Falcons vs. Saints 2024 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 8:43 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In a battle of two division rivals, the Atlanta Falcons (1-2) will play the New Orleans Saints (2-1). The Falcons are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). The expected point total for the game is 41.

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Falcons vs. Saints Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Saints Betting Information updated as of September 27, 2024, 7:33 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Falcons	-3	-110	-110	41	-112	-108

Falcons vs. Saints Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Saints (+3)
Pick OU: Over (41)
Prediction: Saints 22 - Falcons 21

How to Watch Atlanta vs. New Orleans

Game Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Location: Atlanta, Georgia
TV: Watch on FOX
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Falcons vs. Saints Recent Matchups

In their past five head-to-head meetings, New Orleans has won against Atlanta four times.
Atlanta has been outpaced by 36 points in its last five tilts against New Orleans.

Atlanta Betting Info

Atlanta has covered the spread on one occasion this season.
The Falcons have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
Atlanta games this year have not eclipsed the over/under yet in three opportunities.
The Falcons have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they lost.
The Falcons have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 60.8%.

Falcons Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	199.7 (599)	19
Rush yards	107.7 (323)	18
Points scored	16.3 (49)	27
Pass yards against	176.3 (529)	11
Rush yards against	150.3 (451)	28
Points allowed	20.3 (61)	13

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

Kirk Cousins has 626 passing yards through three games this year, averaging 208.7 per game with a 66.7% completion percentage and four touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against three interceptions.
Bijan Robinson's rushing output this season includes 196 yards and one TD. He is averaging 65.3 yards per game and 4.1 per attempt (28th in the NFL).
Robinson's 12 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 11 catches (3.7 per game) for 89 yards (29.7 per game) and zero touchdowns.
Through three games played, Drake London is averaging 45.3 yards and 4.7 receptions per game on the way to 136 receiving yards and 14 catches. He's been targeted 19 times, and has two receiving touchdowns (10th in the NFL).
Darnell Mooney has 12 catches for 169 yards and one touchdown. He's been targeted 18 times in the passing game, and averages 4.0 receptions and 56.3 yards in three games played.

Defense

On the defensive side, Jessie Bates III has 24 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception in 2024.
Kaden Elliss has 27 tackles.
Troy Andersen has totaled 25 tackles this year. He's second on the Falcons in tackles.
Mike Hughes has 18 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and two passes defended.

New Orleans Betting Info

New Orleans has covered the spread two times over three games with a set number.
This season, the Saints won ATS in their only game as an underdog of 3 points or more.
Games involving New Orleans have hit the over twice this year.
The Saints won the only game they've played as the underdog this season.
The Saints have a 43.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Saints Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	190.3 (571)	21
Rush yards	153.0 (459)	6
Points scored	34.3 (103)	2
Pass yards against	236.0 (708)	25
Rush yards against	99.3 (298)	8
Points allowed	14.7 (44)	5

New Orleans' Key Players

Offense

Alvin Kamara has rushed for four touchdowns this year, and has 285 total rushing yards (95.0 per game and 4.7 per carry).
Kamara's contributions include 10 receptions (3.3 per game) on 11 targets for 132 yards (44.0 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
In three games, Derek Carr has 585 passing yards, while throwing six touchdowns (third in the NFL) against two interceptions and completing 68.8% of his attempts.
Carr also has one rushing touchdown and 17 rushing yards (fourth on the Saints).
This season, Rashid Shaheed has caught seven passes for 169 receiving yards with two touchdowns in the passing game (10th in the NFL). He has been targeted 14 total times and is averaging 2.3 receptions per game in three games played.
Chris Olave has 12 catches for 178 yards and one receiving touchdown. He averages 4.0 yards per game in three games and has been targeted 14 times.

Defense

So far in 2024, Alontae Taylor has recorded 3.5 sacks to go with 4.0 TFL and 20 tackles over three games. He ranks seventh in the NFL in sacks.
Tyrann Mathieu has 1.0 TFL, 14 tackles, and two interceptions through three games.
Carl Granderson has 13 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and three sacks during the 2024 season.
Paulson Adebo's season stats include 20 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and one interception through three games. He leads the Saints in tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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