Jaguars vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 29

Jaguars vs. Steelers Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct 29

Published Oct. 25, 2023 1:07 p.m. ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars (5-2) are slight favorites (-2.5) over the Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2). The Jaguars have won four games in a row. The total for this one is set at 42 points.

Jaguars vs. Steelers Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs Steelers Betting Information updated as of October 25, 2023, 2:33 AM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Jaguars -2.5 -115 -105 42 -110 -110

Jaguars vs. Steelers Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Pittsburgh (+2.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (42)
  • Prediction: Jacksonville 22 - Pittsburgh 21

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Pittsburgh

  • Game Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
  • TV: Watch on CBS

Jaguars vs. Steelers Recent Matchups

  • Pittsburgh owns a 3-2 record against Jacksonville in their last five matchups.
  • Over their last five head-to-head matchups, Jacksonville has racked up 113 points, while Pittsburgh has accumulated 105.

Jacksonville Betting Info

  • Jacksonville has five wins in seven games versus the spread this season.
  • The Jaguars have been favored by 2.5 points or more four times this season, and covered the spread in three of those matchups.
  • Jacksonville has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 57.1% of its contests this year (four times in seven games with a set point total).
  • When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Jaguars are 3-1, picking up a win 75% of the time.
  • Jacksonville has a 3-1 record (winning 75% of its games) when it has played as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter.
  • Based on this contest's moneyline, the Jaguars' implied win probability is 58.7%.

Jaguars Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 222.9 (1,560) 14
Rush yards 113.4 (794) 13
Points scored 24.7 (173) 8
Pass yards against 273.9 (1,917) 31
Rush yards against 80.6 (564) 4
Points allowed 20.9 (146) 16

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

  • Travis Etienne has totaled 504 rushing yards (fourth in the NFL) with seven touchdowns (72.0 yards per game through seven games). His 4.0 yards per attempt rank 23rd in the league.
  • Etienne has 29 targets, 24 receptions, 196 receiving yards and zero TDs in the passing game.
  • Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,643 yards, eight touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He is averaging 234.7 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt, while completing 67.4%.
  • He has tacked on 206 rushing yards (29.4 per game) without a touchdown on the ground.
  • Through seven games played, Christian Kirk is averaging 67.7 yards and 5.6 receptions per game to total 474 receiving yards and 39 catches. He's been targeted 55 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
  • Calvin Ridley has put up 368 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 27 catches on 48 targets. He's averaging 3.9 receptions and 52.6 yards per game.

Defense

  • On defense, Foyesade Oluokun has 81 tackles, 4.0 TFL, and one interception in 2023. His tackle total leads the Jaguars and is second in the NFL.
  • Josh Allen has 7.0 sacks (fourth in the NFL) as well as 6.0 TFL and 23 tackles.
  • Darious Williams has recorded three interceptions (second in the NFL) and also has 28 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 11 passes defended.
  • Rayshawn Jenkins has 3.0 TFL, 44 tackles, and one interception on the year.

Pittsburgh Betting Info

  • Pittsburgh has covered the spread in a game four times this season (4-2-0).
  • This year, the Steelers have won against the spread in each of their three games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
  • Pittsburgh games have gone over the total once this year.
  • The Steelers have won four of the five games they've played as underdogs this season.
  • Pittsburgh has entered three games this season as the underdog by +120 or more and won each of those games.
  • The Steelers have a 45.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Steelers Stats

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 192.2 (1,153) 25
Rush yards 81.3 (488) 28
Points scored 17.2 (103) 28
Pass yards against 241.2 (1,447) 25
Rush yards against 142.3 (854) 28
Points allowed 21.2 (127) 17

Pittsburgh's Key Players

Offense

  • Kenny Pickett is averaging 6.8 passing yards per attempt (21st in the NFL) and 209.5 yards per game this year, completing 60.9% of his passes on the way to 1,257 total yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions through six games.
  • Pickett has also rushed for one touchdown and 12 yards (fourth on the Steelers).
  • George Pickens has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 27 catches for 500 yards and two receiving touchdowns in six games played. He has been on the receiving end of 48 targets and is averaging 4.5 receptions per game.
  • Najee Harris has rushed for one touchdown this year, and has totaled 300 rushing yards (50.0 per game and 3.9 per carry).
  • Jaylen Warren averages 26.0 rushing yards per game over six games (156 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
  • Warren has also caught 22 passes for 165 yards (second on the Steelers). He's been targeted 27 times and averages 27.5 yards per game.

Defense

  • T.J. Watt has 8.0 sacks (first on the Steelers and second in the NFL) to go with 7.0 TFL, 16 tackles, and one interception over six games in 2023.
  • Cole Holcomb has registered 4.0 TFL and 42 tackles over six games.
  • Minkah Fitzpatrick has 52 tackles.
  • Kwon Alexander's season stats include 36 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and one sack through six games. He is third on the Steelers in tackles.
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