Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 10

Published Dec. 6, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Falcons (6-6) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) will face off in a battle of two division rivals. The Falcons are slight favorites (-2.5). An over/under of 39 points has been set for the matchup.

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Tampa Bay (+2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (39)
  
• Prediction: Atlanta 20 - Tampa Bay 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Tampa Bay

• Game Date: Sunday, December 10, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on CBS

Falcons vs. Buccaneers Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Atlanta has totaled three wins versus Tampa Bay.
• Tampa Bay has been outpaced by 3 points in its last five tilts versus Atlanta.

Atlanta Betting Info

• In 12 Atlanta games this season, it has four wins against the spread.
• The Falcons have been favored by 2.5 points or more five times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
• Atlanta games this year have hit the over on four of 12 set point totals (33.3%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Falcons are 4-4 (winning 50% of the time).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -135 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 3-1 (75%).
• The Falcons have a 57.4% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Bijan Robinson's rushing output this season includes 756 yards (eighth in the NFL) and three TDs. He is averaging 63.0 yards per game and 4.8 per attempt (ninth in the NFL).
• Robinson has 54 targets, 35 receptions, 266 receiving yards and three TDs through the air.
• Desmond Ridder has passed for 2,029 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions this year. He averages 184.5 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt, while completing 63.3%.
• He's also rushed for 180 yards (third on the Falcons) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 16.4 rushing yards per game.
• Through 12 games, Tyler Allgeier has picked up 492 yards on the ground, averaging 41.0 yards per game and scoring three touchdowns.
• Drake London averages 4.2 receptions and 52.1 yards per game, and has 573 total receiving yards and 46 catches. He's gotten 73 total targets, and has caught two touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense, Jessie Bates III has 92 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and five interceptions in 2023. His tackle total leads the Falcons.
• Kaden Elliss has 85 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
• Nathan Landman has recorded 78 tackles, 5.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year.
• So far this season, Richie Grant has 74 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception.

Tampa Bay Betting Info

• Tampa Bay have registered a 7-5-0 record against the spread this year.
• The Buccaneers have been underdogs by 2.5 points or more eight times this year and are 5-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Tampa Bay games have gone over the total four times this year.
• The Buccaneers have won two of the eight games they've played as underdogs this season.
• Tampa Bay has entered eight games this season as the underdog by +114 or more and is 2-6 in those contests.
• The Buccaneers have a 46.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Buccaneers Stats

Tampa Bay's Key Players

Offense

• Baker Mayfield is averaging 6.8 passing yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 232.5 yards per game this year, completing 63.6% of his passes on the way to 2,790 total yards, 18 touchdowns and eight interceptions through 12 games.
• Mayfield has also rushed for 151 yards (second on the Buccaneers).
• Mike Evans has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 61 catches for 1,012 yards (eighth in the NFL) and 10 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL) through 12 games played. He has been on the receiving end of 103 targets and is averaging 5.1 receptions per game.
• Rachaad White is averaging 53.6 rushing yards per game this season (643 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• White's statistic output includes 46 receptions (3.8 per game) on 51 targets for 386 yards (32.2 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Chris Godwin has 606 receiving yards and one touchdown from 53 receptions after receiving 85 targets.

Defense

• Antoine Winfield Jr. has intercepted two passes to go with 89 tackles, 4.0 TFL, three sacks, and 11 passes defended in 2023.
• Lavonte David has 3.0 sacks (fifth on the Buccaneers) to go with 14.0 TFL and 90 tackles.
• Devin White has 2.0 sacks in addition to his 3.0 TFL, 69 tackles, and one interception.
• Shaquil Barrett's season stats include 42 tackles, 3.0 TFL, four sacks, and one interception in 12 games.

Falcons' defense comes up with four forced fumbles and a pick in narrow 13-8 victory over Jets

The Atlanta Falcons' defense came up big with four forced fumbles and one interception against the New York Jets in narrow 13-8 victory.

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