Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) and Houston Texans (0-2) will play each other in a battle of two division rivals. The Jaguars are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). The predicted point total for the game is 43.5.

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs Texans Betting Information updated as of September 20, 2023, 6:33 AM ET.
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds
Jaguars -9.5 -110 -110 43.5 -110 -110

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

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  • Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-9.5)
  • Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  • Prediction: Jacksonville 31 - Houston 10

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Houston

  • Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TIAA Bank Field
  • Location: Jacksonville, Florida
  • TV: Watch on FOX

Jaguars vs. Texans Recent Matchups

  • In their last five head-to-head meetings, Houston has beaten Jacksonville four times.
  • In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has scored 75 points versus Jacksonville, while surrendering only 55 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

  • Jacksonville won eight games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
  • Jacksonville and its opponent combined to hit the over in eight of 17 contests last season.
  • The Jaguars were favored on the moneyline five total times last season. They finished 2-3 in those games.
  • Jacksonville never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -410 or shorter.
  • The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Jaguars an 80.4% chance to win.

Jaguars Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 232.9 (3,959) 10
Rush yards 124.5 (2,116) 14
Points scored 23.8 (404) 10
Pass yards against 238.5 (4,055) 28
Rush yards against 114.8 (1,951) 12
Points allowed 20.6 (350) 12

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

  • Trevor Lawrence threw for 4,113 yards last year (to rank ninth in the NFL), with 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He completed 66.3% of his attempts while averaging 241.9 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
  • Lawrence also rushed for five touchdowns and 291 yards.
  • Travis Etienne scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,125 rushing yards (5.1 per attempt and 66.2 per game).
  • Etienne also collected 316 receiving yards (18.6 per game) on 35 catches (2.1 per game). He was targeted 45 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
  • In 17 games played last season, Christian Kirk had 84 catches (4.9 receptions per game on 7.8 targets per game) for 1,108 yards and eight receiving touchdowns.
  • Zay Jones had 823 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 82 receptions on 121 targets.

Defense

  • In 2022, Foyesade Oluokun amassed 2.0 sacks to go with 12.0 TFL and 184 tackles in 17 games.
  • Rayshawn Jenkins had 112 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions.
  • Josh Allen recorded 7.0 sacks as well as 11.0 TFL and 57 tackles in the 2022 campaign.
  • Devin Lloyd intercepted three passes and also had 115 tackles and eight passes defended.

Houston Betting Info

  • Houston compiled an 8-8-1 ATS record last season.
  • The Texans' ATS record as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater was 4-1 last season.
  • A total of seven of Houston games last year went over the point total.
  • The Texans won three, or 17.6%, of the 17 games they played as underdogs last season.
  • Last season, Houston was at least a +320 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 23.8% chance to win.

Texans Stats (2022)

Stat Average (Total) Rank
Pass yards 196.7 (3,344) 25
Rush yards 86.8 (1,476) 31
Points scored 17.0 (289) 30
Pass yards against 209.3 (3,558) 10
Rush yards against 170.2 (2,894) 32
Points allowed 24.7 (420) 27

Houston's Key Players

Offense

  • Davis Mills averaged 6.5 passing yards per attempt (28th in NFL) and 207.9 yards per game last year, completing 61.0% of his passes on the way to 3,118 total yards, 17 TDs and 15 INTs in 15 games.
  • On the ground, Mills added two TDs and 108 yards.
  • Devin Singletary scored five rushing TDs, accumulating 819 rushing yards (4.6 per attempt and 51.2 per game).
  • Singletary also had 38 catches for 280 yards and one receiving TD. He was targeted 52 times and averaged 17.5 yards per game.
  • Dameon Pierce rushed for four TDs last season and totaled 939 rushing yards (72.2 per game and 4.3 per attempt).
  • Pierce's stat sheet also included 30 receptions (2.3 per game) on 39 targets for 165 yards (12.7 per game) and one receiving TD.
  • Dalton Schultz picked up 577 yards and five TDs from 57 receptions and 89 targets for the Cowboys.

Defense

  • Jalen Pitre put up 1.0 sack to go along with 5.0 TFL, 147 tackles, and five interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
  • Denzel Perryman put up two interceptions on top of 83 tackles, 14.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Raiders.
  • In the 2022 season, Christian Harris had 74 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 12 games.
  • Jerry Hughes totaled 9.0 sacks plus 10.0 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception in 16 games.
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