.7% of his passes, averaging 216 yards per game and 7.3 per attempt.
• Bijan Robinson has recorded 224 rushing yards with one touchdown (56 yards per game through four games). His 4.1 yards per attempt rank 28th in the league.
• Robinson's 16 targets through the air have turned into 15 catches (3.8 per game) for 135 yards (33.8 per game) and zero touchdowns.
• In the passing game, Drake London, has racked up 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns after grabbing 20 balls on 31 targets. Per game, he's averaging 50 yards and five receptions over four games.
• Darnell Mooney averages 3.8 receptions and 56.3 yards per game, and has 225 total receiving yards and 15 catches. He's gotten 24 total targets, and has caught one touchdown pass.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Troy Andersen has one interception to go with 41 tackles, one TFL, and one pass defended in 2024.
• Jessie Bates III has 29 tackles, one TFL, and one interception this season.
• Kaden Elliss has collected 33 tackles.
• So far this season, Dee Alford has 25 tackles, one TFL, and one sack.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Tampa Bay is 3-1-0 against the spread this season.
• The Buccaneers have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more once this year and covered the spread.
• This season, Tampa Bay games have hit the over twice.
• The Buccaneers have won both games they've played as underdogs this season.
• The implied probability of a win by the Buccaneers based on the moneyline is 45.5%.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Through four games played this year, Baker Mayfield has totaled 984 passing yards (sixth-best in the NFL), while throwing eight touchdowns (second in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 70.5% of his attempts.
• Mayfield has also rushed for two touchdowns and 65 yards (third on the Buccaneers).
• Chris Godwin has 27 catches (third in the NFL) for 322 yards (seventh in the NFL) and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He has been targeted 34 times and averages 6.8 receptions per game through four games played.
• Through four games played this season, Mike Evans has 18 catches (4.5 receptions per game on 7.2 targets per game) for 214 yards and three receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL).
• Bucky Irving has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 203 total yards (5.8 per attempt and 50.8 per game).

Defense

• Lavonte David has 29 tackles, two TFL, two sacks, and one pass defended in 2024.
• Jamel Dean's stats include 33 tackles and three passes defended.
• Jordan Whitehead has recorded one TFL and 31 tackles in the 2024 campaign.
• Christian Izien has intercepted one pass in addition to 23 tackles and three passes defended.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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NFL - Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Atlanta Falcons - 10/04/2024

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