Jaguars vs. Colts Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 10

Published Sep. 8, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0) are the favorites -- expected to win by at least a field goal, but less than a touchdown (currently -4.5) -- versus the Indianapolis Colts (0-0) in a matchup of two division rivals. The matchup has an over/under of 46.5 points.

Jaguars vs. Colts Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Colts Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-4.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (46.5)
  
• Prediction: Jacksonville 27 - Colts 17

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Indianapolis

• Game Date: Sunday, September 10, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium
• Location: Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: Watch on FOX

Jaguars vs. Colts Recent Matchups

• Jacksonville has a 3-2 record against Indianapolis in their last five matchups.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Jacksonville has scored 108 points versus Indianapolis, while allowing only 87 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

• Jacksonville won eight games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
• The Jaguars didn't have a win ATS (0-2) as a 4.5-point favorite or more last season.
• Last season, eight Jacksonville games went over the point total.
• The Jaguars won 40% of the games last season when they were the moneyline favorite (2-3).
• Jacksonville played as a moneyline favorite of -225 or shorter in just two games last season, and it split them 1-1.
• The Jaguars have an implied moneyline win probability of 69.2% in this contest.

Jaguars Stats (2022)

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

• Trevor Lawrence averaged 7.0 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 241.9 yards per game last year, completing 66.3% of his passes on the way to 4,113 total yards (ninth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions in 17 games.
• He added 291 yards on the ground, with five rushing touchdowns. He averaged 17.1 yards per game and 4.7 per attempt.
• Travis Etienne had 1,125 rushing yards (ninth in the NFL) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 66.2 yards per game and 5.1 per attempt (eighth in the NFL).
• Etienne also had 35 catches for 316 yards. He was targeted 45 times and averaged 18.6 yards per game.
• Last year, Christian Kirk caught 84 passes for 1,108 receiving yards with eight touchdowns in the passing game. He was targeted 133 total times and averaged 4.9 receptions per game over 17 games played.
• Zay Jones had 82 catches for 823 yards and five receiving touchdowns. He averaged 5.1 yards per game over 16 games and was targeted 121 times.

Defense

• In 2022, Foyesade Oluokun had 2.0 sacks to go with 12.0 TFL and 184 tackles in 17 games.
• Rayshawn Jenkins had three interceptions on top of 112 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and 12 passes defended.
• In the 2022 season, Josh Allen had 57 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and seven sacks over 17 games.
• Devin Lloyd's stats included three interceptions as well as 115 tackles and eight passes defended in 17 games

Indianapolis Betting Info

• Indianapolis put together a 6-11-0 record against the spread last season.
• As 4.5-point underdogs or greater, the Colts had two wins ATS (2-3) last year.
• Indianapolis games went over the point total seven out of 17 times last season.
• The Colts were underdogs 10 times last season and won three of those games.
• Last season, Indianapolis was at least a +185 underdog on the moneyline four times, losing each of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 35.1% chance of a victory for the Colts.

Colts Stats (2022)

Indianapolis' Key Players

Offense

• Last year, Michael Pittman Jr. had 99 catches (10th in NFL) for 925 yards with four receiving TDs. He was targeted 141 times and averaged 6.2 receptions in 16 games.
• Isaiah McKenzie had 42 catches for 423 yards and four TDs. He was targeted 65 times and averaged 2.8 receptions in 15 games for the Bills.
• Last year, Alec Pierce caught 41 passes for 593 yards and two TDs . He was targeted 78 times, and averaged 2.6 receptions in 16 games.
• Deon Jackson scored one TD on the ground, while running for 236 total yards (3.5 per attempt and 19.7 per game).
• Jackson also had 209 receiving yards (17.4 per game) on 30 catches (2.5 per game). He was targeted 34 times and caught one TD pass.

Defense

• Zaire Franklin had 166 tackles, 12.0 TFL, three sacks, and six passes defended in 2022.
• DeForest Buckner had 8.0 sacks plus 11.0 TFL and 74 tackles.
• Grover Stewart recorded 4.0 sacks and 9.0 TFL and 70 tackles during the 2022 campaign.
• Kwity Paye put up 6.0 sacks plus 10.0 TFL and 45 tackles over 11 games.

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