Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 24

Published Sep. 20, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

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The Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) and Houston Texans (0-2) will play each other in a battle of two division rivals. The Jaguars are solid favorites, expected to win by at least a touchdown (currently -9.5). The predicted point total for the game is 43.5.

Jaguars vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Jaguars vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Jacksonville (-9.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Jacksonville 31 - Houston 10

How to Watch Jacksonville vs. Houston

• Game Date: Sunday, September 24, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: TIAA Bank Field
• Location: Jacksonville, Florida
• TV: Watch on FOX

Jaguars vs. Texans Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head meetings, Houston has beaten Jacksonville four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has scored 75 points versus Jacksonville, while surrendering only 55 points.

Jacksonville Betting Info

• Jacksonville won eight games against the spread last season, failing to cover nine times.
• Jacksonville and its opponent combined to hit the over in eight of 17 contests last season.
• The Jaguars were favored on the moneyline five total times last season. They finished 2-3 in those games.
• Jacksonville never played a game last season with moneyline odds of -410 or shorter.
• The implied moneyline probability in this matchup gives the Jaguars an 80.4% chance to win.

Jaguars Stats (2022)

Jacksonville's Key Players

Offense

• Trevor Lawrence threw for 4,113 yards last year (to rank ninth in the NFL), with 25 touchdowns (eighth in the NFL) and eight interceptions. He completed 66.3% of his attempts while averaging 241.9 yards per game and 7.0 per attempt.
• Lawrence also rushed for five touchdowns and 291 yards.
• Travis Etienne scored five rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,125 rushing yards (5.1 per attempt and 66.2 per game).
• Etienne also collected 316 receiving yards (18.6 per game) on 35 catches (2.1 per game). He was targeted 45 times and is still trying for his first receiving touchdown.
• In 17 games played last season, Christian Kirk had 84 catches (4.9 receptions per game on 7.8 targets per game) for 1,108 yards and eight receiving touchdowns.
• Zay Jones had 823 receiving yards and five touchdowns from 82 receptions on 121 targets.

Defense

• In 2022, Foyesade Oluokun amassed 2.0 sacks to go with 12.0 TFL and 184 tackles in 17 games.
• Rayshawn Jenkins had 112 tackles, 3.0 TFL, one sack, and three interceptions.
• Josh Allen recorded 7.0 sacks as well as 11.0 TFL and 57 tackles in the 2022 campaign.
• Devin Lloyd intercepted three passes and also had 115 tackles and eight passes defended.

Houston Betting Info

• Houston compiled an 8-8-1 ATS record last season.
• The Texans' ATS record as underdogs of 9.5 points or greater was 4-1 last season.
• A total of seven of Houston games last year went over the point total.
• The Texans won three, or 17.6%, of the 17 games they played as underdogs last season.
• Last season, Houston was at least a +320 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Texans have a 23.8% chance to win.

Texans Stats (2022)

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• Davis Mills averaged 6.5 passing yards per attempt (28th in NFL) and 207.9 yards per game last year, completing 61.0% of his passes on the way to 3,118 total yards, 17 TDs and 15 INTs in 15 games.
• On the ground, Mills added two TDs and 108 yards.
• Devin Singletary scored five rushing TDs, accumulating 819 rushing yards (4.6 per attempt and 51.2 per game).
• Singletary also had 38 catches for 280 yards and one receiving TD. He was targeted 52 times and averaged 17.5 yards per game.
• Dameon Pierce rushed for four TDs last season and totaled 939 rushing yards (72.2 per game and 4.3 per attempt).
• Pierce's stat sheet also included 30 receptions (2.3 per game) on 39 targets for 165 yards (12.7 per game) and one receiving TD.
• Dalton Schultz picked up 577 yards and five TDs from 57 receptions and 89 targets for the Cowboys.

Defense

• Jalen Pitre put up 1.0 sack to go along with 5.0 TFL, 147 tackles, and five interceptions in his 17 games in 2022.
• Denzel Perryman put up two interceptions on top of 83 tackles, 14.0 TFL, one sack, and two passes defended for the Raiders.
• In the 2022 season, Christian Harris had 74 tackles, 6.0 TFL, one sack, and one interception in 12 games.
• Jerry Hughes totaled 9.0 sacks plus 10.0 TFL, 35 tackles, and one interception in 16 games.

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