Jaguars vs. Panthers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 31

Published Dec. 27, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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Having lost four straight, the Jacksonville Jaguars (8-7) will face the Carolina Panthers (2-13). Despite that, the Jaguars are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -7). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 38.

Jaguars vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Panthers Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-7)
  
• Pick OU: Over (38)
  
• Prediction: Jacksonville 29 - Carolina 14

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Carolina

• Game Date: Sunday, December 31, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: TIAA Bank Field
• Location: Jacksonville, Florida
• TV: Watch on CBS

Jaguars vs. Panthers Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head contests, Carolina has beaten Jacksonville four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Jacksonville has scored 106 points versus Carolina, while giving up only 100 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

• In 15 Jacksonville games this year, it has eight wins against the spread.
• The Jaguars have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 7-point favorites.
• Jacksonville contests this year have eclipsed the over/under 46.7% of the time (seven times in 15 games with a set point total).
• When playing as moneyline favorites, the Jaguars have won 66.7% of the time (6-3).
• Jacksonville has gone 1-2 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -298 or shorter (33.3%).
• Based on this game's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 74.9%.

Jaguars Stats

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

• Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 3,736 yards (seventh in the NFL), 19 touchdowns and 12 interceptions this year. He averages 249.1 yards per game and 7.2 per attempt, while completing 65.5% of his passes.
• He has also rushed for 329 yards (second on the Jaguars) and added four touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 21.9 rushing yards per game.
• Travis Etienne has recorded 849 rushing yards with nine touchdowns (56.6 yards per game across 15 games). His 3.6 yards per attempt rank 39th in the NFL.
• Etienne has 51 catches on 65 targets for 430 yards. He has one receiving TD.
• In the passing attack, Calvin Ridley, has racked up 871 receiving yards and seven touchdowns after catching 66 balls on 118 targets. Per game, he's averaging 58.1 yards and 4.4 receptions through 15 games.
• Evan Engram has racked up 824 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 98 catches (seventh in the NFL) on 124 targets. He is averaging 6.5 receptions and 54.9 yards per game.

Defense

• On the defensive side for the Jaguars, Foyesade Oluokun has put up 160 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
• Josh Allen has 55 tackles, 13.0 TFL, 13.5 sacks, and one interception this season. He's fifth on the Jaguars in tackles.
• This season, Devin Lloyd has put up 2.0 TFL and 115 tackles.
• Rayshawn Jenkins has 1.0 sack as well as 5.0 TFL, 90 tackles, and two interceptions on the season.

Carolina Betting Info

• Carolina has gone 5-9-1 against the spread this year.
• This season, the Panthers are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 7 points or more (in three chances).
• This season, five Carolina games have gone over the point total.
• This season, the Panthers have won two out of the 15 games, or 13.3%, in which they've been the underdog.
• Carolina has not won as an underdog of +240 or more on the moneyline this season in three such games.
• The implied probability of a win by the Panthers based on the moneyline is 29.4%.

Panthers Stats

Carolina's Key Players

Offense

• In 14 games played this year, Bryce Young has racked up 2,671 passing yards, with 11 touchdowns against nine interceptions and completing 59.9% of his attempts.
• On the ground, Young has added 227 rushing yards (third on the Panthers).
• Chuba Hubbard has 774 rushing yards (leading the Panthers) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 51.6 yards per game and 3.8 per carry (35th in the NFL).
• Hubbard also has 33 catches for 198 yards (fourth on the Panthers). He has been targeted 37 times and averages 13.2 yards per game.
• In 15 games played this season, Adam Thielen has 95 catches (6.3 receptions per game on 8.5 targets per game) for 964 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
• Darrell Demont Chark Jr. has 461 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 32 receptions after receiving 56 targets.

Defense

• In 2023, Frankie Luvu has amassed 114 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks through 15 games.
• Derrick Brown has 1.0 sack (fourth on the Panthers) to go with 6.0 TFL, 88 tackles, and one interception.
• Brian Burns has 40 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and six sacks in the 2023 campaign.
• Xavier Woods has 3.0 TFL, 54 tackles, and two interceptions.

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