Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2024 12:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons (1-2) are slim favorites (-2.5) versus the New Orleans Saints (2-1) in a battle of two division rivals. An over/under of 42 points has been set for the matchup.

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Falcons vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Saints Betting Information updated as of September 29, 2024, 12:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Falcons	-2.5	-120	100	42	-114	-107

Falcons vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+2.5)
Pick OU: Over (42)
Prediction: Saints 22 - Falcons 21

How to Watch Atlanta vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Falcons vs. Saints Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, New Orleans has collected four wins versus Atlanta.
Over their last five head-to-head matchups, New Orleans has scored 141 points, while Atlanta has posted 105.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta has one win against the spread in three games this season.
The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
Atlanta games this year have not gone over any of three set point totals.
The Falcons have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they lost.
Based on this contest's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	199.7 (599)	19
Rush yards	107.7 (323)	18
Points scored	16.3 (49)	27
Pass yards against	176.3 (529)	11
Rush yards against	150.3 (451)	28
Points allowed	20.3 (61)	13

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Kirk Cousins has passed for 626 yards, four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and three interceptions this year. He averages 208.7 yards per game and 7.5 per attempt, while completing 66.7% of his passes.
Bijan Robinson's rushing output this season includes 196 yards and one TD. He's averaging 65.3 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (28th in the NFL).
Robinson has 11 receptions on 12 targets for 89 yards. He has yet to score a touchdown in the passing game.
In three games played, Drake London is averaging 45.3 yards and 4.7 receptions per game on the way to 136 receiving yards and 14 catches. He's been targeted 19 times, and has two receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
Darnell Mooney has put up 169 receiving yards and one touchdown with 12 catches on 18 targets. He is averaging four receptions and 56.3 yards per game.

Defense

Over on defense, Jessie Bates III has one interception (ninth in the NFL) to go with 24 tackles, one TFL, and three passes defended in 2024.
Kaden Elliss has 27 tackles this season. He leads the Falcons in tackles.
This season, Troy Andersen has recorded 25 tackles.
Mike Hughes has three TFL and 18 tackles on the year.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has registered a win-loss record of 2-1-0 against the spread this year.
This season, the Saints won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
Games involving New Orleans have hit the over twice this year.
The Saints won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The implied probability of a win by the Saints based on the moneyline is 45.5%.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	190.3 (571)	21
Rush yards	153 (459)	6
Points scored	34.3 (103)	2
Pass yards against	236 (708)	25
Rush yards against	99.3 (298)	8
Points allowed	14.7 (44)	5

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

So far this year through three games, Alvin Kamara has racked up 285 rushing yards (leading the Saints and fourth in the NFL) and scored four rushing touchdowns. He averages 95 yards per game and 4.7 per carry (17th in the NFL).
Kamara has also played a role the receiving game with 132 yards (44 per game) on 10 receptions (3.3 per game), while being targeted 11 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
Derek Carr has 585 passing yards, six touchdowns (third in the NFL) and two interceptions. His completion percentage is 68.8% and he averages 195 yards per game and 9.1 per attempt.
He has also added 17 rushing yards (fourth on the Saints), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 5.7 yards per game and 3.4 per carry).
So far this season, Rashid Shaheed has caught seven passes for 169 receiving yards with two touchdowns through the air (10th in the NFL). He has been targeted 14 total times and is averaging 2.3 receptions per game through three games played.
Chris Olave has been targeted 14 times, resulting in 12 catches for 178 yards .

Defense

In 2024, Alontae Taylor has amassed 3.5 sacks to go with four TFL and 20 tackles over three games. He ranks seventh in the NFL in sacks.
Tyrann Mathieu has 14 tackles, one TFL, and two interceptions. He is fifth on the Saints in tackles.
Carl Granderson has 13 tackles, three TFL, and three sacks during the 2024 campaign.
Paulson Adebo has registered one TFL, 20 tackles, and one interception over three games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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