Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Nov 26

Published Nov. 22, 2023 1:03 p.m. ET

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) are slight favorites (-1.5) over the Houston Texans (6-4), despite the Texans having taken three games straight. The total for this one is set at 48.5 points.

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Houston (+1.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (48.5)
  
• Prediction: Houston 23 - Jacksonville 21

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Houston

• Game Date: Sunday, November 26, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Location: Houston, Texas
• TV: Watch on CBS

Jaguars vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, Houston has tallied four wins against Jacksonville.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has racked up 92 points versus Jacksonville, while surrendering only 69 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

• Jacksonville is 7-3-0 against the spread this season.
• The Jaguars have an ATS record of 5-1 when playing as at least 1.5-point favorites this season.
• Jacksonville has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 50% of its contests this year (five times in 10 games with a set point total).
• The Jaguars have won 83.3% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (5-1).
• When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -122 or shorter, Jacksonville has a 5-1 record (winning 83.3% of its games).
• The Jaguars have a 55.0% chance to win this matchup, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jaguars Stats

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

• Trevor Lawrence has 2,382 passing yards through 10 games this year, averaging 238.2 per game with a 68.1% completion percentage and 11 touchdowns against six interceptions.
• To go along with his passing statistics, Lawrence has 240 rushing yards (second on the Jaguars), with two rushing touchdowns.
• Travis Etienne averages 3.9 yards per carry (27th in the NFL) and 67.0 yards per game, and has 670 total rushing yards (fifth in the NFL). He has scored seven rushing TDs this season.
• Etienne's 42 targets as part of the passing attack have turned into 32 catches (3.2 per game) for 282 yards (28.2 per game) and one touchdown.
• Calvin Ridley has four touchdown catches this season, and has 42 catches for 574 yards on 70 targets, while averaging 4.2 catches and 57.4 yards per game.
• Christian Kirk has racked up 672 receiving yards and three touchdowns with 52 catches on 77 targets. He's averaging 5.2 receptions and 67.2 yards per game.

Defense

• On defense for the Jaguars, Foyesade Oluokun has racked up 107 tackles, 7.0 TFL, 2.5 sacks, and one interception in 2023.
• Josh Allen has 34 tackles, 8.0 TFL, and 9.5 sacks this season.
• Devin Lloyd has totaled 69 tackles and six passes defended.
• Darious Williams has three interceptions (sixth in the NFL) while adding 32 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 16 passes defended.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston has put together a record of 5-5-0 against the spread this season.
• So far this year, the Texans have been installed as underdogs by a 1.5-point margin or more six times and are 5-1 ATS in those matchups.
• Houston's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under four times this year.
• The Texans have entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won four of those games.
• Houston has entered six games this season as the underdog by +102 or more and is 4-2 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win by the Texans based on the moneyline is 49.5%.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• In 10 games played this year, C.J. Stroud has racked up 2,962 passing yards (second-best in the NFL), while throwing 17 touchdowns (10th in the NFL) against five interceptions and completing 62.8% of his passes.
• He's added 85 yards on the ground (third on the Texans), with two rushing touchdowns. He's averaging 8.5 yards per game and 3.7 per attempt.
• Tank Dell has put together a 2023 campaign that includes 42 catches for 659 yards and six receiving touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) in nine games played. He has been on the receiving end of 67 targets and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game.
• In nine games played this season, Nico Collins has 43 catches (4.8 receptions per game on 7.1 targets per game) for 696 yards and four receiving touchdowns.
• Dalton Schultz has 453 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 39 receptions after receiving 59 targets.

Defense

• Blake Cashman's 2023 effort includes 70 tackles, 9.0 TFL, two sacks, and one interception through eight games. He leads the Texans in tackles.
• Jonathan Greenard's stat sheet includes 34 tackles, 11.0 TFL, seven sacks, and one pass defended.
• Will Anderson Jr. has 33 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and three sacks in the 2023 campaign.
• Jalen Pitre has 3.0 TFL and 40 tackles over seven games.

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