Falcons vs. Colts Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 24

Published Dec. 20, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Atlanta Falcons (6-8) are considered favorites (-1) according to the bookmakers ahead of their game against the Indianapolis Colts (8-6) on December 24, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. An over/under of 44.5 points has been established for the matchup.

Falcons vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Indianapolis (+1)
  
• Pick OU: Under (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Indianapolis 23 - Atlanta 20

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Indianapolis

• Game Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
• Location: Atlanta, Georgia
• TV: Watch on FOX

Falcons vs. Colts Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head contests, Indianapolis has beaten Atlanta four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Indianapolis has racked up 127 points versus Atlanta, while surrendering only 96 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

• Against the spread, Atlanta is 4-10-0 this year.
• The Falcons have covered the spread twice this season (2-8 ATS) when playing as at least 1-point favorites.
• Atlanta has combined with its opponent to gone over the point total in 35.7% of its contests this year (five times in 14 games with a set point total).
• The Falcons have won 40% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (4-6).
• Atlanta has gone 4-6 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -115 or shorter (40%).
• The implied probability in this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Falcons a 53.5% chance to win.

Falcons Stats

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

• Desmond Ridder has 2,528 passing yards in 13 games this year, averaging 194.5 per game with a 63.3% completion percentage and 10 touchdowns against 10 interceptions.
• To go along with his passing stats, Ridder also has 193 rushing yards (third on the Falcons), with five rushing touchdowns.
• Bijan Robinson's rushing statline this season includes 801 yards and four TDs. He is averaging 57.2 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (11th in the NFL).
• Robinson's 64 targets through the air have resulted in 41 catches (2.9 per game) for 323 yards (23.1 per game) and three touchdowns.
• Drake London has two touchdown catches this season, and has 58 receptions for 769 yards on 87 targets, while averaging 4.5 catches and 59.2 yards per game.
• In the ground game, Tyler Allgeier averages 3.5 yards per attempt (40th in the NFL) and 41.2 yards per game for 577 total rushing yards. He has recorded three rushing touchdowns this season.

Defense

• On the defensive side for the Falcons, Jessie Bates III has racked up 111 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and five interceptions in 2023.
• Kaden Elliss has 100 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and two sacks this season.
• Nathan Landman has put up 86 tackles, 6.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year. He's third on the Falcons in tackles.
• Richie Grant has one interception while also adding 81 tackles, 1.0 TFL, one sack, and six passes defended.

Indianapolis Betting Info

• Indianapolis is 9-5-0 against the spread this year.
• The Colts are 3-5 ATS when underdogs by 1 point or more this year.
• Indianapolis games have gone over the total 10 times this season.
• The Colts have been underdogs in eight games this season and won two (25%) of those contests.
• Indianapolis has a record of 2-5 in games where bookmakers have them as underdogs of at least -105 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Colts have a 51.2% chance to win.

Colts Stats

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

• Gardner Minshew is averaging 6.7 passing yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 210.7 yards per game this year, completing 63.3% of his passes on the way to 2,739 total yards, 14 touchdowns and eight interceptions through 13 games.
• Minshew has also rushed for three touchdowns and 57 yards (sixth on the Colts).
• Zack Moss averages 58.8 rushing yards per game through 13 games (764 total yards), while scoring five rushing touchdowns.
• Moss has added 27 receptions (2.1 per game) for 192 yards (14.8 per game) with two receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 37 times in the passing attack.
• Michael Pittman Jr. has totaled 1,062 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 99 receptions (third in the NFL), while being targeted 143 times on the season.
• Jonathan Taylor puts up 59.1 rushing yards per game over seven games (414 total yards), with four rushing touchdowns.
• Taylor also has 137 receiving yards (19.6 per game) on 16 catches (2.3 per game). He has been targeted 19 times with one touchdown reception.

Defense

• Zaire Franklin has 149 tackles, 3.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and four passes defended in 2023.
• DeForest Buckner has 68 tackles, 9.0 TFL, six sacks, and six passes defended.
• Julian Blackmon has 87 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and four interceptions in the 2023 season. He is second on the Colts in tackles.
• Kenny Moore II's season stats include 85 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 1.5 sacks, and three interceptions in 14 games. He is third on the Colts in tackles.

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