Falcons vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Falcons vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 8

Published Oct. 4, 2023 1:11 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Atlanta Falcons (2-2) are considered favorites (-2) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Houston Texans (2-2) on October 8, 2023, starting at 1:00 PM ET, airing on FOX. An over/under of 41 points has been established for the matchup.

Falcons vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Falcons vs Texans Betting Information updated as of October 3, 2023, 7:33 PM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Falcons -2 -110 -110 41 -112 -108

Falcons vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Houston (+2)
  • Pick OU: Under (41)
  • Prediction: Atlanta 20 - Houston 19

How to Watch Atlanta vs. Houston

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • TV: Watch on FOX

Falcons vs. Texans Recent Matchups

  • Over their last five meetings, Houston has tallied three wins versus Atlanta.
  • Over their last five head-to-head contests, Atlanta has put up 129 points, while Houston has posted 124.

Atlanta Betting Info

  • Atlanta has covered the spread one time this year.
  • The Falcons have been favored by 2 points or more two times this season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • Atlanta's games this year have gone over the point total one time in four opportunities (25%).
  • The Falcons have been moneyline favorites two other times this season, and they won both.
  • Atlanta has played as a moneyline favorite of -130 or shorter in only two games this season, and it won both.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Falcons' implied win probability is 56.5%.

Falcons Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 156.3 (625) 32
Rush yards 128.0 (512) 11
Points scored 15.5 (62) 25
Pass yards against 176.3 (705) 5
Rush yards against 114.5 (458) 17
Points allowed 19.3 (77) 10

Atlanta's Key Players

Offense

  • Bijan Robinson has recorded 318 rushing yards (third in the NFL) without a rushing TD (79.5 yards per game over four games). His 6.0 yards per attempt rank fifth in the league.
  • Robinson has 22 targets, 19 catches, 134 receiving yards and one TD through the air.
  • Desmond Ridder has passed for 744 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He is averaging 186.0 yards per game and 6.3 per attempt, while completing 62.2%.
  • He has added 47 rushing yards (11.8 per game) and one touchdown on the ground.
  • In four games, Tyler Allgeier has amassed 151 yards on the ground, averaging 37.8 yards per game and scoring two touchdowns.
  • Drake London has 126 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 11 catches on 22 targets. He's averaging 2.8 receptions and 31.5 yards per game.

Defense

  • On the defensive side, Jessie Bates III has three interceptions (first in the NFL) to go with 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and three passes defended in 2023.
  • Kaden Elliss has 29 tackles, 2.0 TFL, and one sack.
  • Richie Grant has totaled 28 tackles this year.
  • So far this season, David Onyemata has 16 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and 1.5 sacks.

Houston Betting Info

  • Houston has gone 2-2-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Texans have covered the spread twice this season when underdogs by 2 points or more (in three chances).
  • Games involving Houston have hit the over twice this year.
  • The Texans have entered the game as underdogs three times this season and won twice.
  • Houston has a record of 2-1 when it is set as an underdog of +110 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 47.6% chance of a victory for the Texans.

Texans Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 281.3 (1,125) 4
Rush yards 87.3 (349) 26
Points scored 24.0 (96) 15
Pass yards against 195.3 (781) 9
Rush yards against 116.5 (466) 19
Points allowed 19.8 (79) 11

Houston's Key Players

Offense

  • C.J. Stroud has passed for 1,212 yards this year (to rank fourth in the NFL), with six touchdowns (10th in the NFL) and zero interceptions. He is completing 62.3% of his attempts while averaging 303.0 yards per game and 8.0 per attempt.
  • On the ground, Stroud has added 51 rushing yards (third on the Texans).
  • Nico Collins has 428 receiving yards (fifth in the NFL) and three touchdowns (third in the NFL) on 22 receptions, while being targeted 32 times.
  • In four games played this season, Nathaniel Dell has 16 catches (4.0 receptions per game on six targets per game) for 267 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
  • Dameon Pierce has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 181 total yards (2.8 per attempt and 45.3 per game).
  • Pierce has also caught eight passes for 68 yards (fifth on the Texans). He's been targeted 11 times and averages 17.0 yards per game.

Defense

  • In 2023, Jonathan Greenard has 3.0 sacks to go with 5.0 TFL and 16 tackles over four games.
  • Henry To'o To'o has 27 tackles and 1.0 TFL. He leads the Texans in tackles.
  • Will Anderson Jr. has 1.0 sack (second on the Texans) as well as 1.0 TFL and 15 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
  • Steven Nelson's stat sheet includes two interceptions (fourth in the NFL) as well as 12 tackles and four passes defended in four games
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