Jaguars vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 1
Published
Sep. 27, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-2) are considered favorites (-3) according to the oddsmakers ahead of their game versus the Atlanta Falcons (2-1) on October 1, 2023, starting at 9:30 AM ET, airing on ESPN+. The game has an over/under of 43 points.
Jaguars vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Lines
Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jaguars | -3 | -115 | -105 | 43 | -110 | -110 |
Jaguars vs. Falcons Prediction & Pick
ADVERTISEMENT
- Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-3)
- Pick OU: Under (43)
- Prediction: Jacksonville 22 - Atlanta 18
How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Atlanta
- Game Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023
- Time: 9:30 AM ET
- Venue: Wembley Stadium
- Location: London, United Kingdom
- TV: Watch on ESPN+
Jaguars vs. Falcons Recent Matchups
- Atlanta has a 4-1 record against Jacksonville in their last five matchups.
- In their last five head-to-head matchups, Atlanta has compiled 116 points against Jacksonville, while surrendering only 70 points.
Jacksonville Betting Info
- Jacksonville covered eight times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
- The Jaguars had one win ATS (1-3) as a 3-point favorite or more last year.
- Last season, eight Jacksonville games went over the point total.
- The Jaguars won two of the five games they were favored on the moneyline last season (40%).
- Jacksonville had a record of 2-1 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -162 or shorter (66.7%).
- Based on this game's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 61.8%.
Jaguars Stats (2022)
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 232.9 (3,959) | 10 |
Rush yards | 124.5 (2,116) | 14 |
Points scored | 23.8 (404) | 10 |
Pass yards against | 238.5 (4,055) | 28 |
Rush yards against | 114.8 (1,951) | 12 |
Points allowed | 20.6 (350) | 12 |
Jacksonville's Key Players
Offense
- Trevor Lawrence averaged 7.0 passing yards per attempt (18th in the NFL) and 241.9 yards per game last year, completing 66.3% of his passes on the way to 4,113 total yards (ninth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions in 17 games.
- On the ground, Lawrence added five rushing touchdowns and 291 rushing yards.
- Travis Etienne scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,125 rushing yards (5.1 per carry and 66.2 per game).
- Etienne also picked up 316 receiving yards (18.6 per game) on 35 catches (2.1 per game). He was targeted 45 times and is still looking for his first receiving touchdown.
- Christian Kirk put up 1,108 receiving yards and eight touchdowns on 84 receptions while being targeted 133 times last year.
- Zay Jones had 823 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 82 receptions on 121 targets.
Defense
- Foyesade Oluokun's 2022 showing included 184 tackles, 12.0 TFL, and two sacks over 17 games.
- Rayshawn Jenkins' stat sheet included three interceptions as well as 112 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and 12 passes defended.
- Josh Allen recorded 7.0 sacks as well as 11.0 TFL and 57 tackles in the 2022 season.
- Devin Lloyd put up 115 tackles and three interceptions over 17 games.
Atlanta Betting Info
- Atlanta covered nine times in 17 games with a spread last year.
- The Falcons had an ATS record of 5-3 as underdogs of 3 points or greater last year.
- Last season, seven Atlanta games hit the over.
- Last season, the Falcons won three out of the 12 games, or 25%, in which they were the underdog.
- Last season, Atlanta won one of its eight games when it was the underdog by at least +136 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Falcons have a 42.4% chance to win.
Falcons Stats (2022)
Stat | Average (Total) | Rank |
---|---|---|
Pass yards | 158.8 (2,699) | 31 |
Rush yards | 159.9 (2,718) | 3 |
Points scored | 21.5 (365) | 15 |
Pass yards against | 231.9 (3,942) | 25 |
Rush yards against | 130.2 (2,214) | 23 |
Points allowed | 22.7 (386) | 23 |
Atlanta's Key Players
Offense
- Tyler Allgeier averaged 64.7 yards rushing last season (1,035 total yards) while scoring three rushing TDs.
- Allgeier's offensive contributions included 16 catches (1.0 per game) on 17 targets for 139 yards (8.7 per game). He had one receiving TD.
- Cordarrelle Patterson averaged 53.5 rushing yards in 13 games (695 total yards), and scored eight rushing TDs.
- For the Commanders last season, Taylor Heinicke passed for 1,859 yards, 12 TDs and had six INTs. He completed 62.2% of his attempts, averaging 206.6 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt.
- Heinicke also ran for one TD and 96 yards.
- Drake London was targeted 117 times, resulting in 72 receptions for 866 yards .
Defense
- Richie Grant recorded 3.0 TFL, 122 tackles, and two interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
- With the Saints last year, Kaden Elliss had 7.0 sacks plus 7.0 TFL and 74 tackles.
- Grady Jarrett had 61 tackles, 12.0 TFL, six sacks, and three passes defended in 2022.
- Jaylinn Hawkins picked off two passes to go with 82 tackles and six passes defended.
share
recommended
recommended