Jets vs. Commanders Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 24

Published Dec. 20, 2023 1:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Washington Commanders (4-10) will be aiming to snap a five-game losing run against the New York Jets (5-9). The Jets are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3). An over/under of 37.5 points has been set for the matchup.

Jets vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Lines

Jets vs Commanders Betting Information updated as of December 20, 2023, 9:33 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Jets	-3	-112	-108	37.5	-105	-115

Jets vs. Commanders Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: New York (-3)
Pick OU: Over (37.5)
Prediction: New York 24 - Washington 19

How to Watch New York vs. Washington

Game Date: Sunday, December 24, 2023
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
TV: Watch on CBS

Jets vs. Commanders Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, New York has put up three wins versus Washington.
Over their last five head-to-head contests, New York has scored 135 points, while Washington has compiled 95.

New York Betting Info

In 14 New York games this season, it has five wins against the spread.
The Jets have not covered the spread this season (0-0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 3-point favorites.
New York has combined with its opponent to eclipsed the over/under in 35.7% of its contests this year (five times in 14 games with a set point total).
The Jets have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they won.
New York has played as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter in just one game this season, which it won.
The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Jets a 62.4% chance to win.

Jets Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	170.0 (2,380)	30
Rush yards	85.1 (1,191)	30
Points scored	14.4 (201)	30
Pass yards against	170.4 (2,386)	2
Rush yards against	127.9 (1,791)	27
Points allowed	20.5 (287)	11

New York's Key Players

Offense

On the ground, Breece Hall averages 4.2 yards per attempt (17th in the NFL) and 45.5 yards per game for 637 total rushing yards. He has scored two rushing touchdowns this season.
He has also caught 53 passes (on 68 targets) for 441 receiving yards with three touchdowns. He's averaging 31.5 receving yards and 3.8 catches per game.
Zach Wilson has 2,271 passing yards, eight touchdowns and seven interceptions this year. He has completed 60.1% of his passes, averaging 189.3 yards per game and 6.2 per attempt.
He's also rushed for 211 yards (third on the Jets) without scoring a touchdown on the ground, while averaging 17.6 rushing yards per game.
Garrett Wilson has three touchdown catches this season, and has 79 catches for 882 yards on 138 targets, while averaging 5.6 catches and 63.0 yards per game.
Tyler Conklin averages 3.6 receptions and 37.4 yards per game, and has 524 total receiving yards and 50 catches. He's gotten 72 total targets, but has not caught a touchdown pass.

Defense

Over on the defensive side, Quincy Williams has 116 tackles, 13.0 TFL, and two sacks in 2023.
C.J. Mosley has 0.5 sacks as well as 5.0 TFL, 131 tackles, and one interception.
Jordan Whitehead has totaled 84 tackles, 3.0 TFL, and four interceptions this year.
This season, Quinnen Williams has 54 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and one interception.

Washington Betting Info

Washington is 5-8-1 against the spread this year.
This season, the Commanders have an against-the-spread record of 3-4-1 in their eight games as an underdog of 3 points or more.
This year, eight Washington games have gone over the point total.
This season, the Commanders have won three out of the 10 games in which they've been the underdog.
This season, Washington has won one of its eight games when it is the underdog by at least +140 on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 41.7% chance of a victory for the Commanders.

Commanders Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	234.9 (3,289)	12
Rush yards	98.4 (1,378)	24
Points scored	20.1 (281)	23
Pass yards against	264.8 (3,707)	32
Rush yards against	119.7 (1,676)	21
Points allowed	30.2 (423)	32

Washington's Key Players

Offense

Sam Howell has passed for 3,568 yards this year (to rank seventh in the NFL), with 19 touchdowns and 15 interceptions. He is completing 64.7% of his passes while averaging 254.9 yards per game and 6.7 per attempt.
On the ground, Howell has added five rushing touchdowns and 265 rushing yards (second on the Commanders).
Brian Robinson Jr. has 664 rushing yards (leading the Commanders) and five rushing touchdowns, while averaging 51.1 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (17th in the NFL).
Robinson also has 29 catches for 326 yards (sixth on the Commanders), with three receiving touchdowns. He has been targeted 36 times and averages 25.1 yards per game.
This season, Terry McLaurin has caught 66 passes for 835 receiving yards with three touchdowns through the air. He has been targeted 112 total times and is averaging 4.7 receptions per game over 14 games played.
Curtis Samuel has 549 receiving yards and four touchdowns from 56 receptions after receiving 77 targets.

Defense

Kamren Curl has recorded 1.0 sack to go with 3.0 TFL and 102 tackles over 14 games in 2023.
Da'Ron Payne has 4.0 sacks (third on the Commanders) to go with 12.0 TFL and 44 tackles.
Kendall Fuller has 2.0 TFL, 75 tackles, and two interceptions in the 2023 campaign.
Benjamin St-Juste has totaled 1.0 sack as well as 1.0 TFL, 59 tackles, and one interception.

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