Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 17

Updated Dec. 13, 2023 1:16 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Having lost six straight, the Carolina Panthers (1-12) will play the Atlanta Falcons (6-7). The Falcons are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 35.

Falcons vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Panthers Betting Information updated as of December 12, 2023, 1:33 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Falcons	-3	-112	-108	35	-110	-110

Falcons vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Atlanta (-3)
Pick OU: Over (35)
Prediction: Atlanta 23 - Carolina 18

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Carolina

Game Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: Bank of America Stadium
Location: Charlotte, North Carolina
TV: Watch on FOX

Falcons vs. Panthers Recent Matchups

Atlanta owns a 4-1 record against Carolina in their last five matchups.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has racked up 145 points against Carolina, while surrendering only 92 points.

Atlanta Betting Info

Against the spread, Atlanta is 4-9-0 this year.
The Falcons have been favored by 3 points or more three times this season, and covered the spread in one of those matchups.
Atlanta has combined with its opponent to hit the over in 38.5% of its contests this year (five times in 13 games with a set point total).
When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Falcons are 4-5, earning a win 44.4% of the time.
Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -162 or shorter in just two games this season, and it split 1-1.
Looking at this matchup's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 61.8%.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	204.5 (2,659)	21
Rush yards	132.2 (1,718)	6
Points scored	19.3 (251)	24
Pass yards against	203 (2,639)	9
Rush yards against	110.9 (1,442)	15
Points allowed	20.7 (269)	12

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Desmond Ridder has 2,376 passing yards, nine touchdowns and nine interceptions this year. He has completed 63.5% of his passes, averaging 198 yards per game and 7.1 per attempt.
In addition to his passing statistics, Ridder has 195 rushing yards (third on the Falcons), with five rushing touchdowns.
Bijan Robinson averages 4.7 yards per carry (11th in the NFL) and 60.8 yards per game, and has 790 total rushing yards (ninth in the NFL). He has recorded four rushing TDs this season.
Robinson has 40 catches on 61 targets for 320 yards. He has three receiving TDs.
Through 12 games played, Drake London is averaging 62.1 yards and 4.7 receptions per game to total 745 receiving yards and 56 catches. He's been targeted 84 times, and has two receiving touchdowns.
Tyler Allgeier has rushed for 532 yards with three touchdowns (40.9 yards per game through 13 games).

Defense

On the defensive side, Jessie Bates III has 101 tackles, two TFL, and five interceptions in 2023.
Kaden Elliss has 95 tackles, six TFL, two sacks, and two passes defended.
Nathan Landman has totaled 78 tackles, five TFL, two sacks, and one interception this year.
Richie Grant has one interception while adding 80 tackles, one TFL, one sack, and six passes defended.

Carolina Betting Info

Carolina has covered the spread three times this season (3-9-1).
The Panthers have an ATS record of 3-8-1 in their 12 games when underdogs by 3 points or more this season.
Carolina's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this season.
This season, the Panthers have been the underdog 13 times and won one of those games.
This season, Carolina has won one of its 12 games, or 8.3%, when it is the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Panthers have a 42.4% chance to win.

Panthers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	165.7 (2,154)	31
Rush yards	104.3 (1,356)	21
Points scored	15.2 (197)	30
Pass yards against	175.4 (2,280)	3
Rush yards against	123 (1,599)	22
Points allowed	26.2 (341)	31

Carolina's Key Players

Offense

Through 12 games played this year, Bryce Young has totaled 2,192 passing yards, with nine touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 58.5% of his attempts.
He's added 201 yards on the ground (third on the Panthers), while scoring zero rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 16.8 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
Adam Thielen has 827 receiving yards and four touchdowns on 85 receptions (ninth in the NFL), while being targeted 113 times.
This season through 13 games, Chuba Hubbard has churned out 644 rushing yards (leading the Panthers) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 49.5 yards per game and 3.9 per attempt (29th in the NFL).
Hubbard's statistic output includes 30 receptions (2.3 per game) on 34 targets for 174 yards (13.4 per game), though he has not found the end zone through the air.
Miles Sanders has 399 rushing yards (second on the Panthers) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 33.3 yards per game and 3.5 per carry (40th in the NFL).
Sanders has also caught 22 passes for 126 yards (seventh on the Panthers). He's been targeted 35 times and averages 10.5 yards per game.

Defense

In 2023, Frankie Luvu has amassed 4.5 sacks to go with nine TFL and 94 tackles through 13 games.
Derrick Brown has 74 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and one interception. He is second on the Panthers in tackles.
Brian Burns has 34 tackles, 13 TFL, and six sacks in the 2023 season.
Donte Jackson's stat sheet includes 44 tackles, two TFL, and four passes defended in 12 games

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